Regarding the Jabalia offensive in the Gaza Strip.
Israeli forces continue to suffer heavy casualties, but due to intense military censorship, they don't report the vast majority of these losses.
Multiple APCs, tanks and military bulldozers are blown up and destroyed by IEDs every single day. Each merkava tank holds 4 soldiers, while their APCs hold 8 soldiers. If two of those are blown up each day, it gives us a rough estimate of 24 soldiers targeted, so let's say 18 wounded and killed per day. The Jabalia offensive has been ongoing for 20 days, meaning that hundreds could have been wounded and killed so far.
I'm constantly viewing posts of rescue helicopters flying in to evacuate the wounded and killed, which further indicates heavy losses.
However Israel is pressing on in all directions, meeting fierce resistance. Hamas is also suffering heavy casualties from airstrikes, shelling and drone attacks. Hundreds of fighters have likely been killed as a result.
By the end of this operation, the Al-Qassam brigades will likely be heavily degraded, but will remain intact due to their newly constructed tunnel systems. Meanwhile the Israelis will be demoralised as they see Hamas regroup and reconstitute itself in Jabalia and the rest of Northern Gaza.
If there's one thing to take out of this, the toll will be incredibly heavy on the IDF, Hamas, but most of all - innocent civilians.
Israeli forces continue to suffer heavy casualties, but due to intense military censorship, they don't report the vast majority of these losses.
Multiple APCs, tanks and military bulldozers are blown up and destroyed by IEDs every single day. Each merkava tank holds 4 soldiers, while their APCs hold 8 soldiers. If two of those are blown up each day, it gives us a rough estimate of 24 soldiers targeted, so let's say 18 wounded and killed per day. The Jabalia offensive has been ongoing for 20 days, meaning that hundreds could have been wounded and killed so far.
I'm constantly viewing posts of rescue helicopters flying in to evacuate the wounded and killed, which further indicates heavy losses.
However Israel is pressing on in all directions, meeting fierce resistance. Hamas is also suffering heavy casualties from airstrikes, shelling and drone attacks. Hundreds of fighters have likely been killed as a result.
By the end of this operation, the Al-Qassam brigades will likely be heavily degraded, but will remain intact due to their newly constructed tunnel systems. Meanwhile the Israelis will be demoralised as they see Hamas regroup and reconstitute itself in Jabalia and the rest of Northern Gaza.
If there's one thing to take out of this, the toll will be incredibly heavy on the IDF, Hamas, but most of all - innocent civilians.
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And this is what I love about my accounts on twitter and telegram. We can have respectful conversations and interact about things we are all interested in, and maybe learn new things from one another.
Even though me and much of my followers are on opposite ends of this war, and disagree on most things to do with the war, it’s still nice that we can put that aside and share general insights and news.
More of this is needed for peace.
Even though me and much of my followers are on opposite ends of this war, and disagree on most things to do with the war, it’s still nice that we can put that aside and share general insights and news.
More of this is needed for peace.
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It appears that the IDF has switched up their goals for southern Lebanon once again.
Originally, I believe their goal was push Hezbollah beyond the Litani river which is one of the primary areas where they operate. This would have degraded their capabilities, however considering they have strongholds in southern Beirut and the Beqqa valley in northeastern Lebanon, they would still be able to operate.
Then, I believe that the IDF switched up their goals to take just the first village or two north of the Israeli-Lebanese border in all directions. This would only prevent Hezbollah from firing directly across the border with snipers and would force them to move artillery back slightly, slightly decreasing their range on Israel. All in all, not many changes.
Now that the second goal appears to have failed, Israel appears to be attempting to create a buffer zone by blowing up villages along the border and destroying all the infrastructure, making it impossible for Hezbollah to maintain a presence directly by the border. But even then, Hezbollah has tunnel systems that can be used. Israeli troops would need to destroy all of these in order to render the border area useless for Hezbollah.
Originally, I believe their goal was push Hezbollah beyond the Litani river which is one of the primary areas where they operate. This would have degraded their capabilities, however considering they have strongholds in southern Beirut and the Beqqa valley in northeastern Lebanon, they would still be able to operate.
Then, I believe that the IDF switched up their goals to take just the first village or two north of the Israeli-Lebanese border in all directions. This would only prevent Hezbollah from firing directly across the border with snipers and would force them to move artillery back slightly, slightly decreasing their range on Israel. All in all, not many changes.
Now that the second goal appears to have failed, Israel appears to be attempting to create a buffer zone by blowing up villages along the border and destroying all the infrastructure, making it impossible for Hezbollah to maintain a presence directly by the border. But even then, Hezbollah has tunnel systems that can be used. Israeli troops would need to destroy all of these in order to render the border area useless for Hezbollah.
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Forwarded from WarFront Witness
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This morning, a suicide drone launched from Yemen struck an open area near the city of Ashkelon.
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Ukraine has conducted two successful drone and missile attacks on Russia and Russian controlled territory over the past few hours.
The first was in Luhansk city, where drones and missiles (of an unknown type) struck what was reportedly an ammunition warehouse. Strong explosions were reported and a large column of smoke rose over the city.
In Chechnya, what was reportedly a Chechen special forces university was struck, resulting in a fire breaking out.
The first was in Luhansk city, where drones and missiles (of an unknown type) struck what was reportedly an ammunition warehouse. Strong explosions were reported and a large column of smoke rose over the city.
In Chechnya, what was reportedly a Chechen special forces university was struck, resulting in a fire breaking out.
