Iran as Factor X in Changing Power in Central Asia: Still a "Wavering State"
The struggle for resources is intensifying and is becoming perhaps the most important aspect of the post-pandemic economic recovery of major powers. Likewise, the SCO's official approval of Iran's membership also has a geo-economic impetus. The SCO, led by China and Russia, has taken 13 years to reach this defining moment. The SCO even adopted at a summit in Tashkent in 2010, after Tehran applied for membership in 2008, new criteria stipulating that an aspiring state "should not be subject to sanctions imposed by the UN Security Council." Although UN sanctions against Iran were lifted following the 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), the SCO still dragged on for six years before changing course. Believe it or not, Tajikistan, which is rarely credited with an independent foreign policy, has blocked Iranian membership. Obviously, Beijing and Moscow played an important role in coordinated actions and the early deployment of the SCO red carpet for Tehran.
Three considerations need to be weighed. First, Western sanctions against Iran will be lifted in the near future. Iran has intercepted the initiative to calibrate uranium enrichment at will, which leaves the US with only two options: to attack and destroy Iran's nuclear assets (which means full-scale war) or to abandon bragging rights and actually come to an agreement for Tehran to fulfill its obligations under the JCPOA.
Tehran's dependence on Russia and China's aid in the Vienna talks has diminished, and Washington's despair is palpable. Moscow and Beijing are in a hurry to bring Iran into the SCO tent. The early birds catch worms. Moscow and Beijing are taking their steps before the highway to Tehran is filled with Western companies. Moscow hopes to strengthen the trade agreement between the Eurasian Economic Union and Iran and get a piece of the Iranian recovery pie.
As for China, it hopes to carry out a so-called $ 400 billion 25-year economic deal with Iran, which will soon begin to generate large revenues.
Meanwhile, the coming to power of a new "conservative" government in Tehran is becoming a calming factor for them. The government of President Ebrahim Raisi has shown interest in forging close ties with the countries of the East, and it makes sense for Moscow and Beijing to strike while the iron is hot. However, a worrying fact remains: the Raisi government is also a staunch nationalist regime that values the country's strategic autonomy and can be expected to negotiate difficult negotiations to safeguard national interests, and has set ambitious goals for the country's economic revival through an injection of Western capital. and advanced technology.
The election of Hossein Amir-Abdollahyan as Foreign Minister of Raisi is in itself a very exciting event.
Finally, Iran's attitude towards the extremely volatile situation in Afghanistan will be of great importance for the future of the SCO. Russia and China are firmly committed to their anti-terrorist concerns, but that is not all - and not even all.
Like any great power in history, they are also committed to rebuilding Afghanistan.
They are well aware that the United States, Britain and other Western countries will sooner or later gain access to trillions of dollars in Afghanistan's mineral reserves.
Russian observers are increasingly talking about the need for special operations inside Afghanistan. A violent struggle by major powers over mineral resources, as in Mali or in some other African countries, may well erupt in Afghanistan.
Russia and China are coordinating their policies. Iran becomes the "X factor" here. The expectation that membership in the SCO will push Tehran to unite with Moscow and Beijing is still a hypothesis. Until now, Iran has mainly pursued an independent policy towards Afghanistan.
The struggle for resources is intensifying and is becoming perhaps the most important aspect of the post-pandemic economic recovery of major powers. Likewise, the SCO's official approval of Iran's membership also has a geo-economic impetus. The SCO, led by China and Russia, has taken 13 years to reach this defining moment. The SCO even adopted at a summit in Tashkent in 2010, after Tehran applied for membership in 2008, new criteria stipulating that an aspiring state "should not be subject to sanctions imposed by the UN Security Council." Although UN sanctions against Iran were lifted following the 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), the SCO still dragged on for six years before changing course. Believe it or not, Tajikistan, which is rarely credited with an independent foreign policy, has blocked Iranian membership. Obviously, Beijing and Moscow played an important role in coordinated actions and the early deployment of the SCO red carpet for Tehran.
Three considerations need to be weighed. First, Western sanctions against Iran will be lifted in the near future. Iran has intercepted the initiative to calibrate uranium enrichment at will, which leaves the US with only two options: to attack and destroy Iran's nuclear assets (which means full-scale war) or to abandon bragging rights and actually come to an agreement for Tehran to fulfill its obligations under the JCPOA.
Tehran's dependence on Russia and China's aid in the Vienna talks has diminished, and Washington's despair is palpable. Moscow and Beijing are in a hurry to bring Iran into the SCO tent. The early birds catch worms. Moscow and Beijing are taking their steps before the highway to Tehran is filled with Western companies. Moscow hopes to strengthen the trade agreement between the Eurasian Economic Union and Iran and get a piece of the Iranian recovery pie.
As for China, it hopes to carry out a so-called $ 400 billion 25-year economic deal with Iran, which will soon begin to generate large revenues.
