Additionally, the Izmail port was struck by as many as a dozen drones, rather than all of them targeting the substation.

Lmao

This is what happens when you lie to your audience for nearly four years straight, while believing the opposite of what you say behind closed doors.

🇵🇸🇮🇱⚡️- "If the United Nations pushes for recognition of Palestine, I will order targeted assassinations of senior Palestinian Authority terrorists and the arrest of Mahmoud Abbas himself." - Israeli National Security Minister Ben Gvir.

Last night, Russia carried out a combined missile and drone attack on the city of Berestyn, Kharkiv Oblast.

At least five Geran-2 drones and four Iskander-M ballistic missiles attacked an unknown target within the city limits.

Over the last week, I've seeing a lot of Pro-Ukraine accounts beginning to doom about the war. People are highlighting the massive issues plaguing the Armed Forces of Ukraine, and the Russian superiority in all the different fields of war.

But I guarantee you, that at some point towards the end of 2025 and into 2026, Ukraine will carry out some sort of PR-related operation like Spiderweb or Kursk which will "win back" these supporters. And sure enough, they will follow like sheep and good lil' patriots, changing up the presumed narrative, and shifting the goal posts back, once again, to restoring the 2014, or even 1991 borders.

We saw a similar phenomenon last year. After Russia entered northern Kharkiv Oblast and attacked the cities of Vovchansk and Lyptsi, and Ukraine redeployed units away from the Donbas, Russia began rapidly advancing in the directions of Pokrovsk, Vuhledar, Ukrainsk, and Kurakhove. Pro-Ukrainians began sounding the alarms, with these rapid advances massively contrasting the prolonged and difficult battle for Avdiivka. Then, in early August, Ukraine launched their Kursk operation, and everything changed back.

It's just the ebb and flow of the uninformed parts of the information space. But slowly, the goal posts are shifting. It's not linear, but the goal posts are trending in favour of Russia, and away from the original goal which was set of restoring the 1991 borders. This will only accelerate, but of course with a delay to Russian progress as we have seen in the past.

I cannot believe this.

Ukraine's train stations get hit by 4 ballistic missiles and half a dozen Geran-2 drones, and only result in some rerouting and delays of up to 1 hour.

My train lines get COMPLETELY CANCELLED for the entire day for an average of 4 days per week due to "track repairs". You're repairing tracks four times per week??? How is that even possible?

🇱🇧🇮🇱 - Israel has now killed 367 Hezbollah members since the Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire 356 days ago.

Hezbollah has responded 0 times.

Update on Russian preparations for the next large-scale, combined missile attack on Ukraine:

Yesterday, 1 Tu-160 strategic bombers redeployed from Ukrainka Airbase, Amur Oblast, to Engels-2 Airbase, Saratov Oblast. It is unlikely to be equipped with Kh-101 cruise missiles, as another Tu-160 redeployed from Engels-2 Airbase to Ukrainka Airbase, suggesting a rotation was carried out for training purposes, as this bomber has been stationed at Engels-2 for a long time and was only ever used for training.

2 Tu-95MS and 1 Tu-160 landed at Engels-2 Airbase just now after redeploying from Ukrainka airbase and will also be equipped with Kh-101 missiles. The 2 Tu-95MS will likely make a flight to Olenya Airbase, Murmansk Oblast, in the next 36 hours.

Another IL-76MD cargo plane, along with an An-26 cargo plane landed at Rostov Airbase. The cargo consists of additional Iskander-M ballistic missiles, which will be delivered to OTRK installations near Taganrog, Rostov Oblast.

Remember, 2 Iskanders were launched from Taganrog last night at a target in Berestyn, Kharkiv Oblast. It's also possible (but unlikely in my opinion) that a portion of these Iskanders from Rostov Airbase are being delivered to OTRK installations at Millerovo Airbase, Rostov Oblast.

New deliveries of at least 150 Geran-2 drones have been made to the launch sites at Millerovo Airbase, Rostov Oblast, and Navlya Test Site, Bryansk Oblast, via rail. Accumulation of drones at launch points surrounding Ukraine that have been allocated for this upcoming attack will be over 400 now.

One "Buyan-M" Corvette was equipped with up to 8 Kalibr cruise missiles at Novorossiysk Naval Base, Krasnodar Krai. No other Kalibr carriers are known to be equipped with missiles, so if the upcoming attack occurs in the next two days, it's unlikely that Kalibrs will be used

One MiG-31K fighter carried out rare, long-range training from Savasleika Airbase, Nizhny Novgorod Oblast. An IL-76M tanker from Diaghilev Airbase, Ryazan Oblast, took part in refueling the aircraft.

Currently, there are 8 MiG-31Ks stationed at Savasleika Airbase. Their equipment status is unknown, but likely only a portion are equipped with Kinzhal missiles. The 2 MiG-31Ks at Akhtubinsk Airbase, Astrakhan Oblast, are not equipped with missiles.

Right now, there are 3 Tu-95MS at Olenya Airbase, 3 Tu-95MS at Engels-2 Airbase, and 5 Tu-160s at Engels-2 Airbase. Currently confirmed to be equipped / are being equipped with missiles are: 6 Tu-95MS and 3 Tu-160s.

The next large-scale missile attack is unlikely to take place tonight, but there is an increased threat for Wednesday night / Thursday morning, and the three nights after that.

⚡🇷🇺 Kommersant: Russia’s United Aircraft Corporation (OAK) has delivered two fifth-generation Su-57 stealth fighters to an undisclosed foreign customer. OAK CEO Vadim Badeha stated that the aircraft have already entered combat duty, are performing well, and the buyer is satisfied.

The announcement comes as Russia showcased the export version Su-57E and the upgraded Yak-130M at the Dubai Airshow 2025. This marks the first confirmed export delivery of the Su-57.

@wfwitness

Twitter just realised they almost went a whole week without breaking, so had to quickly fix that.

A car-ramming and stabbing incident has just taken place at Gush Etzion Junction in the Israeli-occupied part of the West Bank.

Three Palestinians took part in the attack and have reportedly all been killed. One woman is in critical condition and unconscious.

Four Israelis are injured. The woman in critical condition was reportedly accidentally shot by IDF security forces as they fired on the Palestinian perpetrators.

1 Tu-95MS departed from Engels-2 Airbase, Saratov Oblast, redeploying to Olenya Airbase, after it was equipped with Kh-101 cruise missiles. The other bomber will take off shortly.

Autumn logistics in Ukraine.

Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk reports that the two suspects for blowing up the Warsaw-Dęblin were Ukrainian citizens, collaborating with Russian intelligence services. Both have reportedly flown back to Belarus.

Russian forces have captured the village of Vesele, Hulyaipole direction, Zaporizhzhia Oblast.

Pre-war population: ~35.
Total land area: ~0.18 km².

There is a possible threat of a large-scale Russian missile attack tonight. Nothing is certain, and nothing significant has been recorded, but there is an increased threat.

I will update in the morning (NZ time).