The ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters - Third quarter of 2023

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🇪🇺 The European Central Bank

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Main findings from the ECB’s recent contacts with non-financial companies

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🇪🇺 The European Central Bank

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DNB Working Paper No. 787 - Safe Asset Scarcity and Re-use in the European Repo Market

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🇳🇱 De Nederlandsche Bank

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No. 1420 - Flight to climatic safety: local natural disasters and global portfolio flows

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🇮🇹 Bank of Italy

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No. 1419 - Temperatures and search: evidence from the housing market

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🇮🇹 Bank of Italy

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No. 1418 - Entry, exit, and market structure in a changing climate

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🇮🇹 Bank of Italy

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No. 1417 - Parental retirement and fertility decisions across family policy regimes

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🇮🇹 Bank of Italy

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No. 1416 - The external financial spillovers of CBDCs

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🇮🇹 Bank of Italy

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No. 1415 - Currency risk premiums redux

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🇮🇹 Bank of Italy

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Is This Time Different? The Safety Net Response to the Pandemic Recession -- by Erik A. Hembre, Robert A. Moffitt, James P. Ziliak
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Measuring Economic Growth with a Fully Identified Three-Signal Model -- by Andrea Civelli, Arya Gaduh, Ahmed Sadek Yousuf
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Understanding Rationality and Disagreement in House Price Expectations -- by Zigang Li, Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh, Wang Renxuan
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Working from Home, Worker Sorting and Development -- by David Atkin, Antoinette Schoar, Sumit Shinde
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Information Dynamics and Macro Fluctuations -- by Kyriakos T. Chousakos, Gary B. Gorton, Guillermo Ordoñez
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Global Transportation Decarbonization -- by David S. Rapson, Erich Muehlegger
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The (Lack of) Anticipatory Effects of the Social Safety Net on Human Capital Investment -- by Manasi Deshpande, Rebecca Dizon-Ross
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Scenario Sampling for Large Supermodular Games -- by Bryan S. Graham, Andrin Pelican
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Information Aggregation in Stratified Societies -- by Marina Agranov, Ran Eilat, Konstantin Sonin
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Optimal Monetary Policy with r*<0 -- by Roberto M. Billi, Jordi Galí, Anton Nakov
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Information and the Formation of Inflation Expectations by Firms: Evidence from a Survey of Israeli Firms -- by Yuriy Gorodnichenko, Rafi Melnick, Ari Kutai
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Strategyproofness-Exposing Mechanism Denoscriptions -- by Yannai A. Gonczarowski, Ori Heffetz, Clayton Thomas
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