Forwarded from Aged like milk: Ukraine edition (AMK Mapping)
Fun fact: Russia is not advancing to win the war, but advancing to create the illusion that they are winning the war to generate informational effects and reinforce Kremlin narratives.
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Footage showing a Russian Gerbera drone releasing an FPV drone over Sumy.
Earlier, a downed Gebera drone was seen equipped with a mechanism that would allow for it to do this, but this is the first footage confirming its active usage.
Earlier, a downed Gebera drone was seen equipped with a mechanism that would allow for it to do this, but this is the first footage confirming its active usage.
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A Ukrainian Mi-24 of the 11th Separate Army Aviation Brigade crashed while carrying out a combat mission in Kherson Oblast. The crew didn’t survive.
Reportedly, it collided with a drone. It’s unclear if this was a purposeful Russian interception or an accident.
Reportedly, it collided with a drone. It’s unclear if this was a purposeful Russian interception or an accident.
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Ukrainian Commander-in-chief Oleksandr Syrskyi has stated that he intends to dismiss Valentyn Manko from his position as commander of Ukrainian assault troops forces.
Manko is well known for his scandal in October 2025 where he allegedly breached OPSEC by leaking classified military maps of the Hulyaipole direction, which revealed a massive disparity with the true frontline situation even when considering the most conservative Ukrainian maps such as Deepstate. The Ukrainian General Staff later cleared him of these accusations, claiming that no classified military info was leaked.
He has also had multiple criminal cases opened against him in the past, including one for armed robbery in 2015, although he denies ever being convicted on any charges.
Manko has long been wildly unpopular among Ukrainians, and Ukrainian military outlets. The purpose of his dismissal is currently unknown.
Manko is well known for his scandal in October 2025 where he allegedly breached OPSEC by leaking classified military maps of the Hulyaipole direction, which revealed a massive disparity with the true frontline situation even when considering the most conservative Ukrainian maps such as Deepstate. The Ukrainian General Staff later cleared him of these accusations, claiming that no classified military info was leaked.
He has also had multiple criminal cases opened against him in the past, including one for armed robbery in 2015, although he denies ever being convicted on any charges.
Manko has long been wildly unpopular among Ukrainians, and Ukrainian military outlets. The purpose of his dismissal is currently unknown.
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Yesterday afternoon, a Russian Iskander-M ballistic missile launched from the vicinity of Mariupol, Donetsk Oblast, impacted near Dnipro.
The target was likely the storage facilities of Aviatorske Airbase, which are known to house Ukrainian long-range UAVs. This information has not been confirmed yet.
Coordinates: 48.36255, 35.08688
The target was likely the storage facilities of Aviatorske Airbase, which are known to house Ukrainian long-range UAVs. This information has not been confirmed yet.
Coordinates: 48.36255, 35.08688
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AMK Mapping
Regarding the next Russian combined missile and drone attack on Ukraine, which will likely take place in the next 4 days: 4 Tu-95MS strategic bombers have redeployed from Dyagilevo Airbase, Ryazan Oblast, to Engels-2 Airbase, Saratov Oblast. They will be…
Update on Russian preparations for the next large-scale, combined missile and drone attack on Ukraine:
- 3 Tu-95MS redeployed from Dyagilevo Airbase to Engels-2 Airbase (via Olenya Airbase), rather than 4. All have since been equipped with Kh-101 cruise missiles.
- Another IL-76MD cargo plane landed at Engels-2 Airbase, delivering Kh-101 missiles for the Tu-95MS bombers which arrived there.
- Military transport aircraft of various types have delivered Iskander-M ballistic missiles and Iskander-K cruise missiles to a number of airbases, which have since been distributed to OTRK installations in Crimea, near Taganrog (Rostov Oblast), near Liski (Voronezh Oblast), in Kursk Oblast, and in Bryansk Oblast.
- Gerbera reconnaissance drones have been scouting out targets in western Ukraine, including in Lviv, Khmelnytskyi, Ternopil, and Zhytomyr Oblasts.
This attack, which is expected to take place some time in the next 3 days, could involve 5-6 Tu-95MS strategic bombers from Olenya and Engels-2 Airbases, up to 6 MiG-31K fighters from Savasleika Airbase, 3+ Tu-22m3 strategic bombers from Soltsy-2/Olenya Airbase, and Iskander-M/K missiles.
- 3 Tu-95MS redeployed from Dyagilevo Airbase to Engels-2 Airbase (via Olenya Airbase), rather than 4. All have since been equipped with Kh-101 cruise missiles.
- Another IL-76MD cargo plane landed at Engels-2 Airbase, delivering Kh-101 missiles for the Tu-95MS bombers which arrived there.
- Military transport aircraft of various types have delivered Iskander-M ballistic missiles and Iskander-K cruise missiles to a number of airbases, which have since been distributed to OTRK installations in Crimea, near Taganrog (Rostov Oblast), near Liski (Voronezh Oblast), in Kursk Oblast, and in Bryansk Oblast.
- Gerbera reconnaissance drones have been scouting out targets in western Ukraine, including in Lviv, Khmelnytskyi, Ternopil, and Zhytomyr Oblasts.