Meanwhile, the coming to power of a new "conservative" government in Tehran is becoming a calming factor for them. The government of President Ebrahim Raisi has shown interest in forging close ties with the countries of the East, and it makes sense for Moscow and Beijing to strike while the iron is hot. However, a worrying fact remains: the Raisi government is also a staunch nationalist regime that values the country's strategic autonomy and can be expected to negotiate difficult negotiations to safeguard national interests, and has set ambitious goals for the country's economic revival through an injection of Western capital. and advanced technology.
The election of Hossein Amir-Abdollahyan as Foreign Minister of Raisi is in itself a very exciting event.
Finally, Iran's attitude towards the extremely volatile situation in Afghanistan will be of great importance for the future of the SCO. Russia and China are firmly committed to their anti-terrorist concerns, but that is not all - and not even all.
Like any great power in history, they are also committed to rebuilding Afghanistan.
They are well aware that the United States, Britain and other Western countries will sooner or later gain access to trillions of dollars in Afghanistan's mineral reserves.
Russian observers are increasingly talking about the need for special operations inside Afghanistan. A violent struggle by major powers over mineral resources, as in Mali or in some other African countries, may well erupt in Afghanistan.
Russia and China are coordinating their policies. Iran becomes the "X factor" here. The expectation that membership in the SCO will push Tehran to unite with Moscow and Beijing is still a hypothesis. Until now, Iran has mainly pursued an independent policy towards Afghanistan.
InfoBrics: Turkey will easily betray Russia to restore relations with the West
Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan is dissatisfied with relations with Washington under Biden, but he will betray Russia for the sake of the West, says Paul Antonopoulos, author of InfoBrics.
He suggested that after the meeting of the Turkish leader with Russian President Vladimir Putin, Ankara may well turn its back on Moscow.
The political scientist recalls that relations between Turkey and the United States were upset because of the Russian S-400 anti-aircraft missile systems. Ankara did not like their acquisition by Washington, which imposed sanctions and struck a NATO ally from the F-35 program.
In response to this, Erdogan roared for a long time, but now it is becoming clear that the slightest indulgence from the West can push him to betray Russia. That is why Moscow should be extremely careful with Turkey, creating together with it a joint platform for solving problems in the Transcaucasus and the Middle East.
According to the author, Ankara is guided exclusively by its own interests and is not an ally to anyone, therefore, in relations with it, one must always keep an eye out.
Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan is dissatisfied with relations with Washington under Biden, but he will betray Russia for the sake of the West, says Paul Antonopoulos, author of InfoBrics.
He suggested that after the meeting of the Turkish leader with Russian President Vladimir Putin, Ankara may well turn its back on Moscow.
The political scientist recalls that relations between Turkey and the United States were upset because of the Russian S-400 anti-aircraft missile systems. Ankara did not like their acquisition by Washington, which imposed sanctions and struck a NATO ally from the F-35 program.
In response to this, Erdogan roared for a long time, but now it is becoming clear that the slightest indulgence from the West can push him to betray Russia. That is why Moscow should be extremely careful with Turkey, creating together with it a joint platform for solving problems in the Transcaucasus and the Middle East.
According to the author, Ankara is guided exclusively by its own interests and is not an ally to anyone, therefore, in relations with it, one must always keep an eye out.
🇺🇸🚀U.S. successfully flight tests Raytheon hypersonic weapon - Pentagon
#USA
https://www.ragex.co/post/us-successfully-flight-tests-raytheon-hypersonic-weapon-pentagon
#USA
https://www.ragex.co/post/us-successfully-flight-tests-raytheon-hypersonic-weapon-pentagon
RAGEX
U.S. successfully flight tests Raytheon hypersonic weapon - Pentagon
U.S. successfully flight tests Raytheon hypersonic weapon - Pentagon WASHINGTON, Sept 27 (Reuters) - The United States has tested an air-breathing hypersonic weapon capable of speeds faster than five times the speed of sound, marking the first successful…
😁1
🇨🇳Shock POWER CUTS hit north-east Chinese homes - could last till NEXT SPRING!
#China
https://www.ragex.co/post/shock-power-cuts-hit-north-east-chinese-homes-could-last-till-next-spring
#China
https://www.ragex.co/post/shock-power-cuts-hit-north-east-chinese-homes-could-last-till-next-spring
RAGEX
Shock POWER CUTS hit north-east Chinese homes - could last till NEXT SPRING!
