AMK Mapping – Telegram
AMK Mapping
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Focusing on news from the Russia-Ukraine war and other conflicts in the Middle East.

If you want to help support my reporting: https://buymeacoffee.com/amk_mapping.

All links to my interactive maps, twitter account, etc: https://linktr.ee/AMK_Mapping
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In the Kupyansk direction, over the last 10 days Ukrainian forces continued their counterattacks, making significant progress on both banks of the Oskil River.

In the east, Ukrainian forces cleared the eastern edge of Kurylivka from Russian DRGs once again and began pushing back towards the highway. They advanced northeast through the treelines, and southeast through the forested gulleys, securing the poorly consolidated Russian positions. Russian forces are now attempting to attack Ukrainian positions in the area of the highway once again. Additionally, Ukrainian forces recaptured the southeastern part of Petropavlivka and secured the forest plantations to the south.

To the northwest, Ukrainian forces cleared the central part of Petropavlivka from Russian DRGs and recaptured the eastern houses of the village. From there, they pushed further north and recaptured large parts of northern Petropavlivka, reaching the southern bank of the tributary of the Hnylytsya River.

To the west, Ukrainian forces began a series of coordinated efforts aimed at recapturing the eastern part of Kupyansk. After bringing in reinforcements to the southeastern part of the city, Ukrainian assault groups began pushing north up the eastern bank of the Oskil river, past the highway, recapturing large parts of the low-rise residential areas as well as the milk processing factory. Heavy fighting is ongoing for the Kupyansk Sugar Factory.

Other assault groups re-entered the large industrial zone east of the railway line, quickly recapturing the vast majority of it. This was done in coordination with attacks from the east in Kurylivka, which allowed for the Ukrainians to also push the Russians out of this village and consolidate in large parts of the adjacnet forests.

In southwestern Kupyansk, Ukrainian forces captured additional streets south of the central market and established control over the Kupyansk Motor Transport College. Fighting is ongoing for the neighbouring machine-building plant.

In central Kupyansk, Ukrainian forces secured the remaining low-rise residential streets west of the city centre and captured the museum and a number of high-rise buildings. Fighting is ongoing for the city's administrative building.

In northwestern Kupyansk, Ukrainian forces continued their clearing operations against small groups of encircled Russian soldiers. They were able to capture new positions in the low-rise residential streets and secured most of the apartment buildings making up the "comb" stronghold.

+ ~24.30 km² in favour of Ukraine.

Interactive map link: https://www.google.com/maps/d/u/1/edit?hl=en&mid=1thW9kqnDOaS2lAepLhLdzSX8Ur9Sc4k&ll
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In the Borova direction, Ukrainian forces have launched a series of counterattacks, making new progress in two different areas.

In the north, following earlier Russian advances, Ukrainian forces cleared the northern-most part of Bohuslavka and began attacking into the neighbouring village of Zahryzove. They managed to consolidate in the southern part of the village, before attacking further north and securing the central, western, and eastern streets.

In the south, following an earlier Russian pipeline operation, Ukrainian FPV drone operators managed to kill a significant portion of the Russian soldiers who exited the pipe near the highway northeast of Novoplatonivka. Assault groups then cleared the northern outskirts of the village from Russian DRGs and recaptured the section of the highway, including a large trench fortification.

+ ~8.83 km² in favour of Ukraine.

Interactive map link: https://www.google.com/maps/d/u/1/edit?hl=en&mid=1thW9kqnDOaS2lAepLhLdzSX8Ur9Sc4k&ll
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In the Borova direction, both Russian and Ukrainian forces have advanced in different areas of Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts.

In the northeast, Russian forces restarted their assault operations in western Luhansk Oblast. They advanced west along a treeline northwest of Novojehorivka and outflanked Ukrainian positions from the west by advancing south down the forest plantations in the direction of Tverdokhlibove. This allowed for them to secure the groves to the east.

To the south, Russian forces continued advancing towards the Donetsk-Luhansk regional border. They were able to break through Ukrainian positions north of the Lomovaty Forest, capturing new positions in the forests west of the reservoir. They also managed to improve their positions in the treeline and forest plantations east of the reservoir.

