The air raid alerts have been lifted across Ukraine.

I bet we'll see another conspiracy that the Oreshnik failed and fell apart over Russia after the washing machine components used to construct it malfunctioned, paired with another lovely video of a meteor shower on Kazakhstan 😊

Ukrainian forces have re-established control over the village of Novoiakovlivka, Komyshuvakha direction, Zaporizhzhia Oblast.

Pre-war population: ~566.
Total land area: ~2.61 km².

The fighting for Novoiakovlivka lasted approximately 1 month, 7 days.

Ukrainian forces have recaptured the village of Nove Zaporzhzhya, Omelnyk direction, Zaporizhzhia Oblast.

Pre-war population: ~103.
Total land area: ~1.00 km².

The second battle for Nove Zaporzhzhya lasted more than 1 month, 15 days.

Ukrainian forces have recaptured the village of Stepove, Pokrovs'ke direction, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.

Pre-war population: ~16.
Total land area: ~0.32 km².

The fighting for Stepove lasted less than 3 days.

(PART 1) Situational update on the Ukrainian counteroffensive in the Hulyaipole/Pokrovs'ke direction as of February 12, 2026:

On February 5, coinciding with the disconnection of Russian Starlink terminals and heavy shelling of Russian positions, Ukraine launched a series of coordinated counterattacks and clearing operations, which have now bloomed into a localised counteroffensive operation.

The current "main tactical goal" of this operation appears to be to cut off the Russian salient running along the Yanchur River from the Zlahoda - Verbove line to the Pishchane - Andriivka line (highlighted in red on the map). As such, the attack is taking place in two main directions:

1. The first, and largest direction, is from the north. During January and February, Ukrainian forces accumulated significant infantry at multiple bridgeheads south of the Vovcha River which they were able to retain during Russia's Autumn-Winter offensive in this direction, and used these to launch a coordinated series of clearing operations against lightly-manned and lightly-consolidated Russian positions. They were able to relatively quickly seize large portions of these positions, including the villages of Oleksiivka, Sosnivka and Vovche, and subsequently began moving further south to the main Russian fortifications which lie approximately along the former Ukrainian defensive line.

Since then, Ukrainian forces have penetrated this line at multiple points. The deepest penetration took place west of the village of Stepove (which was also recaptured), where they took several strongpoints, and subsequently crossed the tributary of the Yanchur River, propelling south towards the border between Zaporizhzhia and Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Here, they were able to recapture several treelines and strongpoints, and began pushing east and west in an attempt to broaden their bridgehead. In the east, the Ukrainians broke into the village of Kalnivske and managed to entrench in the western houses Fighting is ongoing for the rest of the settlement. Ukrainian DRGs had already been operating here in the days leading up to this penetration. In the west, they began pushing southwest through the treelines, in the direction of the eastern bank of the Yanchur River.

Meanwhile, on left flank of this deep penetration, Ukrainian assault groups managed to break through from the newly recaptured village of Sosnivka, to the Berezove - Ternove line, entering and capturing the northern part of the latter, and reaching the northeastern outskirts of the former. On the right flank, they continued clearing treeline positions in the direction of Novooleksandrivka.

(PART 2 BELOW ⬇️)

(PART 2) Situational update on the Ukrainian counteroffensive in the Hulyaipole/Pokrovs'ke direction as of February 12, 2026:

2. The second general direction of the counteroffensive is taking place from the east. Here, the Ukrainians cannot boast of as many gains, mainly due to the fact that the Russians concentrated a significantly larger amount forces here for their offensive west of Hulyaipole, and are therefore much more dug-in at forward positions. After recapturing Ternuvate and Prydorozhnje (which occurred prior to the beginning of this counteroffensive), Ukrainian forces recaptured the neighbouring village of Kosivtseve, which the Russians were unable to hold due to the loss of Ternuvate. Ukrainian forces also recaptured positions in northwest of Pryluky after their initial raid into the northern part of the village failed.

Meanwhile, after managing to bring in significant reinforcements to the salient east of the Haichur River, which at the time was incrementally shrinking amid a crawling Russian advance, Ukrainian forces began intensively assaulting Russian positions. They were able to drive the Russians out of the southern half of Nove Zaporizhzhya, fully bringing the village back under their control, although the earlier raid on neighbouring Dobropillya failed. They were also able to eliminate the Russian wedge southeast of Nove Zaporizhzhya which had aimed to squeeze the Ukrainians out of the village, and secured several strongpoints further east in the direction of Solodke and Zlatopil. Attacks are now taking place further southeast and east.