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Geolocated footage indicates that Russian forces have advanced in the Kurakhove direction and captured around half of Novodmytrivka.
Along with this advance, the Russians branched off to at least three nearby treelines from the south, likely from a separate attack vector from the one which went into the village.
This advance will further allow the Russians to get behind Ukrainian positions in Kreminna Balka and eventually Kurakhove.
Along with this advance, the Russians branched off to at least three nearby treelines from the south, likely from a separate attack vector from the one which went into the village.
This advance will further allow the Russians to get behind Ukrainian positions in Kreminna Balka and eventually Kurakhove.
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AMK Mapping
Ukraine has conducted two successful drone and missile attacks on Russia and Russian controlled territory over the past few hours. The first was in Luhansk city, where drones and missiles (of an unknown type) struck what was reportedly an ammunition warehouse.…
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A video has surfaced showing the moment a Ukrainian missile impacted what was reportedly an ammunition warehouse in Luhansk city.
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A Russian missile of an unknown type was launched at Slovyansk, Donetsk Oblast. It targeted the outskirts. Explosions were reported and smoke rose over the city.
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Geolocated footage and reliable reports indicate that Russian forces continue to make substantial progress on the South Donetsk front.
Geolocated footage shows a Russian soldier raising the Russian flag over the village of Yasna Polyana, confirming Russia's full control over the western part of the settlement. Reliable reports on the other hand, state that the village was fully captured, however I am yet to view visual confirmation of this.
Additional geolocated footage shows Russian infantry operating in Shakhtarske, confirming their control over the eastern streets, however, reliable reports suggest that they have gone further and occupied half of the village, including the post office.
Meanwhile further east, reliable reports suggest that Russian forces likely completed the capture of Novoukrainka, after crossing the chain of reservoirs. If true, this would put any Ukrainian formations that might still be to the east and southeast of Novoukrainka at a risk of encirclement.
Geolocated footage shows a Russian soldier raising the Russian flag over the village of Yasna Polyana, confirming Russia's full control over the western part of the settlement. Reliable reports on the other hand, state that the village was fully captured, however I am yet to view visual confirmation of this.
Additional geolocated footage shows Russian infantry operating in Shakhtarske, confirming their control over the eastern streets, however, reliable reports suggest that they have gone further and occupied half of the village, including the post office.
Meanwhile further east, reliable reports suggest that Russian forces likely completed the capture of Novoukrainka, after crossing the chain of reservoirs. If true, this would put any Ukrainian formations that might still be to the east and southeast of Novoukrainka at a risk of encirclement.
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Geolocated footage indicates that Russian forces have conducted another large-scale mechanised assault in the direction of Kurakhove, this time capturing the rest of the Dachas on the eastern outskirts of the city.
Three columns of vehicles advanced from Maksymilyanivka. The first consisted of 5 tanks and armoured vehicles. All five were damaged or destroyed by Ukrainian FPV drones and artillery. The second column moved through the same area as the first. It consisted of 4 tanks and armoured vehicles, of which at least 3 were damaged or destroyed. It is unknown what happened to the 4th one.
And finally, a third column advanced through the dachas itself, and spread out, laying suppressive fire on remaining Ukrainian positions. It is unknown how many vehicles were in this column, but 5 were damaged or destroyed by Ukrainian artillery and FPV drones. However, Russian infantry was able to dismount and take up positions in the dachas before the vehicles were destroyed.
The amount of artillery shells fired indicates that Ukraine has concentrated more artillery in the Kurakhove direction in an effort to stem the Russian advance.
+ 2.25km² in favour of Russia
Three columns of vehicles advanced from Maksymilyanivka. The first consisted of 5 tanks and armoured vehicles. All five were damaged or destroyed by Ukrainian FPV drones and artillery. The second column moved through the same area as the first. It consisted of 4 tanks and armoured vehicles, of which at least 3 were damaged or destroyed. It is unknown what happened to the 4th one.
And finally, a third column advanced through the dachas itself, and spread out, laying suppressive fire on remaining Ukrainian positions. It is unknown how many vehicles were in this column, but 5 were damaged or destroyed by Ukrainian artillery and FPV drones. However, Russian infantry was able to dismount and take up positions in the dachas before the vehicles were destroyed.
The amount of artillery shells fired indicates that Ukraine has concentrated more artillery in the Kurakhove direction in an effort to stem the Russian advance.
+ 2.25km² in favour of Russia
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Forwarded from Intel Slava
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Russian FABs are beginning to hit Rozlyv, west of Kurakhove, in preparation for ground assaults on the village.
Roslyv lies just south of the main highway leading into Kurakhove, and its fall would lead to severe logistical problems for the Ukrainian garrison in the city.
Roslyv lies just south of the main highway leading into Kurakhove, and its fall would lead to severe logistical problems for the Ukrainian garrison in the city.
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Recent reports from reliable sources suggest that Russian forces have likely marginally advanced in the Lyman direction.
Following the capture of Novosadove, Russian infantry continued their offensive operations to the north of Terny, reaching the northern outskirts of the village. Under the cover of FABs, Russian forces then likely advanced into the first few houses of the village, establishing positions there.
+ ~0.57km² in favour of Russia
Following the capture of Novosadove, Russian infantry continued their offensive operations to the north of Terny, reaching the northern outskirts of the village. Under the cover of FABs, Russian forces then likely advanced into the first few houses of the village, establishing positions there.
+ ~0.57km² in favour of Russia
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As of today, any remaining Ukrainian troops still in Kurakhivka are now in an operational encirclement.
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