To the southwest, Ukrainian forces recaptured the treelines and forest plantations north of Hrekivka and re-entered the village. Fighting is ongoing and a large grey-zone has formed in the settlement.

To the west, Russian forces captured the rest of a forest west of Hrekivka and gained a foothold in the forest to the north. They also captured new treeline positions to the west. Additionally, the Russians resumed their assault operations in the forest west of Novomykhalivka following earlier unsuccesful attacks.

In the southwest, at some point recently, Ukrainian forces managed to clear the eastern bank of the Nitrius River southeast of Hlushchenkove and recaptured the lightly-manned positions in the forested areas northwest of Ridkodub. They also managed to consolidate in the remaining treelines southwest of Novyi Myr.

Meanwhile, Russian forces resumed their attacks in Ridkodub. They managed to recapture the local school which has been in the grey-zone for some time due to Ukrainian glide-bomb strikes, and captured additional positions along Tsentralna street.

+ ~6.34 km² in favour of Ukraine.
+ ~6.20 km² in favour of Russia.

Interactive map link: https://www.google.com/maps/d/u/1/edit?hl=en&mid=1thW9kqnDOaS2lAepLhLdzSX8Ur9Sc4k&ll
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In the Lyman direction, both Russian and Ukrainian forces have advanced at various different points.

In the southeast, Russian forces captured additional positions in the western part of the Pynkiv Yar Gulley, and continued advancing through the treelines to the west. DRGs continue infiltrating towards the northern outskirts of the city, while other DRGs broke into the city centre of Lyman from the area of School No. 2.

To the northwest, Russian forces resumed their assault operations northwest of the town of Drobysheve, where they recaptured positions in the large forest there.

To the west, Ukrainian forces managed to clear the western part of Yarova from Russian DRGs, pushing them back beyond the railway line and resecuring the road to Drobysheve.

To the north, Russian forces resumed their assault operations in the Sviati Hory National Park and captured new positions in the direction of the Sosnove - Oleksandrivka Road.

+ ~2.54 km² in favour of Russia.
+ ~0.90 km² in favour of Ukraine.

Interactive map link: https://www.google.com/maps/d/u/1/edit?hl=en&mid=1thW9kqnDOaS2lAepLhLdzSX8Ur9Sc4k&ll
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On the southwestern flank of Kostyantynivka, Russian forces continued their assault operations and have made new progress in two different areas.

In the west, following earlier infiltrations, Russian forces managed to consolidate in the treelines west of Stepanivka, forcing the Ukrainians back into the village.

In the east, Russian forces continued their attacks along the highway in small groups and managed to consolidate in additional trenches in the direction of the highway intersection.

+ ~2.83 km² in favour of Russia.

Interactive map link: https://www.google.com/maps/d/u/1/edit?hl=en&mid=1thW9kqnDOaS2lAepLhLdzSX8Ur9Sc4k&ll
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In the Dobropillya direciton, Russian forces continued to advance, completing the capture of Myrnohrad and making new progress elsewhere.

In Myrnohrad, following extensive clearing operations, Russian forces established control over the remaining low-rise residential streets in the northwestern part of the city. They also captured the remaining high-rise buildings in the northeast, thereby establishing full control over the city.

To the northwest, Russian forces launched a new series of assault operations in Rodynske following recent Ukrainian counterattacks. They managed to clear the western part of the southeastern high-rise micro-district and establish control over parts of the southern low-rise residential area.

Additionally, they broke through Ukrainian defences in the city centre, capturing most of the rest of the three-story buildings and dislodging the Ukrainians from practically all of their strongpoints there. Fighting is ongoing with the remaining pockets of resistance in the northern and southwestern parts of the city.

To the east, Russian forces managed to recapture the Krasnolymanskaya Mine and the nearby forested area. Other assault groups advanced north up the treeline east of the mine and entered the ventilation shaft, where fighting is ongoing.

+ ~3.39 km² in favour of Russia.

