In the Bilyi Kolodyaz, Ternova, and Lyptsi directions, Russian forces continued their offensive operations and have made new progress in five different areas.

In the northeast, Russian forces resumed their assault operations in the large forests south of the international border, capturing new positions there, and crossing the border slightly further west to take more forested positions.

To the south, the Russians continued taking positions in the eastern part of Vovchanki-Khutory, and have almost taken full control over the village.

To the southwest, Russian forces captured the central part of Symynivka and took up new positions in the southern streets. Other forces captured the rest of the main part of Hfraske, and improved their positions in the forests to the east, where heavy fighting with the remaining Ukrainian formations north of the tributary of the Siverskyi Donets River continues.

To the northwest, the Russians captured new positions in the forests southwest of Starytsya, and are now overlooking the southernmost part of the village.

To the west, following earlier infiltrations, Russian forces managed to take full control over the village of Zelene.

+ ~7.52 km² in favour of Russia.

Interactive map link: https://www.google.com/maps/d/u/1/edit?hl=en&mid=1thW9kqnDOaS2lAepLhLdzSX8Ur9Sc4k&ll

In the Myropillya and Krasnopillya directions, Russian forces continued their assault operations and have crossed the international border at multiple new points.

In the south, Russian forces advanced north through the gulleys towards Hrabovske, forcing the Ukrainian formations in the salient to the east to withdraw, therefore levelling the frontline south of Hrabovske.

To the north, the Russians crossed the border north of Vysoke and captured the Popivka tract and the surrounding forested areas.

To the northwest, Russian forces crossed the border from Kolotilovka and entered the village of Pokrovka. From there, they reached the western outskirts of the village, and advanced north to the northern outskirts, bringing it and some nearby forested areas under their full control.

To the north, the following extensive bombardment of Ukrainian positions, the Russians secured the treeline positions east of Oleksandriya and captured the forest plantations to the east.

+ ~37.44 km² in favour of Russia.

Interactive map link: https://www.google.com/maps/d/u/1/edit?hl=en&mid=1thW9kqnDOaS2lAepLhLdzSX8Ur9Sc4k&ll

Locations of Russian crossings over the international border since the beginning of the year.

These actions are aimed at drawing limited Ukrainian manpower and equipment away from more important sectors of the frontline, further stretching Ukraine's ability to put up resistance, and therefore accelerating the rate of attrition.

Regarding the next Russian combined missile and drone attack on Ukraine, which will likely take place in the next 4 days:

4 Tu-95MS strategic bombers have redeployed from Dyagilevo Airbase, Ryazan Oblast, to Engels-2 Airbase, Saratov Oblast. They will be equipped with Kh-101 cruise missiles, which have been delivered to the airbase by an An-124-100 "Ruslan" cargo plane and an IL-76MD cargo plane.

Additionally, 2 Tu-95MS bombers which were equipped with missiles some time around February 1, remain at Olenya Airbase, and will likely be used in this upcoming attack.

The 5 other Tu-95MS bombers currently being used for combat purposes (along with the 2 Tu-160s) remain in the far east, some of which were equipped with missiles at Engels-2 on February 7 as I previously reported. They are not expected to be used in combat missions until after the coldest part of winter.

This will likely be the last large-scale attack involving strategic aviation (not including Tu-22m3 bombers) for the rest of the coldest days of winter, as Russia works to replenish their stockpile of Kh-101 missiles. The next attacks after this will involve missiles other than Kh-101s, such as Kinzhals, Iskander-Ks, Iskander-Ms, Kalibrs, Kh-59/69s, and Kh-22/32s.

More details on this attack will be provided later.

Fun fact: Russia is not advancing to win the war, but advancing to create the illusion that they are winning the war to generate informational effects and reinforce Kremlin narratives.

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Footage showing a Russian Gerbera drone releasing an FPV drone over Sumy.

Earlier, a downed Gebera drone was seen equipped with a mechanism that would allow for it to do this, but this is the first footage confirming its active usage.

Against all odds, the Slovyansk Thermal Power plant has resumed generation of heat and electricity. The facility is currently just ~5.6 km from the frontline, well within the range of short-range FPV drones.

Deepstate reports that Ukraine recently tried to break into Pokrovsk several times with armoured vehicles and personnel. As expected, the vehicles were destroyed and the soldiers were killed.

A Ukrainian Mi-24 of the 11th Separate Army Aviation Brigade crashed while carrying out a combat mission in Kherson Oblast. The crew didn’t survive.

Reportedly, it collided with a drone. It’s unclear if this was a purposeful Russian interception or an accident.

A short time ago, a Russian Iskander-M ballistic missile equipped with a cluster warhead impacted an unknown target near the village of Dariivka, Kherson Oblast.

Ukrainian Commander-in-chief Oleksandr Syrskyi has stated that he intends to dismiss Valentyn Manko from his position as commander of Ukrainian assault troops forces.

Manko is well known for his scandal in October 2025 where he allegedly breached OPSEC by leaking classified military maps of the Hulyaipole direction, which revealed a massive disparity with the true frontline situation even when considering the most conservative Ukrainian maps such as Deepstate. The Ukrainian General Staff later cleared him of these accusations, claiming that no classified military info was leaked.

He has also had multiple criminal cases opened against him in the past, including one for armed robbery in 2015, although he denies ever being convicted on any charges.

Manko has long been wildly unpopular among Ukrainians, and Ukrainian military outlets. The purpose of his dismissal is currently unknown.

Sorry to break it to you, but NAFO doesn't count as an intelligence agency, no matter how many people P*do Pekka's Vatnik Soup has doxxed.

Yesterday afternoon, a Russian Iskander-M ballistic missile launched from the vicinity of Mariupol, Donetsk Oblast, impacted near Dnipro.

The target was likely the storage facilities of Aviatorske Airbase, which are known to house Ukrainian long-range UAVs. This information has not been confirmed yet.

Coordinates: 48.36255, 35.08688

Update on Russian preparations for the next large-scale, combined missile and drone attack on Ukraine:

- 3 Tu-95MS redeployed from Dyagilevo Airbase to Engels-2 Airbase (via Olenya Airbase), rather than 4. All have since been equipped with Kh-101 cruise missiles.

- Another IL-76MD cargo plane landed at Engels-2 Airbase, delivering Kh-101 missiles for the Tu-95MS bombers which arrived there.

- Military transport aircraft of various types have delivered Iskander-M ballistic missiles and Iskander-K cruise missiles to a number of airbases, which have since been distributed to OTRK installations in Crimea, near Taganrog (Rostov Oblast), near Liski (Voronezh Oblast), in Kursk Oblast, and in Bryansk Oblast.

- Gerbera reconnaissance drones have been scouting out targets in western Ukraine, including in Lviv, Khmelnytskyi, Ternopil, and Zhytomyr Oblasts.

This attack, which is expected to take place some time in the next 3 days, could involve 5-6 Tu-95MS strategic bombers from Olenya and Engels-2 Airbases, up to 6 MiG-31K fighters from Savasleika Airbase, 3+ Tu-22m3 strategic bombers from Soltsy-2/Olenya Airbase, and Iskander-M/K missiles.

One of the Russian Geran-2 drone strikes on the Kachanovsky Gas Processing Plant near the village of Mala Pavlivka, Sumy Oblast, from yesterday.

As a result of the strikes, a massive fire broke out that engulfed the entire facility.

Coordinates: 50.29583, 34.56527

Ukrainian forces have recaptured the village of Vovche, Pokrovs'ke direction, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.

Pre-war population: ~13.
Total land area: ~0.16 km².