A Russian FPV drone launched from a Molniya-1 mother drone is currently over Kharkiv.
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Explosions in Konotop, Sumy Oblast. The city is under attack from Russian Geran-2 drones.
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Forwarded from AMK Mapping
Tonight, there is a high probability of a large-scale, combined Russian missile and drone attack being carried out on Ukraine. Here's what we know so far:
There are currently 7 Tu-95MS stationed at Olenya Airbase, Murmansk Oblast. 6-7 of these are equipped with Kh-101 cruise missiles and are expected to take part in any combat sorties.
At Engels-2 Airbase, Murmansk Oblast, there are 2-3 Tu-160 strategic bombers equipped with Kh-101s. They are likely to take part in any combat sorties. The Tu-95MS and 1 other Tu-160 stationed there are there for training purposes.
1 frigate of the "Admiral Makarov" type, 1 frigate of the "Admiral Essen" type, and 1 submarine of the "Varshavyanka" type are equipped with Kalibr cruise missiles, and stationed at Novorossiysk Naval Base, Krasnodar Krai. They are likely going to take part in any missile attacks.
3-4 MiG-31Ks stationed at Savasleika Airbase, Nizhny Novgorod Oblast, are equipped with Kinzhal hypersonic aeroballistic missiles. They may take part in any combat sorties. The 2 other MiG-31Ks equipped with missiles stationed at Akhtubinsk Airbase, Astrakhan Oblast, are not expected to take part.
At least four Iskander OTRK installations have received deliveries of Iskander-M ballistic missiles and/or Iskander-K cruise missiles. These are in Bryansk Oblast, Kursk Oblast, Voronezh Oblast, and Rostov Oblast. Their usage tonight is possible but not confirmed.
After weeks of accumulation, there are over 500 Geran-2, Geran-3, and Gerbera drones ready to launch from 10-11 different directions surrounding Ukraine.
The chances of a missile attack taking place tonight is not 100%, but it is likely (~75%).
There are currently 7 Tu-95MS stationed at Olenya Airbase, Murmansk Oblast. 6-7 of these are equipped with Kh-101 cruise missiles and are expected to take part in any combat sorties.
At Engels-2 Airbase, Murmansk Oblast, there are 2-3 Tu-160 strategic bombers equipped with Kh-101s. They are likely to take part in any combat sorties. The Tu-95MS and 1 other Tu-160 stationed there are there for training purposes.
1 frigate of the "Admiral Makarov" type, 1 frigate of the "Admiral Essen" type, and 1 submarine of the "Varshavyanka" type are equipped with Kalibr cruise missiles, and stationed at Novorossiysk Naval Base, Krasnodar Krai. They are likely going to take part in any missile attacks.
3-4 MiG-31Ks stationed at Savasleika Airbase, Nizhny Novgorod Oblast, are equipped with Kinzhal hypersonic aeroballistic missiles. They may take part in any combat sorties. The 2 other MiG-31Ks equipped with missiles stationed at Akhtubinsk Airbase, Astrakhan Oblast, are not expected to take part.
At least four Iskander OTRK installations have received deliveries of Iskander-M ballistic missiles and/or Iskander-K cruise missiles. These are in Bryansk Oblast, Kursk Oblast, Voronezh Oblast, and Rostov Oblast. Their usage tonight is possible but not confirmed.
After weeks of accumulation, there are over 500 Geran-2, Geran-3, and Gerbera drones ready to launch from 10-11 different directions surrounding Ukraine.
The chances of a missile attack taking place tonight is not 100%, but it is likely (~75%).
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AMK Mapping
Tonight, there is a high probability of a large-scale, combined Russian missile and drone attack being carried out on Ukraine. Here's what we know so far: There are currently 7 Tu-95MS stationed at Olenya Airbase, Murmansk Oblast. 6-7 of these are equipped…
Will cover news to do with Gerans here as usual up until any missile attacks.
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A Su-34 covered by a Su-35 are flying to their launch lines in Zaporizhzhia Oblast.
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AMK Mapping EXTRA
A Su-34 covered by a Su-35 are flying to their launch lines in Zaporizhzhia Oblast.
KAB launches, possibly to Zaporizhzhia City
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AMK Mapping EXTRA
High threat to Zaporizhzhia City
These could be Grom-E1 rocket-powered glide-bombs. Monitoring.
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AMK Mapping EXTRA
These could be Grom-E1 rocket-powered glide-bombs. Monitoring.
The KABs are flying towards the Zaporizhzhia-Dnipropetrovsk border, southwest of Zaporizhzhia city
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AMK Mapping EXTRA
The KABs are flying towards the Zaporizhzhia-Dnipropetrovsk border, southwest of Zaporizhzhia city
They were launched from a very high altitude, so will fly further than usual.
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AMK Mapping EXTRA
They were launched from a very high altitude, so will fly further than usual.
Yes, these are Grom-E1s.
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AMK Mapping EXTRA
Yes, these are Grom-E1s.
They will fly over the western outskirts of Zaporizhzhia City, and will probably go further north
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AMK Mapping EXTRA
They will fly over the western outskirts of Zaporizhzhia City, and will probably go further north
Explosions in western Zaporizhzhia
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AMK Mapping EXTRA
General movements of Russian Geran-2 drones. Currently, ~16 drones are detected in Ukrainian airspace.
Most of the drones that were in Ukrainian airspace earlier were Gerbera decoy drones. Only a few remain in Chernihiv Oblast.
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High activity of Russian tactical aviation in the south. 1 Su-30SM is flying east of Snake Island. 1 MiG-29 and 2 Su-35s are flying over Crimea.
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