Shock POWER CUTS hit north-east Chinese homes - could last till NEXT SPRING! China’s energy crisis has now hit homeowners in three northern provinces - Liaoning, Jilin and Heilongjiang - as they were warned that unexpected outages would become “the new normal”.…
🇽🇰⚡️🇷🇸❗️NATO-led Kosovo Force (KFOR) moves TROOPS to the Jarinje crossing
#Kosovo #Serbia
https://www.ragex.co/post/nato-led-kosovo-force-kfor-moves-troops-to-the-jarinje-crossing
#Kosovo #Serbia
https://www.ragex.co/post/nato-led-kosovo-force-kfor-moves-troops-to-the-jarinje-crossing
🇮🇷FIRE at Iran's Revolutionary Guard research center kills two, reasons UNKNOWN
#Iran
https://www.ragex.co/post/fire-at-iran-s-revolutionary-guard-research-center-kills-two-reasons-unknown
#Iran
https://www.ragex.co/post/fire-at-iran-s-revolutionary-guard-research-center-kills-two-reasons-unknown
🇰🇷⚡️🇰🇵 #BREAKING:
North Korea has fired at least one unidentified "projectile" from its east coast, the South Korean military says.
North Korea has fired at least one unidentified "projectile" from its east coast, the South Korean military says.
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🪐Computer model of planetary ring formation
Migrant State of Emergency Needs Extending? Poland Mulls Next Move on Belarus Border
The Polish Interior Minister has pleaded for the emergency measure to be extended for another 60 days, as a surge in illegal migrants continues. A wave of people from Afghanistan, Africa and Iraq have been attempting to enter the EU via Belarus.
It comes after Warsaw claimed a number of refugees apprehended could pose a national security threat, with evidence reportedly indicating around a quarter out of 200 cases found radical content on cellphones.
The Polish Interior Minister has pleaded for the emergency measure to be extended for another 60 days, as a surge in illegal migrants continues. A wave of people from Afghanistan, Africa and Iraq have been attempting to enter the EU via Belarus.
It comes after Warsaw claimed a number of refugees apprehended could pose a national security threat, with evidence reportedly indicating around a quarter out of 200 cases found radical content on cellphones.
Crude Upturn as Oil Hits Three-Year High: Hurricanes & High Demand Drive Prices — so what's the limit?
A cold snap across the northern hemisphere could mean oil prices are about to heat up too:
▪️Oil is up 10% in just the past four weeks, due to production shut downs in the Gulf of Mexico
▪️Goldman Sachs is upping its forecast - prices could rise another 12%
▪️Covid has forged a larger gap than normal for supply and demand
▪️This year alone, WTI oil has surged 60% and Brent Crude has climbed about 50%
A cold snap across the northern hemisphere could mean oil prices are about to heat up too:
▪️Oil is up 10% in just the past four weeks, due to production shut downs in the Gulf of Mexico
▪️Goldman Sachs is upping its forecast - prices could rise another 12%
▪️Covid has forged a larger gap than normal for supply and demand
▪️This year alone, WTI oil has surged 60% and Brent Crude has climbed about 50%
“Rogue” Marine officer Lt. Col. Stuart Scheller, who went viral after publicly criticizing America’s military leaders over the evacuation from Afghanistan, has been arrested and jailed at a military facility.
Over the last several weeks, Scheller had published a number of videos demanding accountability from military leaders for “humiliating” failures in Afghanistan. He also spoke about the huge pressure that was leveled at him, including a gag order, in order to silence him
Over the last several weeks, Scheller had published a number of videos demanding accountability from military leaders for “humiliating” failures in Afghanistan. He also spoke about the huge pressure that was leveled at him, including a gag order, in order to silence him
🇪🇸🌋Lava flowing from an erupting volcano in Spain's Canary Islands has picked up pace on its way to the sea and is closing in on the shoreline. When the molten rock eventually meets the water, it could trigger explosions and the release of toxic gas.
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Work of the calculation of the UAV "Orlan-10" in Nagorno-Karabakh
Russian peacekeepers in Nagorno-Karabakh carried out an objective control of the situation in the zone of responsibility using Orlan-10 unmanned aerial vehicles.
The launcher was installed on a KamAZ transport vehicle. With the help of UAVs, Russian peacekeepers receive data in real time to the command post, where they conduct round-the-clock monitoring of the situation practically throughout the territory in the zone of responsibility of the Russian peacekeeping contingent.
Video of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation
Russian peacekeepers in Nagorno-Karabakh carried out an objective control of the situation in the zone of responsibility using Orlan-10 unmanned aerial vehicles.
The launcher was installed on a KamAZ transport vehicle. With the help of UAVs, Russian peacekeepers receive data in real time to the command post, where they conduct round-the-clock monitoring of the situation practically throughout the territory in the zone of responsibility of the Russian peacekeeping contingent.
Video of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation
🇮🇷FIRE at Iran's Revolutionary Guard research center kills two, reasons UNKNOWN
#Iran
https://www.ragex.co/post/fire-at-iran-s-revolutionary-guard-research-center-kills-two-reasons-unknown
#Iran
https://www.ragex.co/post/fire-at-iran-s-revolutionary-guard-research-center-kills-two-reasons-unknown