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AMK Mapping
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Focusing on news from the Russia-Ukraine war and other conflicts in the Middle East.

If you want to help support my reporting: https://buymeacoffee.com/amk_mapping.

All links to my interactive maps, twitter account, etc: https://linktr.ee/AMK_Mapping
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Forwarded from WarFront Witness
In recent days, the IDF has deployed its first Vulcan cannon along the northern border, aimed at intercepting drones launched from Lebanon into Israel. Developed by the Israeli company Tamar, this deployment comes in response to the repeated failures of Israeli SAMs to intercept drones from Lebanon. The Vulcan is expected to significantly enhance their interception capabilities in the area.
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AMK Mapping
The Russian imposed Kherson Oblast Governor claimed that Ukraine has pulled forces from the Kherson direction to the Donbas and Kursk Oblast. In my opinion, if this is true, either the 122nd, 123rd or the 124th territorial defence brigades would’ve been…
Russian soldiers stationed in the Kurakhove direction are reported that they have spotted Ukrainian soldiers from the 35th marine brigade in Hirnyk. The 35th marine brigade previously operated in the Krynky direction in Kherson Oblast.

This would indicate that my prediction from a month ago was wrong, and that instead of doubling down on Kursk even more by sending this brigade there, Ukraine has decided to send it to the Donbas.

Previously I believed that territorial defence brigades would be more likely to be sent.
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Forwarded from WarFront Witness
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A strategic Ghadir early warning radar site belonging to the IRGC Aerospace Forces, located west of Kermanshah, appears to have been targeted in the latest Israeli airstrikes.
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Following the likely fall of Hirnyk, Russian forces have reportedly advanced into the northern part of Kurakhivka and occupied the railway station. Clashes are ongoing.
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An Israeli airstrike was conducted on the city of Tyre, in southern Lebanon. The Lebanese ministry of health reported that 5 people were killed and 10 others wounded as a result.
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AMK Mapping
Geolocated footage indicates that over the past week, Ukrainian forces have been conducting counterattacks in the city of Toretsk, and have made progress in two directions. In the north, following Russian forces establishing positions in the city central…
Ukrainian forces have reportedly recaptured the last section of the Zabalka district of Toretsk which was still under Russian control, however this is currently unconfirmed.
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In preparation for the final assault in the direction of Kurakhove, Russia has been increasingly dropping FAB glide bombs on the city. Over the past 3 days, 2 FAB-3000 bombs - the strongest of the FAB type - were dropped, one on what was reportedly a Ukrainian drone operation base, and the other (most recent one) was dropped on what was likely either a Ukrainian command and control centre, or a major troop concentration point. Expect more destruction and higher Ukrainian casualties in the future.
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I have to say, the defence of Toretsk has been excellent. Originally, it seemed that the Ukrainian command abandoned the garrison in the city for their Kursk operations, but Ukrainian forces inside it managed to put up stiff resistance for the most part.

Now they are conducting successful counterattacks. While the fall of the city is inevitable, one thing that can be said is that it has delayed the Russians from taking Kostyantynivka.

The only thing is, Ukraine has suffered heavy casualties in holding it. If they are forced to withdraw significantly after the battle, then it will be very demoralizing for them after seeing their friends die.
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Ok just to be clear…

David D is in his 60s and is a friend of clowns like astraia
Has never done any real mapping
He’s not pro Ukraine (he’s pro dead Ukrainians, aka the Kursk operation)
He has no mapping skills
has a history of pathetic predictions and lying
And is obsessed with who he thinks is a 17 year old

But hey nafo keep using him as a news source just because he feeds into your echo chamber.
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Regarding the Jabalia offensive in the Gaza Strip.

Israeli forces continue to suffer heavy casualties, but due to intense military censorship, they don't report the vast majority of these losses.

Multiple APCs, tanks and military bulldozers are blown up and destroyed by IEDs every single day. Each merkava tank holds 4 soldiers, while their APCs hold 8 soldiers. If two of those are blown up each day, it gives us a rough estimate of 24 soldiers targeted, so let's say 18 wounded and killed per day. The Jabalia offensive has been ongoing for 20 days, meaning that hundreds could have been wounded and killed so far.

I'm constantly viewing posts of rescue helicopters flying in to evacuate the wounded and killed, which further indicates heavy losses.

However Israel is pressing on in all directions, meeting fierce resistance. Hamas is also suffering heavy casualties from airstrikes, shelling and drone attacks. Hundreds of fighters have likely been killed as a result.

By the end of this operation, the Al-Qassam brigades will likely be heavily degraded, but will remain intact due to their newly constructed tunnel systems. Meanwhile the Israelis will be demoralised as they see Hamas regroup and reconstitute itself in Jabalia and the rest of Northern Gaza.

If there's one thing to take out of this, the toll will be incredibly heavy on the IDF, Hamas, but most of all - innocent civilians.
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And this is what I love about my accounts on twitter and telegram. We can have respectful conversations and interact about things we are all interested in, and maybe learn new things from one another.

Even though me and much of my followers are on opposite ends of this war, and disagree on most things to do with the war, it’s still nice that we can put that aside and share general insights and news.

More of this is needed for peace.
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It appears that the IDF has switched up their goals for southern Lebanon once again.

Originally, I believe their goal was push Hezbollah beyond the Litani river which is one of the primary areas where they operate. This would have degraded their capabilities, however considering they have strongholds in southern Beirut and the Beqqa valley in northeastern Lebanon, they would still be able to operate.

Then, I believe that the IDF switched up their goals to take just the first village or two north of the Israeli-Lebanese border in all directions. This would only prevent Hezbollah from firing directly across the border with snipers and would force them to move artillery back slightly, slightly decreasing their range on Israel. All in all, not many changes.

Now that the second goal appears to have failed, Israel appears to be attempting to create a buffer zone by blowing up villages along the border and destroying all the infrastructure, making it impossible for Hezbollah to maintain a presence directly by the border. But even then, Hezbollah has tunnel systems that can be used. Israeli troops would need to destroy all of these in order to render the border area useless for Hezbollah.
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Israeli special forces are currently storming the Palestinian cities of Qalqilya and Nablus in the West Bank simultaneously. Small arms clashes are breaking out in the Al-Ain refugee camp of Nablus.
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Forwarded from WarFront Witness
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This morning, a suicide drone launched from Yemen struck an open area near the city of Ashkelon.
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Ukraine has conducted two successful drone and missile attacks on Russia and Russian controlled territory over the past few hours.

The first was in Luhansk city, where drones and missiles (of an unknown type) struck what was reportedly an ammunition warehouse. Strong explosions were reported and a large column of smoke rose over the city.

In Chechnya, what was reportedly a Chechen special forces university was struck, resulting in a fire breaking out.
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Geolocated footage indicates that Russian forces have advanced in the Kurakhove direction and captured around half of Novodmytrivka.

Along with this advance, the Russians branched off to at least three nearby treelines from the south, likely from a separate attack vector from the one which went into the village.

This advance will further allow the Russians to get behind Ukrainian positions in Kreminna Balka and eventually Kurakhove.
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A Russian missile of an unknown type was launched at Slovyansk, Donetsk Oblast. It targeted the outskirts. Explosions were reported and smoke rose over the city.
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