RunnerXBT Insights – Telegram
RunnerXBT Insights
8.52K subscribers
248 photos
7 videos
115 files
140 links
Market thoughts/commentary of @RunnerXBT
Serious topics only - no shitposting or memes

Dont hesitate to DM me with a question
This is the only Telegram that I have. I will not DM you First
Download Telegram
starting tomorrow Tech earnings season starts, otherwise rather boring macro calendar ahead of us

Tuesday 22nd - TSLA
Thursday 24th - GOOGL

good website to bookmark
MSTR (Microstrategy/Strategy) Earning Call from couple days ago
I highly encourage you to watch from minute 05:00 to +- 16:00 (11 minutes of your time)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dXk6H1efCsM
TLDR:
- MSTR will buy 21b more of BTC thru ATMs

Last time they did was November 2024 to +-March 2025 (when price rallied from 60k to 110k)
obvious caveat is macro/tradfi & tariff price action, as I believe Saylor + ETF apes can support the price only so long

but this is best "bull thesis" there is out there

Saylor ran thru their "3 year" plan in 6 months and said "we are doubling down"
thank fuck for Trump again
great insights on BTC Treasury companies (there is a lot more than Saylor these days)

source:
https://x.com/btcNLNico/status/1931084738288328836
for example, Japanese Metaplanet purchased more BTC previous week than Saylor

these "runners ups" (no pun intended) should be taken seriously
I will try to post here more regularly, but market, to nobody surprise, has been all about BTC, Hyperliquid and maybe 1-2 other altcoins

whereas Crypto Equities are a lot more interesting (via form of PIPE deals) which most people do not have access to, nor can I facilitate them for others..
Summary how I & my team trades & approach markets

- I trade for a fund (discretionary)
- We denominate in BTC (meaning, BTC is "benchmark" and we try to outperform BTC) -> that means I am always BTC spot long
- If I want to "derisk", I short BTC via Perps, never sell spot BTC (example 5 BTC spot long, 3 BTC short -> still "net long 2 BTC"

I believe BTC is correlated heavily to tradfi (SP500 & Nasdaq) as in the post-ETF world its been trading very close to it

Therefore Macro events move TradFi -> moves BTC

For that reason, each sunday I pinpoint events, narratives and dates that could lead to intraday volatility -> trade setups

That would be going on this website and looking for high impact events, this week for example

Wednesday June 11th, CPI in USA
https://www.forexfactory.com/calendar

as "BTC maxi" fund we are very pleased with BTC performance & outperformance this cycle, that does not come as surprise at all because

- BTC spot ETFs are the MOST successful ETF ever (IBIT)
- Saylor is buying billions and billions (21/21 plan -> 42/42 plan)
- MSTR copycats and PIPE deals are raising billions to accumulate BTC
- USA pro-crypto/friendly government, SEC & CFTC
- Rest of the world following suit with regards to regulation (mostly focused on BTC and stablecoins)
- Altcoin market is saturated, net-inflation of these altcoins, predatory tokenomics and toxic lock-ups & lack of buyers led to altcoin market being heavily sold into, especially against BTC

Hope this helps clarify some of the stances I have and why its for us, as of right now, still, mostly BTC show

My DMs are open, feel free to DM with any and all questions.
TLDR:
Bitcoin good, hard to be bearish BTC unless
- TradFi has massive correction
- MSTR copycats run out of money (not happening anytime soon)
i dont think its sensible to be "top blasting" BTC or necessarily longing the ATH break (even thought that in previous cycles was "profitable")

but having ZERO exposure to BTC is just ignorant

Good night
Lol
i will be looking for longs once Two Chihuahuas stop barking
Forwarded from infinityhedge
*TRUMP: IRAN MUST MAKE A DEAL, BEFORE THERE IS NOTHING LEFT

*TRUMP: UNITED STATES MAKES THE BEST AND MOST LETHAL MILITARY EQUIPMENT ANYWHERE IN THE WORLD, BY FAR, AND THAT ISRAEL HAS A LOT OF IT, WITH MUCH MORE TO COME - AND THEY KNOW HOW TO USE IT. IT WILL ONLY GET WORSE
best thing to happen to crypto this year