worm's den 🪱 – Telegram
🚨 END OF QE IS A FAKE!

Yesterday, the Fed cut rates by 25 bps as expected, but the market reacted completely differently than most people anticipated

Bounce to $94k on the news -> quick drop to $89k on "sell the news"

What did Powell say?

A few points stood out as bullish factors:

- Cooling of the labor market
- Increase in GDP forecast for 2026
- Decrease in inflation forecast for 2026
- Start of Treasury bill purchases from December 12

Why didn’t the market rise on this?

The positive points work only in an uptrend market and right now, everything is the opposite

Plus, there are important details that everyone ignored

Is this really QE?

NO!

The Fed isn’t launching quantitative easing like many have started to shout

The $40 billion in bill purchases is a tiny amount, just liquidity support

Powell made it clear - it’s an insurance policy in case the economy misses tax revenue

Why is this happening?

The Fed wants to smoothly get through Q1 2025, which looks challenging

The inflation peak is expected in Q1, there are GDP concerns and tariffs are an issue

These are preventive measures, not aggressive stimulus

What do I think?

There’s some positivity in the form of the end of QT and liquidity support

But this is insurance for a tough quarter, not a signal for growth right now

A more interesting market will likely appear in Q2 when the risks of Q1 are behind us

https://x.com/LintonWorm/status/1999156554054971880?s=20
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🚨 BREAKING:

PRESIDENT TRUMP WILL MAKE A "MAJOR" SPEECH TODAY AT 8:15 PM

SOURCES SAY IT WILL FOCUS ON ECONOMIC AND CRYPTO TOPICS

IF THIS IS TRUE, IT COULD COMPLETELY CHANGE THE FUTURE OF THE MARKETS

https://x.com/LintonWorm/status/1999168153843081586?s=20
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HOW ONE TRADER WENT FROM $12 TO $50K IN 32 BETS

Most efficient PnL I've seen on Polymarket

The numbers don't lie:

- Biggest win: $18,900
- Most positions closed at: $0.01
- Win streaks that look fake until you check the wallet

The strategy:

- $BTC Up/Down markets only
- Hunts micro mispricings on intraday volatility
- Enters small, exits when spread corrects

Insane entry-to-exit examples:

$30 -> $2,452
$38 -> $29,480
$51 -> $5,819
$80 -> $7,280
$26 -> $4,762
$82 -> $2,964

He wasn't guessing direction
He was reading order flow gaps

Profile: https://polymarket.com/@ascetic0x

https://x.com/LintonWorm/status/1999451129080414298?s=20
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🚨 AFTER 10 YEARS OF CRITICISM, JAMIE DIMON HAS ADMITTED $BTC!

The CEO of JPMorgan, who has long called Bitcoin a scam, went live and admitted he was wrong

His words on Fox Business were: "We move trillions of dollars a day via blockchain, it's real, it's faster, it's cheaper"

The same person who wanted to shut down crypto is now building its foundation

JPMorgan is no longer just experimenting with the technology, they are actively integrating it into their infrastructure

What specific steps have been taken?

- Launched their own stablecoin on the Base network
- Tokenizing real assets on a large scale
- Using on-chain rails that move trillions instantly
- Exploring the use of Bitcoin and Ethereum as collateral

This isn’t speculation or future plans, it’s already working right now

What does this really mean?

Trillions of dollars are being moved through blockchain every day

Borders between countries are becoming irrelevant for transfers

JPMorgan didn’t join the revolution out of ideological reasons, they realized their bank would fall behind without this technology

Why is this an important signal?

Institutions didn’t miss the crypto revolution like many thought

They’ve been quietly building the version that will win in the long run

Blockchain is no longer "coming in the future" - it’s here and working right now

What do I think about this?

The biggest critic of $BTC just became its biggest validator

The pivot is complete, the upgrade of the financial system has been launched and is working

When JPMorgan with trillions in assets integrates blockchain into its core operations - it’s a signal that the game has changed forever

https://x.com/LintonWorm/status/1999465412879073466?s=20
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BOT WITH MOST PREDICTIONS ON POLYMARKET

1,000+ buys in 2 hours. Never exits early.

The setup:

- Only trades $BTC / $ETH / $XRP Up/Down markets
- Holds every position until resolution
- 52% win rate

Edge comes from entry price, not prediction

How it works?

- Buys YES at 46-48¢ when true probability is 52-55%
- Market misprices, bot captures discount
- Waits for resolution, no intraday games

Real example:

-> YES trading at 48¢
-> Model says 54% real chance
-> Buy at 48¢, hold to 100¢
-> Profit on probability gap

$25M+ turnover × tiny edge per trade = $207K profit

Profile: https://polymarket.com/@ca6859f3c004bff161e3328d27ddba6c

https://x.com/LintonWorm/status/1999478265019261375?s=20
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THE FED'S WORST NIGHTMARE BECOMES REALITY!