Interactive map link: https://www.google.com/maps/d/u/1/edit?hl=en&mid=1thW9kqnDOaS2lAepLhLdzSX8Ur9Sc4k&ll
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KAB glide-bomb to Sumy City
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AMK Mapping
KAB glide-bomb to Sumy City
10 km away, flying to Tokari from the northeast
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Approximate path
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Explosion in Sumy
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In the Novopavlivka direction, Russian forces continued to advance and have made important progress in and around Novopavlivka

In the east, Russian forces continued pushing north through the treelines south of Novopavlivka, capturing new positions east and west of the highway. Other assault groups continued expanding their zone of control within the town, capturing new positions in the southern and southeastern streets, approaching the town centre.

In the west, Russian forces managed to complete the capture of the fortified forests northwest of Filiya, securing the last section to the east of Ivanivka.

+ ~7.20 km² in favour of Russia.

Interactive map link: https://www.google.com/maps/d/u/1/edit?hl=en&mid=1thW9kqnDOaS2lAepLhLdzSX8Ur9Sc4k&ll
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In the Omelnyk direction, Russian forces continued to advance and have captured the city of Hulyaipole.

In the southeast, following the fall of the city centre and large parts of the western streets, Russian forces advanced further west down the highway and captured the industrial zone. Other forces cleared the remaining residential streets in the northwest of the city. Additionally, Russian forces advanced beyond the city and captured treeline positions to the southwest and continued incrementally advancing through the 2022 fortifications to the south.

In the northwest, Russian forces continued to expand their bridgehead on the western bank of the Haichur River. They improved their positions in the treelines west of Dobropillya, while DRGs infiltrated past the railway line and into the treelines further west. Other assault groups began advancing north up the treelines to Kosivtseve, and entered the village, where fighting is ongoing.

+ ~12.68 km² in favour of Russia.

Interactive map link: https://www.google.com/maps/d/u/1/edit?hl=en&mid=1thW9kqnDOaS2lAepLhLdzSX8Ur9Sc4k&ll
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AMK Mapping
Russian forces have captured the city of Hulyaipole, Hulyaipole direction, Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Pre-war population: ~14,600. Total land area: ~25.10 km². The fighting for Hulyaipole lasted approximately 32 days.
Following the fall of Hulyaipole, I expect the next step of the Russian offensive (which initially started from Vuhledar and is "wrapping around" the southern Ukrainian defences) will be to capture the highest point of the tactical heights west of the city in the area of Zaliznychne.

The fall of Hulyaipole and most of the positions east of the Haichur River means that Russia has effectively reached the end of the unfavourable terrain they have been advancing through since Velyka Novosilka, and opens up opportunities to advance parallel with the tactical heights instead.

This can only be done once Russia establishes a large bridgehead west of the Haichur River, beyond the two tactical bridgeheads they currently hold in the area of Hulyaipole and Kosivtseve. Once this is able to encompass those tactical heights at Zaliznychne and at Ternuvate, the path to outflank the fortress city of Orikhiv from the north will open.
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AMK Mapping
Following the fall of Hulyaipole, I expect the next step of the Russian offensive (which initially started from Vuhledar and is "wrapping around" the southern Ukrainian defences) will be to capture the highest point of the tactical heights west of the city…
Another thing that I should mention is that the current movements from Stepnohirsk in the direction of the Konka River suggest that the Russians are going to attempt to outflank Orikhiv from both sides.

The terrain here for Ukraine is incredibly unfavourable, and the only thing that prevented a Russian advance into Orikhiv was the extensive fortifications between the city and the infamous village of Robotyne.

This may be part of the reason why Ukraine has brought in reinforcements to the Zaliznychne area, west of Hulyaipole - to prevent the Russians from securing the highest point of the tactical heights and beginning their outflanking maneuver from the east.
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As usual, I won't comment on the Zelensky-Trump meeting. It's all theatre, there will be no peace deal.

I continue to assess that none of the sides are prepared to negotiate in good faith, even if they say otherwise publicly.

Stop falling for the same tricks over and over again!
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The Ukrainian Special Operations Forces published new footage showing FP-2 drone strikes on Russian rear targets.

Strikes were carried on a Geran-2 storage facility near the city of Makiivka, Donetsk Oblast, and a repair unit for the Russian 1435th Motor Rifle Regiment near Antratsyt, Luhansk Oblast.
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There is a high threat of another large-scale, combined Russian missile and drone attack on Ukraine in the next 36 hours.

