HIMARS launches to Belgorod City.

S-300/400 air defence activity.

New satellite imagery reveals that as a result of the repeated Ukrainian HIMARS strikes on the "Luch" Thermal Power Plant in Belgorod City, the plant has suffered significant damage and has completely ceased operations.

Both gas turbines have received damage, and the machine room has either been heavily damaged or destroyed. Restoration work is underway, but it is constantly being reset by repeated Ukrainian strikes.

Image credit: @exilenova_plus

Additional updates on the upcoming Russian combined missile and drone attack on Ukraine:

A Russian Tu-160M strategic bomber redeployed from Borisoglebskoye Airbase, Republic of Tatarstan, to Engels-2 Airbase, Saratov Oblast.

Another IL-76MD aircraft has also arrived at Engels-2, delivering more Kh-101 cruise missiles. The timing and quantities of deliveries suggests that these missiles are intended for the Tu-160M, however this is not confirmed as this specific aircraft hasn't been used for combat missions for some time.

Additionally, another military transport aircraft (An-72) landed at Sescha Airbase, Bryansk Oblast, delivering more Iskander-M ballistic missiles to the OTRK installations in the region. This further indicates that Iskander-Ms will indeed be used in this upcoming attack.

There is also unconfirmed information about the departure of a Tu-95MS strategic bomber from Ukrainka Airbase in the far east, however this could just be related to a training mission rather than a redeployment to western Russia for combat purposes.

The exact date of the attack is still unknown, but as I mentioned earlier it will probably take place in the next 3 days, which could also mean tonight. I will continue to monitor the situation and provide additional updates when more information becomes available.

A fire is seen burning in Kramatorsk, Donetsk Oblast, presumably after a Russian KAB glide-bomb strike.

It's incredible how many civilians there are still in the city and driving on the roads.

Correction: The Tu-160M which arrived at Engels-2 Airbase actually arrived from Ukrainka Airbase in the far east. This is one of the 2 Tu-160s which took part in the large missile attack a few days ago, and was already equipped with missiles at Engels-2 Airbase on February 7.

Therefore, the following is equipped with missiles:

- At least 3 Tu-95MS at Engels-2 Airbase
- 2 Tu-95MS at Olenya Airbase
- 1 Tu-160M at Engels-2 Airbase.

Considering the fact that such a large number of Iskander-M ballistic missiles have been delivered to OTRK installations in Bryansk Oblast, there is a high threat to Kyiv City and Kyiv Oblast for the next 2.5 days, including from Kh-101 and Kh-22/32 cruise missiles launched from strategic bombers.

Additionally, there is a high threat to Dnipropetrovsk, Zaporizhzhia, Poltava, and Zhytomyr Oblasts.

New satellite imagery shows a number of craters and burn marks in and around the aircraft parking spots at Vasylkiv Airbase, Kyiv Oblast, after it was struck by at least 11 Russian Iskander-M ballistic missiles.

Ukrainian drones from the "Lazar" drone unit of the 27th Pechersk Brigade struck and destroyed a Russian Tornado-S MLRS launcher near Tokmak, Zaporizhzhia Oblast.

This launcher was reportedly the one used to strike multiple 110 kV substations in western Zaporizhzhia City on February 4.

At the end of the video, the rockets can be seen detonating, confirming it was not a decoy. These strikes took place on February 9.

Correction: The MLRS struck in the video was a BM-27 "Uragan", not Tornado-S.

⚡️🇮🇱🇵🇸 Footage showcases the moment that the Israeli drone strike struck a motorcycle the Salah al-Din Road in Deir al-Balah district, central Gaza, where two alleged PIJ members were killed.

@wfwitness

Iskander on Sumy Oblast from Belgorod

Disappeared near the border in southern Sumy Oblast.

The Tu-160 is flying back to Ukrainka Airbase in the far east.

As for the upcoming attack, it will not take place tonight. The highest threat is in place for tomorrow night.

As I stated earlier, Kyiv City and Kyiv Oblast will likely be the main target. If you're in Kyiv right now, be extremely careful from 10pm to 8am tomorrow night. I will provide more updates when additional info becomes available.

High-resolution satellite imagery reveals that on February 8, a Ukrainian Neptune cruise missile struck the "Novobryanskaya" 750 kV electrical substation in Bryansk Oblast.

The governor of Bryansk Oblast had reported on a Ukrainian attack involving UAVs and cruise missiles, and now we have confirmation of one of the targets of the attack.

Coordinates: 53.10992, 34.04947

Image credit: @DniproOfficial.

Current estimated percentages of Russian control over the 6 contested cities:

1. Chasiv Yar: ~92.9%
2. Rodynske: ~81.9%
3. Kostyantynivka: ~13.2%
4. Kupyansk: ~12.3%
5. Lyman: ~5.4%
6. Svyatohirsk: ~2.4%

A Russian Iskander-M ballistic missile struck a warehouse facility in the village of Zhadove, Chernihiv Oblast.

It was reportedly being used by Ukraine as a preparation and launch site for long-range UAVs.

Coordinates: 52.04250, 32.62333

Ukrainian forces have recaptured the village of Lukyanivske, Komyshuvakha direction Zaporizhzhia Oblast.

Pre-war population: ~143.
Total land area: ~0.73 km².

The second battle for Lukyanivske lasted approximately 20 days.

Ukrainian forces have launched a coordinated series of counterattacks in the Svyatohirsk and Lyman directions, with an apparent goal of cutting off the Russian salient west of the Nitrius River.

The two main vectors of attack are north in the direction of Novoselivka, and south down the road from Korovii Yar.

So far, Ukrainian forces have managed to penetrate over 2.5 km from the south, entrenching in the southern part of Novoselivka, and over 1.8 km from the north, recapturing strongpoints southeast of Korovii Yar.

Clearing operations are also taking place in the northern part of Svyatohirsk and the forests south of Yarova where some positions have been recaptured, while additional counterattacks are taking place in Oleksandrivka, Drobysheve, Yarova, and in the Drobysheve Forest. Russian forces have also withdrawn from some positions in western and eastern Yarova.