Right now, the Fed is stuck between weak job growth and high inflation simultaneously

What did Powell say at the meeting?

He indirectly hinted that economic growth is slowing, while inflation remains too high

This is classic stagflation - the worst possible scenario for the central bank and markets

Why is this a trap?

-> Raising rates = destroy the job market
-> Lowering rates = fuel inflation
-> Pausing = suffocate the economy without liquidity

So, there’s no good option, all roads lead to collapse

What can the Fed do in this situation?

From this point on, the market has two possible scenarios, both involving significant volatility

Scenario 1: Crash first, pump later

First, there will be a broad market crash that worsens the job market but reduces consumption and inflation

After that, the Fed will be able to restart QE, which will push asset prices up

In this case, BTC and altcoins will see the worst dump, followed by the best recovery

Scenario 2: Pump first, crash later

The Fed starts to ease policy despite rising inflation to support the economy

This will definitely cause a pump in markets, but inflation will continue to rise to critical levels

At some point, the Fed will have to pause and then the crash will be much harsher

In this scenario, the crypto market will see a massive run-up followed by one of the worst crashes

Looking at Powell’s speech, it seems they are moving towards the first scenario

What’s my take on this situation?

When the Fed launches QE5 after this cleansing, you’ll experience one of the best pumps of your life

But first, we have to survive a correction that could be quite painful for portfolios

Crypto always reacts faster and harder than traditional markets

So expect volatility, because the stagflation scenario is a nightmare for markets

https://x.com/LintonWorm/status/1999491128140132671?s=20
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SILVER JUST HIT NEW ATH

What this means for $BTC?

- Precious metals topping
- Risk-on rotation starting
- Crypto gets the flow next

Silver leads. Bitcoin follows. $200,000 loading.

https://x.com/LintonWorm/status/1999505837966950407?s=20
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🚨Fed will cut rates TODAY

But BTC and alts will dump 30%

I analyzed every previous cut and was shocked

Here’s why lower rates won’t pump BTC (yet)👇🧵

https://x.com/LintonWorm/status/1999516454689866230?s=20
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🚨 BREAKING:

$9 TRILLION COULD ENTER BITCOIN!

Congress has sent a letter to SEC Chair Paul Atkins demanding that Americans be allowed to hold $BTC and crypto in their 401(k) retirement accounts immediately

What this means:

- $9 trillion is held in US 401(k) accounts
- Every pension fund will be required to have a crypto strategy
- Every financial advisor will have to offer $BTC
- Institutional demand will skyrocket

If the SEC approves this - $BTC will see the largest capital inflow in history!

https://x.com/LintonWorm/status/1999529961032384764?s=20
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You think prices move because of Trump or CZ?

Wrong, it’s all trader psychology, nothing else

Buying tops feels safe, buying bottoms feels like death

Here’s how markets trick your brain and how to outsmart retail👇🧵

https://x.com/LintonWorm/status/1999884384950952437?s=20
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🚨 THE US JUST LAUNCHED THE MOST POWERFUL BITCOIN BUYING MECHANISM EVER!

Congress has introduced the Bitcoin for America Act - a law that changes everything for the market

Americans will be able to pay federal taxes in $BTC with zero capital gains tax

Most importantly - every $BTC goes directly into the national strategic reserve

Let’s break down the scale of this decision:

The IRS collects $5.2 trillion per year from taxpayers

Even if only 5% of people choose to pay in Bitcoin - that’s $260 billion in annual inflows into $BTC

If 10% choose this option - that’s already $520 billion of Bitcoin buying every single year

This is not ETFs that can be shut down, not miner subsidies that can be stopped, not speculation that can disappear

This is pure unstoppable Bitcoin accumulation driven by taxpayers

Why does this change everything for Bitcoin?

- $BTC effectively becomes state-backed collateral
- Volatility gets absorbed by the scale of a sovereign nation
- Scarcity intensifies while adoption becomes normalized across the population

One single law turns the IRS into the largest Bitcoin buyer in the world

So what are the conclusions?

When the US tax authority with $5.2 trillion in annual collections becomes a channel for buying Bitcoin - it fundamentally reshapes supply and demand

Even a small percentage of people choosing to pay taxes in $BTC creates demand that absorbs all ETFs combined

This is not speculation, this is state-level accumulation on a scale never seen in history

https://x.com/LintonWorm/status/2000541471435272253?s=20
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$124K FROM BUYING BOTH SIDES AT MULTIPLE PRICES

This bot runs 15min crypto markets but doubles up on each side with different entry points to guarantee profit through averaging

The play:

- Opens 4 positions per market
- Buys UP twice at different prices
- Buys DOWN twice at different prices
- Combined always under 100¢

How it profits:

- Averaged entries on both sides
- Winner pays 100¢ at resolution
- Price spread ensures green close

Real example:

-> UP: 45¢ + 50¢ = 47.5¢ average
-> DOWN: 48¢ + 52¢ = 50¢ average
-> Total: 97.5¢ in, 100¢ out