This attack, if it takes place, will *likely* not include Tu-95MS or Tu-160 strategic bombers, but rather Iskander-M ballistic missiles, Iskander-K cruise missiles, Kinzhal hypersonic aeroballistic missiles, and possibly Kalibr cruise missiles. There is still a possibility of strategic aviation being used, however.

Currently, it is known that at least two MiG-31K fighters are equipped with Kinzhals at Savasleika Airbase, Nizhny Novgorod Oblast. Additionally, Iskander-M and possibly Iskander-K cruise missiles have been delivered to OTRK installations in Taganrog (Rostov Oblast), Khalino Airbase (Kursk Oblast), and other areas recently.

And, of course, an unprecedented accumulation of Geran-2 and Gerbera drones remains at the launch points surrounding Ukraine.
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AMK Mapping
There is a high threat of another large-scale, combined Russian missile and drone attack on Ukraine in the next 36 hours. This attack, if it takes place, will *likely* not include Tu-95MS or Tu-160 strategic bombers, but rather Iskander-M ballistic missiles…
I feel like I should provide some context regarding my extensive coverage of Russian missile attacks, as it's always been one of the main focal points for my account.

Over the last 2 years, I've spent over 1,000 hours covering more than 100 Russian missile and drone attacks on Ukraine live. To my knowledge, I was the first ever OSINTer in the world to provide real-time updates of missile trajectories with maps. But these attacks are only a small part of this war, so why spend so much time and effort covering it?

For me, when I first started covering these attacks, I had less than 50 followers on Twitter. Doing something like this brought attention to my account as no one had seen it in public spaces before. As my reporting got significant more accurate, more and more people tuned into my live updates. This provided me with a lot of motivation to continue covering these attacks, allowing for me to get even more precise and reliable.

This motivation, combined with me finding a lot of interest in these attacks and learning about so much stuff, meant I just never stopped, despite it being such a small portion of this war's events.

More recently, I have frequently been messaged by Ukrainians and people visiting Ukraine thanking me for my coverage as it provided them with knowledge of whether it is safe or not in their respective cities. The Ukrainian Airforce is notoriously slow on updating threats and air raid alerts, which is why far less people use official outlets for this anymore.

So, a combination of these factors means that I don't intend on stopping any time soon, even if it restricts my ability to cover other areas of the war such as political developments. Obviously, real-life factors for me can reduce my ability to cover attacks, but I hope to continue as it's good for my account and good for those watching it.

A big thanks to those behind the scenes who help make this possible. You all know who you are.
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AMK Mapping
There is a high threat of another large-scale, combined Russian missile and drone attack on Ukraine in the next 36 hours. This attack, if it takes place, will *likely* not include Tu-95MS or Tu-160 strategic bombers, but rather Iskander-M ballistic missiles…
3 Tu-22m3 strategic bombers have redeployed from Shaykovka Airbase, Kaluga Oblast, to Engels-2 Airbase, Saratov Oblast. Earlier, an IL-76MD cargo plane landed at Engels-2 Airbase, transporting Kh-32 cruise missiles for the Tu-22m3 bombers.

Engels-2 was the airbase which the Tu-22m3 bombers departed from during the most recent large-scale attack. Therefore, there is a significantly increased threat to Odesa Oblast for the next 36 hours.
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AMK Mapping
3 Tu-22m3 strategic bombers have redeployed from Shaykovka Airbase, Kaluga Oblast, to Engels-2 Airbase, Saratov Oblast. Earlier, an IL-76MD cargo plane landed at Engels-2 Airbase, transporting Kh-32 cruise missiles for the Tu-22m3 bombers. Engels-2 was the…
Correction: at least one of the Tu-22m3 strategic bombers did not land at Engels-2 Airbase and flew further southwest into Volgograd Oblast.

It is currently flying past Volgograd in the direction of Novorossiysk, Krasnodar Krai, and the waters of the Black Sea.
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Last night, Ukraine apparently attempted to strike Moscow with Ukrainian-made Grom-2 ballistic missiles.

Russian sources report that both missiles were shot down by air defence over Tula Oblast. They stated that missile dangers were declared in a number of regions after the missiles were shot down due to the speed at which they were flying, and apparently due to very late detections.
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