Another Oreshnik threat from Kapustin Yar, Astrakhan Oblast.

According to my information, the first "Oreshnik launch" was the test launch of another unspecified system which gave off similar activity to that of the Oreshnik.

The Oreshnik launch was not confirmed by Ukrainian intelligence, but the alert was given due to the similar signals.

This current activity is likely the same.

Edit: This second round of activity was mixed up with Russian Iskander-M OTRK activity at Millerovo Airbase, Rostov Oblast.

During the attack on Dnipro last night, all missiles and drones attacked the Prydniprovska Thermal Power Plant.

As a result of the strikes, the coal conveyer belt and the smoke exhauster were destroyed, while the overpass was damaged. Additionally, the railway junction at the northwestern end of the plant received heavy damage.

The fire has been extinguished and the plant has temporarily halted operations as repair work is underway.

Additionally, during the attack, the "Rozdory" 110 kV electrical substation in the village of Rozdory was attacked (48.32573, 35.7171), along with a kindergarten in the village of Vasylkivka (which was not in use), were struck by one Geran-2 drone each.

Ukrainian forces have re-established control over the village of Novoboikivske, Komyshuakha direction, Zaporizhzhia Oblast.

Pre-war population: ~34.
Total land area: ~0.36 km².

The fighting for Novoboikivske lasted approximately 28 days.

It's also important to note the successful clearing operations being carried out by Ukrainian forces in western Zaporizhzhia Oblast (Komyshuvakha direction) in order to maintain their presence south of the Konka River, and keep the Russians from forming a solid left flank to Orikhiv.

During these attacks, the Ukrainians have recaptured approximately 38.2 km² of no-mans-land, grey-zone, lightly-manned Russian-controlled territory, and solid Russia-controlled territory.

To carry out these operations, Ukraine redeployed the 253rd Assault Battalion "Arey" - a unit comprised entirely of volunteers from the 129th Territorial Defence Brigade, from the Dobropillya direction. Other units have also likely been redeployed here to take part in these operations.

Here's a zoomed out map showing the approximate advances Ukraine has made in Zaporizhzhia and Dnipropetrovsk Oblasts since the beginning of February.

In a nutshell, this operation seems to be an attempt at countering the Russian plans for Zaporizhzhia Oblast, which I outlined in this post (and the analysis above it):
https://news.1rj.ru/str/AMK_Mapping/21213

The airspace over the Kapustin Yar Testing Ground in Astrakhan will be closed from February 16 to 19.

It's unclear if this is related to the test launches of Oreshnik IRBMs, or for other missiles (like I mentioned above). An Oreshnik strike on Ukraine is very unlikely.

As a result of last night's Iskander-M ballistic missile strikes on energy infrastructure in Kyiv, the CHP-5 and CHP-6 Combined Heat and Power Plants received damage.

At CHP-5 in southern Kyiv, the circular pumps and water preparation system suffered significant damage.

At CHP-6 in northeastern Kyiv, the gas distribution and gas compressor devices were damaged.

Ukrainian Minister of Energy Denys Shmyhal predicted that the restoration of power from CHP-5 will take approximately 24 hours, while the restoration of power from CHP-6 will take around 2 days. Apparently, due to the above-zero temperature, the water did not have to be drained from the system as it was not frozen.

Meanwhile, the extent of the damage to CHP-4 is minimal.

Footage showing the launch of 6 Ukrainian FP-5 "Flamingo" cruise missiles, which went on to target the 117th GRAU arsenal in Volgograd Oblast, last night.

Notably, the Russian MOD claimed that only 5 were shot down, meaning that at least 1 of the missiles impacted.

Explosion in Sumy. Iskander-M ballistic missile strike.

Another missile to Khotin and then Sumy

This is MLRS.

Dobropillia direction. The direction, as I reported frequently in the past, continues to remain inactive up to Rusyn Yar.
Ukrainian forces are currently exploiting this Russian inactivity to conduct evacuation and logistics missions with UGVs (ground drones).
The frontline itself remains stable, with no Russian advancements to be reported lately, and it's quite calm.
The bulk of Russia's drone attacks (fixed-wing and FPV) are directed at Druzhkivka and the Kramatorsk - Slovyansk area, and they use an unknown type of Starlink substitute to connect, which is working well for them, at least for such long-range strikes.
Drones, airstrikes and artillery, despite the front's calmness, continue to work on both sides.

Ukrainian forces have recaptured the village of Dobropillya, Omelynk direction, Zaporizhzhia Oblast.

Pre-war population: ~440.
Total land area: ~2.59 km².

The second battle for Dobropillya lasted more than 1 month, 10 days.

Ukrainian forces have recaptured the village of Pryluky, Omelynk direction, Zaporizhzhia Oblast.

Pre-war population: ~58.
Total land area: ~0.51 km².

The second battle for Pryluky lasted approximately 7 days.

It seems the Russians retreated from one of their bridgeheads west of the Haichur River (the one used to attack Ternuvate last week) due to the risk of encirclement.