New footage of Geran-2 drone strikes on Kyiv last night.
I think people forget how effective Gerans are, especially when Iskanders are hitting at the same time, like what we saw last night. Ukrainian air defence was completely overwhelmed by the Gerans, meaning that all the Iskanders got through, along with what seems to be as many as 20, or even more Gerans.
I think people forget how effective Gerans are, especially when Iskanders are hitting at the same time, like what we saw last night. Ukrainian air defence was completely overwhelmed by the Gerans, meaning that all the Iskanders got through, along with what seems to be as many as 20, or even more Gerans.
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Early this morning, one Ukrainian UAV impacted the "NAK AZOT" Chemical enterprise in the city of Novomoskovsk, Tula Oblast.
This enterprise specialises in the production of Ammonium Nitrate, Nitric acid, Ammonia, Argon and Methanol. These products can be used as components for explosives, part of the production process for explosives, metallurgy including the welding and heat treatment of metals used in the defence industry, and the production of fuel, including rocket fuel components. The enterprise is the second largest Russian producer of Nitrogen fertilizers and ammonia.
As a result of the impact(s), key production units were damaged, including the following:
Command and Control Centre No. 1 was directly impacted by a UAV at around 5:25am, resulting in the disruption of the operation of automated control systems.
Units No. 2 and No. 3, which are responsible for the main stages of chemical synthesis. They were emergency-shut-down after the impact at the adjacent command and control centre due to the damage caused by the explosion, and the threat of the fire spreading to the units.
The water circulation cycle of the VOC-22, which provides cooling for the production equipment, caught fire from the initial impact at the command and control centre.
The Ammonia-4 workshop, which is used for the production of ammonia, which in turn is used as a raw material for the production of fertilisers was "urgently taken out of operation".
The production lines for the production of Urea No. 2, including sections 3/1 and 3/2 halted their operations.
As a result of the single impact, the entire production site of the enterprise was put into "emergency mode".
Coordinates: 54.089196, 38.190516
This enterprise specialises in the production of Ammonium Nitrate, Nitric acid, Ammonia, Argon and Methanol. These products can be used as components for explosives, part of the production process for explosives, metallurgy including the welding and heat treatment of metals used in the defence industry, and the production of fuel, including rocket fuel components. The enterprise is the second largest Russian producer of Nitrogen fertilizers and ammonia.
As a result of the impact(s), key production units were damaged, including the following:
Command and Control Centre No. 1 was directly impacted by a UAV at around 5:25am, resulting in the disruption of the operation of automated control systems.
Units No. 2 and No. 3, which are responsible for the main stages of chemical synthesis. They were emergency-shut-down after the impact at the adjacent command and control centre due to the damage caused by the explosion, and the threat of the fire spreading to the units.
The water circulation cycle of the VOC-22, which provides cooling for the production equipment, caught fire from the initial impact at the command and control centre.
The Ammonia-4 workshop, which is used for the production of ammonia, which in turn is used as a raw material for the production of fertilisers was "urgently taken out of operation".
The production lines for the production of Urea No. 2, including sections 3/1 and 3/2 halted their operations.
As a result of the single impact, the entire production site of the enterprise was put into "emergency mode".
Coordinates: 54.089196, 38.190516
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Russian forces have captured the village of Loknya, Yunakivka direction, Sumy Oblast.
Pre-war population: ~250
Land area: ~1.64km²
Pre-war population: ~250
Land area: ~1.64km²
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AMK Mapping
Russian forces have captured the village of Loknya, Yunakivka direction, Sumy Oblast. Pre-war population: ~250 Land area: ~1.64km²
Russian forces are now properly established at the northern outskirts of Yunakivka - the first "large" settlement in Sumy Oblast that they have reached so far. Yunakivka is a critical logistical hub for the areas near the border with Kursk Oblast, including important positions on the tactical heights.
In my opinion, instead of storming Yunakivka directly, they will attack down the tactical heights to the west, establish fire control over Yunakivka, cut the road leading into the village, before wrapping round the heights to the rear and the southeast, facilitating the capture of the village, along with the tactical heights are large forests to the northeast and east.
