Update on Russian strategic aviation movements:

- After the most recent combined missile attack on Ukraine, half of the aircraft which were involved (1 Tu-160M and 2 Tu-95MS) landed at Engels-2 Airbase, Saratov Oblast. The other 1 Tu-160M and 2 Tu-95MS landed at Olenya Airbase, Murmansk Oblast.

- Since then, 1 Tu-160M and 1 Tu-95MS have redeployed from Engels-2 Airbase to Ukrainka Airbase in the far east. 1 Tu-160M also redeployed from Olenya Airbase to Ukrainka Airbase. This leaves 3 Tu-95MS at Engels-2, and 3 Tu-95MS at Olenya. 1 Tu-160M also remains at Engels-2, but currently is only there for training purposes.

- An IL-76MD cargo plane landed at Olenya Airbase yesterday, delivering a batch of Kh-101 cruise missiles for the 3 Tu-95MS stationed there. Some/all of these aircraft are now in the air, along with some aircraft from Engels-2 Airbase, redeploying to Ukrainka Airbase.

- 1 Tu-160M redeployed from Borisoglebskoe Airbase, Republic of Tatarstan, to Ukrainka Airbase, after undergoing repair/modernisation. It will probably either be used to train young pilots or carry out combat sorties.

- 1 IL-76MD cargo plane landed at an airbase in Rostov Oblast, likely delivering Iskander-M ballistic missiles to OTRK installations near Taganrog.

- 1 IL-76MD landed at Shaykovka Airbase, Kaluga Oblast, likely delivering Kh-22/32 cruise missiles for the 2-3 Tu-22m3 strategic bombers which recently redeployed there from Olenya Airbase.

The IDF claims that their wave of airstrikes on southern Lebanon overnight targeted Hezbollah infrastructure, including weapons warehouses, rocket launchers, and other military sites.

From approximately 12am to 6am on the morning of February 21, Kyiv time (approximately 41 hours from now), Russia will likely carry out another large-scale, combined missile and drone attack on Ukraine, primarily targeting Kyiv City and Kyiv Oblast.

This is the attack that I have been warning about for the last 2 days. As I have already stated, it will not involve Tu-95MS or Tu-160M strategic bombers.

So what will be used?

- At least 3 Tu-22m3 strategic bombers. 3 of these were equipped with Kh-22/32 cruise missiles at Shaykovka Airbase, Kaluga Oblast, as I reported earlier. They may redeploy back to Olenya Airbase in the next 24 hours.

- At least a dozen Iskander-M ballistic missiles. These were delivered to Khalino Airbase, Kursk Oblast, Baltimore Airbase, Voronezh Oblast, and delivered to OTRK installations in Kursk Oblast, Voronezh Oblast, and Bryansk Oblast. There were also likely deliveries to Taganrog, Rostov Oblast, however it is unclear if these will be used in this upcoming attack.

- Likely 16-24 Kalibr cruise missiles from 3 surface Kalibr carriers at Novorossiysk Naval Base, Krasnodar Krai.

- Possibly Kinzhal hypersonic aeroballistic missiles from MiG-31K fighters at Savasleika Airbase, Nizhny Novgorod Oblast.

The primary target will be energy infrastructure Kyiv Oblast. The highest threat is to the CHP-5, CHP-5 and CHP-6 combined heat and power plants, the "Kyiv" 750 kV substation, and Trypillya Thermal Power Plant. Targets in other regions will probably also be hit - likely in Dnipropetrovsk and/or Kharkiv Oblasts.

Ukrainian FPV drone strikes from the 412th Unmanned Systems Brigade on two Russian Tor-M2 short-range air defence systems.

The Ukrainian Ratel H ground-based robotic complex have been equipped to launch FPV drones. This video shows one system automatically opening a cell and launching a fibre-optic FPV drone.

The Ratel H can carry and launch up to 4 FPV drones of various types. With a range of up to 60 km, these systems can provide Ukrainian drone operators with safer conditions without significantly reducing the range of the FPV drone.

New Chinese satellite imagery shows 18 U.S. Airforce F-35 fighter jets and 6 E/A-18G electronic warfare aircraft stationed out in the open at Muwaffaq Salti Airbase in Jordan.

Considering the fact that the preparations for this upcoming combined missile attack are effectively complete, it's also possible that the attack will occur tonight between 12am and 6am. I will keep an eye on the situation and provide updates if necessary.

—❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷 BREAKING: An American attack against Iran is imminent, it could happen within the next 72 hours – Sources

@Middle_East_Spectator

I'm hearing it could happen even as soon as tonight or tomorrow evening.