This attack, which is expected to take place some time in the next 3 days, could involve 5-6 Tu-95MS strategic bombers from Olenya and Engels-2 Airbases, up to 6 MiG-31K fighters from Savasleika Airbase, 3+ Tu-22m3 strategic bombers from Soltsy-2/Olenya Airbase, and Iskander-M/K missiles.
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The cities of Slovyansk and Kramatorsk in Donetsk Oblast are under a large-scale attack from KAB glide-bombs.
Several impacts have been recorded so far, mostly in Slovyansk. Su-34s are still launching glide-bombs at this moment. Power outages are reported.
All videos are from Slovyansk.
Several impacts have been recorded so far, mostly in Slovyansk. Su-34s are still launching glide-bombs at this moment. Power outages are reported.
All videos are from Slovyansk.
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More from Slovyansk. Emergency power outages have also been implemented in the cities of Kramatorsk and Druzhkivka.
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One of the Russian Geran-2 drone strikes on the Kachanovsky Gas Processing Plant near the village of Mala Pavlivka, Sumy Oblast, from yesterday.
As a result of the strikes, a massive fire broke out that engulfed the entire facility.
Coordinates: 50.29583, 34.56527
As a result of the strikes, a massive fire broke out that engulfed the entire facility.
Coordinates: 50.29583, 34.56527
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In the Pokrovs'ke direction, over the past 5 days, Ukrainian forces have been carrying out clearing operations against lightly-manned Russian positions, as well as some larger counterattacks. Contrary to what I reported earlier, no large-scale counteroffensive is underway.
In the northeast, after accumulating significant amounts of infantry in the village of Orestopil, Ukrainian forces began pushing south down numerous treelines and gulleys, clearing out poorly-consolidated Russian positions all the way to Oleksiivka and Sosnivka. They were then able to enter Sosnivka and establish full control over the village and some surrounding positions. Other assault groups attempted to penetrate further south, but reached the more dug-in Russian positions north of Berezove and were unable to make any further progress.
To the west, Ukrainian forces advanced south from their bridgehead over the Vovcha River in the area of Tykhe, towards the village of Oleksiivka, and were able to capture the village of Vovche as well as 3 parallel treelines and a forested gulley to the west. They also attempted to attack Russian positions in the direction of Novooleksandrivka, but without any confirmed success.
To the southwest, Ukrainian forces completed their clearing operations in the southeastern part of Ternuvate, and brought in significant reinforcements to the area which were then used to cross the Haichur River and attack Russian positions in Nove Zaporizhzhya and Dobropillya. Some vehicles managed to reach Dobropillya, but it is unclear if they were able to gain a foothold. Attacks were also carried out further east in the direction of Zlahoda, while the Russians resumed their attacks on Ukrainian positions in northern Nove Zaporizhzhya.
Additionally, the Ukrainians completed their clearing operations in the village of Prydorozhnje, and captured positions in the railway windbreaks to the east. Mechanised attacks were also carried out from Vozdvyzhivka in the direction of Pryluky. Some soldiers managed to dismount at the northern outskirts of Pryluky, however it is unclear if they went on to seize a foothold in the village.
+ ~44.23 km² in favour of Ukraine.
Interactive map link: https://www.google.com/maps/d/u/1/edit?hl=en&mid=1thW9kqnDOaS2lAepLhLdzSX8Ur9Sc4k&ll
In the northeast, after accumulating significant amounts of infantry in the village of Orestopil, Ukrainian forces began pushing south down numerous treelines and gulleys, clearing out poorly-consolidated Russian positions all the way to Oleksiivka and Sosnivka. They were then able to enter Sosnivka and establish full control over the village and some surrounding positions. Other assault groups attempted to penetrate further south, but reached the more dug-in Russian positions north of Berezove and were unable to make any further progress.
To the west, Ukrainian forces advanced south from their bridgehead over the Vovcha River in the area of Tykhe, towards the village of Oleksiivka, and were able to capture the village of Vovche as well as 3 parallel treelines and a forested gulley to the west. They also attempted to attack Russian positions in the direction of Novooleksandrivka, but without any confirmed success.
To the southwest, Ukrainian forces completed their clearing operations in the southeastern part of Ternuvate, and brought in significant reinforcements to the area which were then used to cross the Haichur River and attack Russian positions in Nove Zaporizhzhya and Dobropillya. Some vehicles managed to reach Dobropillya, but it is unclear if they were able to gain a foothold. Attacks were also carried out further east in the direction of Zlahoda, while the Russians resumed their attacks on Ukrainian positions in northern Nove Zaporizhzhya.
Additionally, the Ukrainians completed their clearing operations in the village of Prydorozhnje, and captured positions in the railway windbreaks to the east. Mechanised attacks were also carried out from Vozdvyzhivka in the direction of Pryluky. Some soldiers managed to dismount at the northern outskirts of Pryluky, however it is unclear if they went on to seize a foothold in the village.
+ ~44.23 km² in favour of Ukraine.
Interactive map link: https://www.google.com/maps/d/u/1/edit?hl=en&mid=1thW9kqnDOaS2lAepLhLdzSX8Ur9Sc4k&ll
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