I've marked in yellow on the map where Ukraine is currently heavily shelling Russian positions and fortifications. All of the attacks from the north are taking place under extremely heavy cover from artillery, MLRS, and drones.

The Ukrainian pincers are beginning to turn "inwards" towards the "gut" of the Russian salient, however the flanks of these penetrations have not been fully secured. Notably, several Russian strongpoints remain northwest and northeast of Berezove, which are yet to be cleared and are still being shelled. Additionally, Berezove is still under full Russian control as of February 11, while Ternove is contested. Ukrainian forces are also yet to eliminate the Russian bridgehead over the Haichur River west of Dobropillya and have also not taken the important strongpoints east of Dobropillya to protect the push to the northeast towards the Yehorivka - Zlahoda line.

I will probably make another post soon going over the tactical and strategic implications of this counteroffensive, and why it is taking place.

Notably, it is taking place in coordination with much smaller clearing operations in western Zaporizhzhia Oblast, and, in short, appears to be part of a larger coordinated effort aimed at eliminating the threat of encirclement for the city of Orikhiv for the near future, which has slowly seen Russian flanks building from the east (in the area of Hulyaipole and Pokrovs'ke) and from the west (in the area of Prymorske and Komyshuvakha).

Here is a cleaner map showing approximately the areas Ukraine has managed to recapture in the Hulyaipole/Pokrovs'ke directions since the beginning of February.

It amounts to approximately 111 km².

Another Oreshnik threat from Kapustin Yar, Astrakhan Oblast.

According to my information, the first "Oreshnik launch" was the test launch of another unspecified system which gave off similar activity to that of the Oreshnik.

The Oreshnik launch was not confirmed by Ukrainian intelligence, but the alert was given due to the similar signals.

This current activity is likely the same.

Edit: This second round of activity was mixed up with Russian Iskander-M OTRK activity at Millerovo Airbase, Rostov Oblast.

During the attack on Dnipro last night, all missiles and drones attacked the Prydniprovska Thermal Power Plant.

As a result of the strikes, the coal conveyer belt and the smoke exhauster were destroyed, while the overpass was damaged. Additionally, the railway junction at the northwestern end of the plant received heavy damage.

The fire has been extinguished and the plant has temporarily halted operations as repair work is underway.

Additionally, during the attack, the "Rozdory" 110 kV electrical substation in the village of Rozdory was attacked (48.32573, 35.7171), along with a kindergarten in the village of Vasylkivka (which was not in use), were struck by one Geran-2 drone each.

Ukrainian forces have re-established control over the village of Novoboikivske, Komyshuakha direction, Zaporizhzhia Oblast.

Pre-war population: ~34.
Total land area: ~0.36 km².

The fighting for Novoboikivske lasted approximately 28 days.

It's also important to note the successful clearing operations being carried out by Ukrainian forces in western Zaporizhzhia Oblast (Komyshuvakha direction) in order to maintain their presence south of the Konka River, and keep the Russians from forming a solid left flank to Orikhiv.

During these attacks, the Ukrainians have recaptured approximately 38.2 km² of no-mans-land, grey-zone, lightly-manned Russian-controlled territory, and solid Russia-controlled territory.

To carry out these operations, Ukraine redeployed the 253rd Assault Battalion "Arey" - a unit comprised entirely of volunteers from the 129th Territorial Defence Brigade, from the Dobropillya direction. Other units have also likely been redeployed here to take part in these operations.

Here's a zoomed out map showing the approximate advances Ukraine has made in Zaporizhzhia and Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts since the beginning of February.

In a nutshell, this operation seems to be an attempt at countering the Russian plans for Zaporizhzhia Oblast, which I outlined in this post (and the analysis above it):
https://news.1rj.ru/str/AMK_Mapping/21213

The airspace over the Kapustin Yar Testing Ground in Astrakhan will be closed from February 16 to 19.

It's unclear if this is related to the test launches of Oreshnik IRBMs, or for other missiles (like I mentioned above). An Oreshnik strike on Ukraine is very unlikely.

As a result of last night's Iskander-M ballistic missile strikes on energy infrastructure in Kyiv, the CHP-5 and CHP-6 Combined Heat and Power Plants received damage.

At CHP-5 in southern Kyiv, the circular pumps and water preparation system suffered significant damage.

At CHP-6 in northeastern Kyiv, the gas distribution and gas compressor devices were damaged.

Ukrainian Minister of Energy Denys Shmyhal predicted that the restoration of power from CHP-5 will take approximately 24 hours, while the restoration of power from CHP-6 will take around 2 days. Apparently, due to the above-zero temperature, the water did not have to be drained from the system as it was not frozen.

Meanwhile, the extent of the damage to CHP-4 is minimal.