If the Tu-95s are still flying their usual course directly south, then they should arrive at the Engels launch lines in around 30 minutes.

⚡️🇺🇸🇮🇱🇵🇸 Jerusalem Post: Following a deadlock over a partial deal that would have seen 10 hostages released in exchange for a 60-day ceasefire, both Washington and Jerusalem are reassessing their strategy.

Several figures in the Trump administration now believe the moment may be right to pursue a comprehensive deal with Hamas—one that would end the war in Gaza and secure the release of all Israeli hostages.

Israeli officials are reportedly weighing an ultimatum to Hamas: accept the deal or face consequences. An Israeli official however did admit that current humanitarian efforts by Israel were due to international pressure.

@wfwitness

The 2 Tu-160s from Borsiglebskoye Airbase have linked up with the Tu-95MS from Engels-2, and are now circling in northeastern Saratov Oblast, waiting for the 2 Tu-95s from Olenya.

The 2 Tu-95s from Olenya Airbase have entered northern Saratov Oblast, approaching the launch lines in Engels District. An IL-78 Tanker is airborne from Diaghilev Airbase in Ryazan Oblast, refueling the Tu-95s.

The other Tu-95 from Engels-2 Airbase is circling in southern Saratov Oblast, near the airbase, and the other 2 Tu-160s are circling elsewhere. Its unclear if these will take part in launches of Kh-101 cruise missiles.

The Tu-160s have flown out of Saratov Oblast, and are now in Volgograd Oblast flying southwest.

The 2 Tu-95s from Olenya carried out launch maneuvers from the Engels launch lines. If the launches were real and not simulated, then we should expect Kh-101 cruise missiles in Ukrainian airspace in 50-70 minutes.

The Tu-95MS from Engels-2 Airbase also carried out a launch maneuver at the same time as the other 2 bombers.

The 2 Tu-160s from Borsiglebskoye Airbase, Republic of Tatarstan may have also carried out launch maneuvers from the launch lines in Kalachyovksy District, Volgograd Oblast, at the same time as the Tu-95s.

The Kh-101 cruise missiles will likely fly to the far western regions of Ukraine. Lviv, Rivne, Lutsk, Khmelnytskyi, Ivano-Frankivsk, Ternopil. Geran-2 drones will be attacking simultaneously to saturate Ukrainian air defence.

Airspace restrictions have been imposed over sectors in Russia’s Lipetsk and Tambov regions, suggesting a high possibility of MiG-31K combat sorties tonight

Note: This area is commonly used for launching Kinzhal aeroballistic missiles

Geran-2 drones are currently attacking Starokostyantyniv Airbase, Khmelnytskyi Oblast.

Impacts are recorded. At least 16 Gerans are flying to the city

~45 Geran-2 drones in Ukrainian airspace.

Geran-2 drones are also attacking Kropyvnytskyi City in Kirovohrad Oblast. 8 are flying in - 6 from the south, 2 from the north.

Around 3 minutes ago, one of the Tu-95s landed at Engels-2 Airbase, Saratov Oblast. The IL-78 tanker from Diaghilev Airbase in Ryazan Oblast, which earlier carried out one refueling of the Tu-95s from Olenya, has also likely landed there.

The 2 Tu-160s made a U-turn from Volgograd Oblast, likely after conducting launch maneuvers, and have landed at Engels-2 Airbase.

Several Geran-2 impacts in Kropyvnytskyi. 2 remain, 1 approaching its target.

The Tu-95MS that landed at Engels-2 Airbase was the one which departed from Engels-2. The 2 bombers from Olenya Airbase are still airborne - location unknown.

Kh-101 cruise missiles will probably arrive in the airspace within the next 15 minutes.

~35 Geran-2 drones in Ukrainian airspace. The ones at Kropyvnytskyi have impacted. The attack on Starokostyantyniv continues.