A small Russian Geran attack is currently underway. Three drones launched from Crimea flew over Kherson Oblast and then over Bashtanka district of Mykolaiv Oblast. They are now flying in the direction of Voznesensk.

Repeated launches of drones is possible.

More to come.

They are now flying to Vinnytsia.

Ukrainian air defence is operating in Mykolaiv Oblast.

Meanwhile, an unknown number of Ukrainian UAVs are flying through Belgorod Oblast in the direction of Voronezh Oblast.

New launches of Geran drones from Crimea were recorded.

2 new Ukrainian UAVs are flying in the direction of Kursk. Russian air defence is active.

2 new Gerans flew to Mykolaiv city. 1 was reportedly shot down while the other flys in via the Korebelny microdistrict.

Explosions in Khmelnytskyi Oblast. A Geran drone was previously over the region.

The IDF claimed that it has officially eliminated the Al-Qassam brigades in Rafah.

Possibly in response to the recent Hezbollah rocket strikes on the Galillee region of Northern Israel, the Israeli air-force conducted airstrikes on the southern Lebanese city of Bint Jbeil. Smoke is seen rising over the city.

I'm taking the night off today to rest and work on non-Ukraine related things. Unless something major happens, don't expect any more posts today.

A reminder: my map has been updated despite reports not being published here, so if you want to access the frontline changes first, click here: https://www.google.com/maps/d/u/1/edit?hl=en&mid=1thW9kqnDOaS2lAepLhLdzSX8Ur9Sc4k&ll=47.81180681268694%2C35.86711770000002&z=7

Explosions in Brovary, Kyiv Oblast. Geran attacks.

There are currently 7 Russian missile carriers in the black sea, with a total possible volley of up to 48 Kalibr missiles.

Geolocated footage indicates that Russian forces have advanced north of Ukrainsk and are bypassing the town from the north.

Here, Russian forces managed to take up positions in three parallel treelines, and are likely trying to cut the Selydove-Ukrainsk road, which is the last remaining sealed road which resupplies Ukrainsk.

It is possible that after cutting the road, the Russians will turn to the Terykon overlooking the town and attempt to capture it from behind, possibly with the goal of encircling the AFU inside the town, but in my opinion the chances are that Ukraine will withdraw before this happens, if it were to happen.

However, this advance does put Ukrainsk in a critical situation, and I believe that the town will probably fall in the next few days unless Ukraine can somehow temporarily stabilise the situation there.

Geolocated footage indicates that Russian forces have made significant progress in the Kurakhove direction and have completely closed the southern Krasnohorivka salient.

A large Russian mechanised assault with at least 12 vehicles pushed into the village of Hostre, where Russsian infantry dismounted and took up positions in the eastern buildings. Ukrainian forces responded by shelling the Russian vehicles and conducting FPV drone strikes on the vehicles and new Russian positions in the houses.

The fact that the Russians controlled the high-ground in the east simplified the offensive operations and allowed them to quickly close the salient. Ukrainian forces still hold positions in Hostre and near the reservoirs to the east of Kurakhove, and future Russian advances depend on whether assault operations are carried out in Maksymilyanivka soon.

A reliable source reported that Russian forces have continued to make substantial progress in Ukrainsk and have captured the majority of the town.

Russian forces have reportedly captured the rest of the southern dachas and advanced into the southern residential area. Meanwhile in the town centre, Russian forces reportedly captured the remaining 5 story buildings, with assault operations apparently ongoing on the remaining three-story buildings.

In the north of Ukrainsk, the Russians reportedly managed to advance from the east and captured Ukrainian positions in the low-rise residential area and are pushing in the direction of the Ukrainsk mine.

If these reports are true, then it is likely that the town will fall in the coming days. Ukraine appears to be putting up less and less resistance each day, likely due to limited resuppliment and reinforcements.

As the IDF predicted, Hamas launched two rockets from Beit Lahia in the northern Gaza Strip at the city of Ashkelon.

It is reported that one rocket was shot down by Israeli air defences and the other fell in the sea off the coast of Ashkelon. No casualties were reported.

Today’s Russian Geran drone attack was smaller than usual. ~7 drones were launched from Kursk. These primarily targeted Poltava Oblast, specifically Poltava city and Myrhorod.

There is currently only one Geran left in the airspace of Ukraine, and it is flying in the direction of Cherkasy Oblast.

Unless new Shaheds are launched, I doubt there will be any Kh-101 missile launches.

It’s important to note that there are still 7 Kalibr missile carriers in the Black Sea with a total possible volley of up to 48 missiles.

Meanwhile it appears that Ukraine has utilized its jet drones against Russia. They were recorded over Moscow Oblast a few hours ago, but nothing has been reported since then.

Their normal UAVs were also used, with reports by Russians indicating they flew over Kursk, Belgorod, Kaluga, Smolensk, Bryansk, Tula, Oryol, Moscow and Lipetsk Oblasts.