Airspace restrictions have been imposed over sectors in Russia’s Lipetsk and Tambov regions, suggesting a high possibility of MiG-31K combat sorties tonight

Note: This area is commonly used for launching Kinzhal aeroballistic missiles

Geran-2 drones are currently attacking Starokostyantyniv Airbase, Khmelnytskyi Oblast.

Impacts are recorded. At least 16 Gerans are flying to the city

~45 Geran-2 drones in Ukrainian airspace.

Geran-2 drones are also attacking Kropyvnytskyi City in Kirovohrad Oblast. 8 are flying in - 6 from the south, 2 from the north.

Around 3 minutes ago, one of the Tu-95s landed at Engels-2 Airbase, Saratov Oblast. The IL-78 tanker from Diaghilev Airbase in Ryazan Oblast, which earlier carried out one refueling of the Tu-95s from Olenya, has also likely landed there.

The 2 Tu-160s made a U-turn from Volgograd Oblast, likely after conducting launch maneuvers, and have landed at Engels-2 Airbase.

Several Geran-2 impacts in Kropyvnytskyi. 2 remain, 1 approaching its target.

The Tu-95MS that landed at Engels-2 Airbase was the one which departed from Engels-2. The 2 bombers from Olenya Airbase are still airborne - location unknown.

Kh-101 cruise missiles will probably arrive in the airspace within the next 15 minutes.

~35 Geran-2 drones in Ukrainian airspace. The ones at Kropyvnytskyi have impacted. The attack on Starokostyantyniv continues.

No cruise missiles have been detected in Ukrainian airspace yet. It's possible that the launches were detected early, or that they took place further east than thought.

As for Gerans:

Around a dozen are still flying to strike Starokostyantyniv Airbase.
6+ more are transiting through Kyiv Oblast towards Vinnytsia/Zhytomyr Oblasts, and possibly further to Starokostyantyniv.
2 others are circling in Lutsk and Volyn Oblasts.

~20 Geran-2 drones in Ukrainian airspace. Several impacts were recorded in and around Starokostyantyniv Airbase earlier.

Kh-101s enter Sumy Oblast.

Kh-101 group 1 is flying southwest through Sumy Oblast, over/near Romny towards Pyriatyn, Poltava Oblast. 4+ missiles in total.

Kh-101 group 2 entered the airspace near Hlukhiv, Sumy Oblast, entered Chernihiv Oblast and is flying to Nizhyn.

No changes to group 1.

Kh-101 group 1 flies south through Myrhorod District, between Myrhorod and Lubny.

Group 2 flies west towards Desna, Chernihiv Oblast.

Kh-101 group 1 changes course to the southwest, bypassing Lubny from the west and flying towards Cherkasy City.

Group 2 changed course to the south, and is flying past Pyriatyn, Poltava Oblast.

Kh-101 group 1 is flying southwest towards Zolotonosha, Cherkasy Oblast.

Group 2 also flies towards Zolotonosha, but from the north.

Approximately 10 missiles in Ukrainian airspace. 5 in each group.