It disappeared from the radar.

Strong explosions are reported in the Safed area.

Interceptions over Safed

So far an estimated 300 Israeli airstrikes have been carried out on Southern Lebanon.

Russian forces have likely advanced north of Hostre and captured two 2km long treelines.

This advance - if true - would put them just ~1km from the eastern outskirts of Oleksandropil'. Additionally, as the Russians are advancing downhill, it simplifies their offensive operations.

— ❗️🇱🇧/🇮🇱 NEW: Death toll is now at least 100, with 400+ wounded, many critically

@Middle_East_Spectator

This is major. I believe that this is the highest death toll from Israeli airstrikes on Lebanon since the beginning of the war.

To those who haven't realized it yet, we've clearly entered the beginning stages of the Third Lebanon War.

At this point, Hezbollah is hoping for Israel to invade Lebanon; it's the only way Hezbollah will have a clear advantage.

Meanwhile airstrikes continue to be carried out on targets throughout southern Lebanon. Mass evacuations are currently taking place.

I genuinely believe that Israel might invade in the next couple of weeks.

The IDF has announced evacuation orders for the Beqaa valley in northeastern Lebanon. They are about to strike Hezbollah targets there.

Meanwhile the death toll from the airstrikes has reportedly doubled to 200 following the Italian hospital in the city of Tyre being hit by an airstrike. Another 700 have been wounded.

Key developments in The Middle East over the past 12 hours:

The death toll from Israel’s airstrikes on Lebanon has reached at least 492 with another 1,645 being wounded, according to the Lebanese Health Ministry. This is already nearly half the total casualties from the entire 2006 Lebanon war.

So far the total number of Israeli airstrikes on southern Lebanon has reportedly reached approximately 1,600. Airstrikes are still being carried out at this moment.

Israel conducted an airstrike on the suburbs of Beirut, targeting the Hezbollah commander, “Ali Karaki”. Hezbollah later released a statement saying that the assassination attempt was unsuccessful and that he has moved to a safe place.

Hezbollah launched a series of barrages of rockets at northern Israel. Sirens sounded in the city of Haifa for the first time since 2006, and direct impacts were recorded in the city.

The Ramat David airbase was also targeted by Hezbollah rockets, with NASA FIRMS data confirming a large fire there, likely from a direct impact.

A series of direct impacts by Hezbollah rockets were made in the occupied West Bank, hitting Israeli settlements and an Israeli military outpost.

Israel has once again closed their airspace from Haifa to the border with Lebanon, this time until the end of September.

Iran’s president Masoud Pezeshkian stated that 'The assassination of Ismael Haniyeh (former Hamas leader) will definitely not go unanswered'

Meanwhile in Ukraine, yet another Russian Geran attack is underway.

~9 Geran drones were launched from Crimea in two waves. The first wave consisting of ~5 drones flew through Kherson, Mykolaiv and Kirovohrad Oblasts before reaching the city of Kremenchuk. The second lot (~4) are flying on the same path as the first ones.

Meanwhile, ~14 Gerans were launched from Kursk Oblast, also in two waves. The first wave consisting of ~5 drones split up quite early on, with 2 flying to Cherkasy, and the rest flying to Myrhorod, Poltava Oblast. The second wave consisting of ~9 drones flew through Sumy and Chernihiv Oblasts and are now targeting Kyiv Oblast. Most of these will likely be shot down, but a couple will probably fly until the morning in Ukraine.

Russian forces likely entered the main part of Vuhledar this morning.

Rockets in the direction of Nazareth, Northern Israel. Explosions were reported in Afula.

I've noticed lately that the Russian Geran drone attacks have been lasting longer than usual. For example, they used to begin at around 10pm local time, but now they are starting at around 6pm (around 4 hours earlier). As for when they ended, it used to be at around 4am local time, but is now around 10am (around 6 hours longer).

This means that they are lasting for around 10 hours longer on average. This is likely to cause strain on Ukrainian air defences by tiring out the operators and possibly even forcing them to rotate who is operating them. This means that Ukraine requires more trained air defence operators, something that I can imagine they don't exactly have a surplus of. Additionally, it also means that Ukraine is wasting more air defence on larger swarms of drones which fly for long periods of time.

Ukraine has responded to this by letting the drones fly until the late morning, as they know that many of them aren't intended to hit targets, but are instead for the reasons above. The issue with this is that it lowers the morale of the civilian population as many feel the need to stay awake for the whole night due to the risk of being hit by a drone. Ukrainian propaganda has convinced many people that Russia will hit civilian targets constantly with their Gerans, and their crazy shoot down rates claims support their narrative as they can say that they didn't hit civilian targets because they were shot down.

Civilians in Ukraine therefore believe that there is always an underlying risk of their homes being hit. This means that they are sleep deprived when they need to go to work or school the next day, slightly decreasing economic output and education, however the main issue for them will always be morale. They will be more inclined to wanting peace negotiations with Russia to end the daily attacks.

Russian forces have reportedly entered the eastern high-rise buildings of Vuhledar along Magistralnaya and Desantnikov streets.

If true, then they likely firstly advanced to the Water pumping station on the eastern outskirts, before advancing to the Hotel, the university campus and high-rise residential buildings.

I expect that the advance inside the town will speed up significantly as the remaining Ukrainian troops withdraw. It's unknown how much of the 72nd mechanised brigade is still there, but it is known that connoscripts from the 110th mechanised brigade have already surrendered outside of the town.

Russian forces have reportedly advanced in the Hirnyk direction and have apparently captured the villages of Zhelanne Pershe and Zhelanne Druhe.

While this is not confirmed, if true it would effectively cut off any remaining Ukrainian groupings north of Krasnohorivka.

It is also reported that the Russians have captured a large trench fortification northwest of Zhelanne Druhe. They might use this to launch flanking attacks on the eastern part of Hirnyk.

Reliable reports suggest that Russian forces have advanced west of Ukrainsk and captured a series of Ukrainian treeline positions.

Following the consolidation of positions inside Ukrainsk, Russian forces began an assault to the north of this most recent advance. That allowed for an advance directly on the fields outside Tsukyrne, with some preliminary reports suggesting that they have already entered the eastern residential buildings and have taken up positions in the 3-story buildings.

Keep in mind that none of these advances have been confirmed, but if true would cause significant issues for the AFU as the town could be used as a staging ground for attacks to the rear of Hirnyk and would create yet another cauldron for Ukraine.

Russian forces are reportedly probing the Ukrainian defence in and around Vasyukivka.