next month we will be as closer to 2050 than 2000

✅ @trading

Traders on Christmas when the markets are closed.

✅ @trading

When you can take a loss and be proud of yourself for following the plan

That is the day you know you have leveled up to a place most traders will never reach in their lives

✅ @trading

🔼 What we are seeing in precious metals right now is truly once-in-a-lifetime:

🟡 Gold is now up +72% YTD, adding +$13.2 TRILLION in market cap this year.

🟡 Silver has become the 3rd largest asset in the world, up +155% YTD, worth $4.2 trillion.

The only other year that comes close to what we are seeing now is 1979, when CPI inflation was running at 11%+.

🟡 Platinum? Up +159% and set for its biggest annual percentage gain ever recorded.

2025 will be a year that is referenced for decades to come.

You are witnessing history.

✅ @trading

🏠 The Housing Math No One Wants to Admit

For the first time in more than a decade, the US housing market has more sellers than buyers. There are now 530,000 extra homes for sale, the largest gap ever recorded. On paper, this should be great news for young buyers. In reality, it’s exposing a political and economic dead end.

🟡 Young people have largely stopped buying homes
🟡 84% of Gen Z is delaying homeownership despite the inventory glut
🟡 The median first-time buyer is now 40 years old
🟡 You need about $141,000 in income to afford a median home, while the average salary is $75,000

The core issue isn’t supply. Homes are still unaffordable because mortgage rates are above 6%, up from around 3% during the pandemic. At the same time, existing homeowners, mostly boomers, have seen their home values rise roughly 33% in just five years.

Trump openly acknowledged the dilemma. Lowering prices would help young buyers, but it would also hit the wealth of current homeowners. Protecting boomer wealth keeps prices high and locks younger generations out.

You can’t push prices down and keep home values elevated at the same time. The math doesn’t care about politics.

✅ @trading

❕Trading Is Not What Most People Think

Most traders don’t fail because they lack indicators, setups, or information. They fail because they misunderstand what trading actually is.

🗣️ Mark Douglas explains this clearly in Trading in the Zone. Trading is not about prediction, certainty, or being right. It’s about operating inside uncertainty without letting emotions interfere.

Markets are uncertain at the level of any single trade. No pattern guarantees an outcome. A setup doesn’t mean the trade should work, and a loss doesn’t mean something is broken. A pattern means only one thing: historically, this situation produced a statistical edge. Nothing more.

Individual outcomes are random. The probabilities behind them are not. A good strategy can lose several times in a row and still be valid. Profits don’t come from being correct on each trade, they come from repeating an edge over a large enough sample.

This is why Douglas insists on one uncomfortable idea: anything can happen. Once a trader truly accepts that, losses stop feeling personal, hesitation disappears, stops get respected, and overconfidence fades. Letting go of certainty improves execution.

“The zone” isn’t excitement or confidence. It’s emotional neutrality. No attachment to outcomes, no need to be right, no urge to interfere once a trade is placed. You take the next trade because the plan says so, not because you feel good or scared.

That’s why experienced traders summarize it simply. Trading is a pattern-recognition numbers game. You identify an edge, execute it consistently, and let probability do the work over time.

Most people agree with this intellectually, but still behave as if the market owes them results. They judge themselves trade by trade, stop after losses, or change rules mid-position. They believe in probabilities, but act like outcomes should be predictable.

Trading works when you stop trying to control results and focus entirely on execution. The numbers take care of the rest.

✅ @trading

Trading is hard because winning requires mastering how to lose.

✅ @trading

Real

✅ @trading

Gold and silver investors right now

✅ @trading

BREAKING: China will be imposing export restrictions on silver beginning in 5 days, on January 1st.

These restrictions will require special government licenses for silver exports.

Shanghai silver prices are now up to $85/oz, a ~$5 premium to spot prices in the US.

✅ @trading

This.

✅ @trading

What happens to you matters less than how you respond.

✅ @trading

This man lost $4 billion. Wife left.
Came back worth $9.3 billion.

✅ @trading

Funny meme. Uncomfortable amount of truth.

The gap between what you want and what you do is the whole problem.

✅ @trading

Don't give up

✅ @trading

You treat missing a setup like you lost money.

You didn't.

Your account is still intact.

Taking a bad trade out of FOMO actually destroys capital.

Miss a hundred setups.

Still better than one stupid trade.

✅ @trading

📝 Key Events Next Week

It’s a shortened trading week and liquidity will be low. Several macro releases are squeezed into fewer days, so markets can move more than usual even on average data.

🗓Monday

🟡 Pending Home Sales for November
Early read on housing demand. Shows whether lower mortgage rates are actually bringing buyers back.

🗓 Tuesday

🔴 Fed Meeting Minutes
Tone matters more than details. Markets will look for hints on how comfortable the Fed is with inflation and when cuts might start.

🗓 Wednesday

🟡 Initial Jobless Claims
Quick check on the labor market. As long as claims stay stable, growth concerns stay muted.

🗓 Thursday

🔴 China silver export restrictions begin
Potential supply pressure on silver and related inputs. Thin holiday trading could exaggerate moves.

❌ US stock market closed
New Year holiday. Very limited liquidity.

🗓 Friday

🟡 December Manufacturing PMI
Snapshot of factory activity. Orders and outlook are more important than the headline number.

Small surprises can move prices more than expected. Stay cautious and don’t overtrade.

✅ @trading