In the Pokrovsk direction, a new report states that Russian forces have gained a foothold in the northern houses of Pustynka.

This comes as other reports state that assault operations were ongoing in the south of the village too.

A new report states that Russian forces are attacking in the city centre of Toretsk once again, this time along Mayakovsky street.

The source extended the grey zone to include all of the city centre except for one high-rise building and the state police station.

A Ukrainian source reported that Russian forces have occupied most of the village of Beretski, north of Kurakhove.

Kh-59/69 cruise missile in the direction of Sumy.

Heading for Pryluky, Chernihiv Oblast.

A second Kh-59 cruise missile in the direction of Dnipro.

They disappeared from the radar, no explosions were reported.

Another Kh-59 in the direction of Dnipro

Busy day for Ukrainian Air defence today

Air defence is operating over Dnipro

Disappeared from the radar

There was an explosion. Local channels report it was air defence, while other monitor channels report it as an impact

Summary of the missile attacks this evening in Ukraine:

A total of 6 missiles of varying types were launched between 8pm and 9:20pm local time.

1 S-300 missile was launched from Belgorod Oblast in the direction of Kharkiv. A strong explosion rang out in the eastern suburbs of the city, indicating an impact.

1 S-300 missile was launched from Kursk Oblast in the direction of Sumy. A strong explosion rang out in the suburbs of the city.

2 Kh-59/69 cruise missiles were launched from Su-34 aircraft near the city of Henichesk, Kherson Oblast. They both flew in the direction of Dnipro. One of the missiles disappeared from the radar (possibly hitting an air defence installation), while the other may have hit Dnipro, as an explosion was reported. Local channels attributed the explosion to air defence, while other Ukrainian monitoring channels reported it as an impact.

2 Kh-59 cruise missiles were launched from Su-34 aircraft over Kursk/Belgorod Oblast. They both flew to Pryluky, Chernihiv Oblast, but no explosions were reported. They either struck something in an open area or were shot down.

The usage of ATACMS by Ukraine on Bryansk Oblast, Russia, was confirmed by the Russian Ministry of Defence.

They claimed 5 out of 6 missiles were downed. Reuters on the other hand, citing anonymous US officials, claimed that Russia intercepted 2 out of 8 missiles.

Probability of a Russian missile attack on Ukraine involving Tu-95/Tu-160 bombers:

For the next 24 hours, I estimate that there is a 7% chance of this occurring.

There is currently no activity noted by Ukrainian monitor channels of preparations for Russian attacks.

The number of Tu-95 bombers stationed at Olenya airbase (the primary airbase used for take-off during attacks), has not changed. (it stands at ~16-17 Tu-95s)

Over the past 24 hours, 3 main actions by Russia were noted:

- 6 Kalibr missile-carriers of the "Varshavyanka" and
"Admiral Makarov/Esen" projects were deployed to
the waters of the Black Sea, with a total possible
salvo of up to 24 Kalibr missiles.

- 2 Training of 2 MiG-31Ks from Savasleika Airbase

- Training of several Tu-22m3 aircraft from Olenya
Airbase.