Not gambling - pure price timing
Small size, high frequency

Profile: https://polymarket.com/@SellLowBuyHigh

https://x.com/LintonWorm/status/2000552678833705364?s=20
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🚨There is ZERO real reason for BTC to dump

No bad macro, no trading war, no liquidity drain

Price is falling only because someone NEEDS you to sell

Here’s how this manipulation works and what comes next👇🧵

https://x.com/LintonWorm/status/2000566158010032411?s=20
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JAPAN RATE HIKE = $BTC CRASH

The pattern never fails:

- March 2024: -23%
- July 2024: -26%
- January 2025: -31%

On Dec 19th, rates are rising by 25bps again

You know what's coming next...

https://x.com/LintonWorm/status/2000591497352171845?s=20
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BLACK MONDAY ALREADY TODAY?

Well-known James Wynn claims that today could go down in history as a Black Monday for the market

With $BTC dropping below $90,000 his words do sound quite convincing

BUT

Let’s not forget one important detail

This person has previously blown over $100 million on futures

That’s exactly why I wouldn’t take his words seriously

When pseudo-traders like this predict a crash - the market often does the opposite

https://x.com/LintonWorm/status/2000608691129827770?s=20
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🚨 WARREN BUFFETT WARNS ABOUT DANGER

"Governments are destroying their own money. US policy scares me"

What’s Berkshire Hathaway doing right now?

Moving $348 billion into Japanese yen

The man who’s never panicked in 70 years of investing is actively exiting the dollar

Buffett's moves are a major red flag for everyone!

https://x.com/LintonWorm/status/2000893347485913334?s=20
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$BTC READY TO CRASH HARD

Multi-year resistance rejected again:

2022: Rejection -> bull trap -> DUMP
Now: Same pattern forming

Remember who told you!

https://x.com/LintonWorm/status/2000907505195737323?s=20
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The market will hit its lowest point in about 1.5 months

Strategy is already on the verge of collapse

I spent weeks analyzing what’s happening and I’m in shock

Here’s what’s really coming for the market and why Saylor is done 🧵👇

https://x.com/LintonWorm/status/2000921291185107248?s=20
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🚨 JD VANCE MAKES THE MOST IMPORTANT STATEMENT ABOUT BITCOIN!

"If the CCP hates $BTC, maybe it’s time for America to embrace it"

This is a full-on declaration of war against authoritarian control over finance

Let’s look at the facts happening in China:

- The Bitcoin mining ban completely kicked the industry out of the country
- A ban on crypto trading for all citizens
- Forcing people to use the digital yuan
- CBDCs as a tool for total control over the population's money

Why does the totalitarian regime fear a decentralized asset?

Because it puts the power of money back into the hands of the people

The government can’t freeze your Bitcoin, can’t block transactions, can’t control every move you make

This is a direct threat to a system where the state controls every aspect of citizens' lives

Vance said what everyone is thinking but is afraid to voice

This isn’t about speculation or making quick profits in the market, it’s about national security, monetary sovereignty and global influence

The 21st century will belong to open systems, not closed authoritarian regimes

What does this mean for the future?

The question isn’t whether America should embrace Bitcoin

The question is, can we afford not to?

Either we adopt the technology of freedom or we watch China write the rules for the future

What do I think about this statement?

When the Vice President of the US publicly says that $BTC is a geopolitical weapon against authoritarianism - it fundamentally shifts the narrative

It’s no longer "Is crypto legit?" but "Can we compete without it?"

China built the digital yuan to control, America can adopt Bitcoin to liberate

It’s a choice between freedom and control, openness and closure

And this choice will determine who dominates

https://x.com/LintonWorm/status/2000939830784471131?s=20
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THIS BOT FARMS MISPRICING GAPS ON CRYPTO BINARIES

A pure mathematical play across 15min and hourly charts

It trades $BTC / $ETH / $SOL when pricing briefly breaks

Strategy:

- Monitors for combined price under fair value
- Buys both sides when gap appears
- Overweights cheaper leg deliberately
- Expected value does the heavy lifting

Resolution pattern:

- Most trades close neutral
- Few resolve with asymmetric snap
- Cheap leg paying 3-5× covers the drag

Edge source:

- First order fills
- Book updates with delay
- Second order catches distorted pricing

Not traditional hedging
Asymmetric sizing for positive expectancy
Profits from execution lag, not prediction

Profile: https://polymarket.com/@PurpleThunderBicycleMountain

https://x.com/LintonWorm/status/2000949058156822905?s=20
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🚨 THE FED IS PRINTING MONEY BUT THE MARKET IS FALLING

Recently, the Fed lowered rates and started buying $40B in treasury bills each month

Technically, this means the beginning of money injection into the economy

But $BTC closed the week below $90k, $ETH dropped to $3k after a brief bounce

Why didn’t the positive news work? 👇👇👇

https://x.com/LintonWorm/status/2000967713196294250?s=20
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