RunnerXBT Insights – Telegram
RunnerXBT Insights
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Market thoughts/commentary of @RunnerXBT
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Tariffs go into effect April 9th
Its April 7th and pretty much all markets in existence have crashed/nuked/been sent into bearmarket/recession territory

Lets see if world leaders can negotiate in next 2 days...
Forwarded from infinityhedge
GLOBAL MARKET MELTDOWN DEEPENS ⚠️

Asia:
*Japan’s Nikkei 225 Entered A Bear Market

*South Korea Kospi Index Fall 7%, Singapore's Equity Benchmark Fall 9%

*Taiwan’s tech-heavy equity benchmark slid 9.7%, the most on record, India’s key stock index slumped as much as 5%, the most since early June

*Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index Closes Down 13.2%, Biggest One-Day Drop Since 1997

CHINA:
*CSI Index Fall 7%
*China is mulling frontloaded stimulus to counter the tariffs

*Asia Credit Default Swaps Widen Most Since March 2020
*MSCI Asia Pacific Index slid by the most since 2008

Europe Open Lower:
*DAX plunged more than 10% at the open before trimming losses now down 7%, Stoxx 600 fell more than 5%, FTSE 100 Index Falls 5%

UNITED STATES:
*Traders now expect the Fed to cut another five times this year

*Goldman Sachs Cuts 2025 GDP Forecast To 0.5% From 1%

*S&P 500 FUTURES DOWN 3.5%, NASDAQ 100 FUTURES DOWN 4%, RUSSELL 2000 FUTURES DOWN 4.3%

*VIX Surge Above 50
*OIL Fall 5%, Hits 4 Year Low

Pre-Market Open:
APPLE DOWN 5%
MICROSOFT DOWN 5%
GOOGLE DOWN 5%
NVIDIA DOWN 6%
META DOWN 5%
AMAZON DOWN 5%
TESLA DOWN 8%
COINBASE DOWN 11%
MICROSTRATEGY DOWN 12%

CRYPTO:
*BTC DROPPED BELOW $76K, ETH DROPPED BELOW $1,500
if miraculously China <> USA can make a deal / come to an agreement

that would be V-shaped recovery
RunnerXBT
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Very likely fake headline from CNBC

back to Burj-Khalifa patterning LOL
RunnerXBT
if miraculously China <> USA can make a deal / come to an agreement that would be V-shaped recovery
They did not make a deal

White House Press Secretary says 104% additional tariffs went into effect at noon eastern time because China has not removed it's retaliation. The 104% additional tariff will be collected starting tomorrow April 9th

F
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NASDAQ -6.3% in last 5 hrs with 45 minutes left in the trading session

Apparently bond market is also going all sorts of crazy

It should be very volatile day tomorrow.

Personally still leaning Long (BTC)
CHINA FINANCE MINISTRY: TO IMPOSE ADDITIONAL TARIFFS OF 84% ON U.S. GOODS FROM APRIL 10
1 day later

90-day pause is here

TRUMP ANNOUNCES 90-DAY PAUSE WITH LOWER RECIPROCAL RATE
/full_send everything
this cabinet is a fucking clown show lol
RunnerXBT
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closed a bunch of my BTC longs as i was DCAing down as per this msg from yesterday

I dont trust Trump or his cabinet anything.
just because I am taking profit after 7-8% intraday move in the markets

DOES NOT MEAN

I am bearish, my thesis was to add to longs and hope for a Pivot from either side (which honestly in hindsight sounds hilarious)

I got the pivot, I consider setup/trade idea/thesis to have played out

Now I have no clue what the hell is going to happen next. There is still straight out Trade War with China and I dont trust Trump

Goodbye
RunnerXBT
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I am out of the trade fully, the left circled area is screenshot im replying to

very happy w/ this trade, will look to Long BTC again 🙏🏼

This was some of the most stressed days for me in recent months and currently happy to “cope” if it goes higher for the sake of getting my head right for the next week
BTC down more than 4% since exit

Setting some limit orders in case we get another liquidation cascade.. (77k ish first orders)

BTC -3.2%
SP500 -4.2%
Nasdaq -4.7%
just lol

*S&P 500 EXTENDS SELLOFF TO 6.1%, MOST SINCE MARCH 2020
Bitcoin is not pumping, well, it is, against USD

because USD is dumping on average 1-2% past few days
will be looking at BTC/EUR

… what stage of bear market is this? 😭
You all have probably seen this already on Twitter but posting regardless

*US PUBLISHES TARIFF EXCLUSIONS FOR SPECIFIED PRODUCTS
*US TARIFF EXCLUSIONS APPLY TO COMPUTERS, SMARTPHONES
*US TARIFF EXCLUSIONS ALSO APPLY TO CHIP-MAKING EQUIPMENT
*TARIFF EXCLUSIONS APPLY TO SO-CALLED `RECIPROCAL' TARIFFS
USA went from...
Tariffs on everyone and everything to 90 days pause to "well nevermind"

all in span of 7 days

its quite easy explanation why market is rallying right now, this is in eyes of (many) the actual pivot or "Trump Folding"

Dont take it personal or political, if you are bull this is GREAT news that he changed his mind