(Note: Arrows are generalised)
In my opinion, instead of storming Yunakivka directly, they will attack down the tactical heights to the west, establish fire control over Yunakivka, cut the road leading into the village, before wrapping round the heights to the rear and the southeast, facilitating the capture of the village, along with the tactical heights are large forests to the northeast and east.
(Note: Arrows are generalised)
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Is twitter working for anyone else yet? It's partially up for me, but I'm getting bombarded with old notifications, DMs aren't working and only 2 of my posts are showing.
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It's difficult to say when this missile attack with the bombers will take place. For one, it looks like the final preparations are underway after the landing of the 2 Tu-95s at Engels-2 and the redeployment of all 6 Tu-95s from Belaya to Olenya, however its possible that the 6 bombers which flew from Belaya were not equipped with missiles and are instead going to have to fly south to Engels and then back to Olenya. As 2 have already done this, it would leave 4 more to be equipped.
Its either going to be very soon (i.e. 2-3 days) or around a week away.
Its either going to be very soon (i.e. 2-3 days) or around a week away.
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Russian strategic comms were activated. Possible missile attack today involving Tu-95MS bombers.
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AMK Mapping
Russian strategic comms were activated. Possible missile attack today involving Tu-95MS bombers.
The activity is indicative of an upcoming missile strike. 75% probability.
Currently, 2 Kablir-carriers are in the waters of the black sea, with a total possible salvo of up to 8 Kalibr cruise missiles. More may follow, and launches are possible from the ports.
Currently, 2 Kablir-carriers are in the waters of the black sea, with a total possible salvo of up to 8 Kalibr cruise missiles. More may follow, and launches are possible from the ports.
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Lots of launches of Geran-2 drones are being recorded.
Berdyansk Airbase, Zaporizhzhia Oblast.
Millerevo Aribase, Rostov oblast.
Navlya Test Site, Bryansk Oblast.
Primorsko-Akhtarsk Airbase, Krasnodar Krai.
Tsymbulova Test Site, Oryol Oblast.
Berdyansk Airbase, Zaporizhzhia Oblast.
Millerevo Aribase, Rostov oblast.
Navlya Test Site, Bryansk Oblast.
Primorsko-Akhtarsk Airbase, Krasnodar Krai.
Tsymbulova Test Site, Oryol Oblast.
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Considering there are 2-4 Tu-95s stationed at Engels-2 right now, if a missile attack does take place, we may see these ones take part, even though they aren't stationed at Olenya.
Additionally, if there is an attack, it will finally confirm that Tu-95s and Tu-160s are indeed being equipped with missiles at Belaya Airbase.
Additionally, if there is an attack, it will finally confirm that Tu-95s and Tu-160s are indeed being equipped with missiles at Belaya Airbase.
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The Russians turned on a masker on one of the combat frequencies.
It's been 3+ years and they have finally decided to do something about radio interceptions lmao.
It's been 3+ years and they have finally decided to do something about radio interceptions lmao.
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Additional possible launches of Geran-2 drones from Shatalovo Airbase in Smolensk Oblast and Khalino Airbase in Kursk Oblast.
7 directions in total now. Ukrainian monitors expect upwards of 300 Gerans tonight.
7 directions in total now. Ukrainian monitors expect upwards of 300 Gerans tonight.
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AMK Mapping
Possible launches of Geran-2 drones from Cape Chauda, Crimea.
Repeated launches of Geran-2 drones from Cape Chauda
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AMK Mapping
The activity is indicative of an upcoming missile strike. 75% probability. Currently, 2 Kablir-carriers are in the waters of the black sea, with a total possible salvo of up to 8 Kalibr cruise missiles. More may follow, and launches are possible from the…
Correction: The two kalibr carriers in the Black Sea are submarines of the Varshavyanka project.
Total possible salvo of 12 Kalibr cruise missiles.
Total possible salvo of 12 Kalibr cruise missiles.
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