There are reports that Ukraine has fired multiple Neptune missiles at Crimea. It is currently unknown if these are real or decoys. I will continue to monitor the situation.

They were decoys.

Another video has surfaced of a different, heavily damaged, bridge in Pokrovsk.

Repeated explosions in Zaporizhzhia city. KABs were launched from a Su-34 over Melitopol.

Another explosion.

A small Russian Geran attack is currently underway. Three drones launched from Crimea flew over Kherson Oblast and then over Bashtanka district of Mykolaiv Oblast. They are now flying in the direction of Voznesensk.

Repeated launches of drones is possible.

More to come.

They are now flying to Vinnytsia.

Ukrainian air defence is operating in Mykolaiv Oblast.

Meanwhile, an unknown number of Ukrainian UAVs are flying through Belgorod Oblast in the direction of Voronezh Oblast.

New launches of Geran drones from Crimea were recorded.

2 new Ukrainian UAVs are flying in the direction of Kursk. Russian air defence is active.

2 new Gerans flew to Mykolaiv city. 1 was reportedly shot down while the other flys in via the Korebelny microdistrict.

Explosions in Khmelnytskyi Oblast. A Geran drone was previously over the region.

The IDF claimed that it has officially eliminated the Al-Qassam brigades in Rafah.

Possibly in response to the recent Hezbollah rocket strikes on the Galillee region of Northern Israel, the Israeli air-force conducted airstrikes on the southern Lebanese city of Bint Jbeil. Smoke is seen rising over the city.

I'm taking the night off today to rest and work on non-Ukraine related things. Unless something major happens, don't expect any more posts today.

A reminder: my map has been updated despite reports not being published here, so if you want to access the frontline changes first, click here: https://www.google.com/maps/d/u/1/edit?hl=en&mid=1thW9kqnDOaS2lAepLhLdzSX8Ur9Sc4k&ll=47.81180681268694%2C35.86711770000002&z=7

Explosions in Brovary, Kyiv Oblast. Geran attacks.

There are currently 7 Russian missile carriers in the black sea, with a total possible volley of up to 48 Kalibr missiles.

Geolocated footage indicates that Russian forces have advanced north of Ukrainsk and are bypassing the town from the north.

Here, Russian forces managed to take up positions in three parallel treelines, and are likely trying to cut the Selydove-Ukrainsk road, which is the last remaining sealed road which resupplies Ukrainsk.

It is possible that after cutting the road, the Russians will turn to the Terykon overlooking the town and attempt to capture it from behind, possibly with the goal of encircling the AFU inside the town, but in my opinion the chances are that Ukraine will withdraw before this happens, if it were to happen.

However, this advance does put Ukrainsk in a critical situation, and I believe that the town will probably fall in the next few days unless Ukraine can somehow temporarily stabilise the situation there.