They disappeared from the radar, no explosions were reported.
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There was an explosion. Local channels report it was air defence, while other monitor channels report it as an impact
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Summary of the missile attacks this evening in Ukraine:
A total of 6 missiles of varying types were launched between 8pm and 9:20pm local time.
1 S-300 missile was launched from Belgorod Oblast in the direction of Kharkiv. A strong explosion rang out in the eastern suburbs of the city, indicating an impact.
1 S-300 missile was launched from Kursk Oblast in the direction of Sumy. A strong explosion rang out in the suburbs of the city.
2 Kh-59/69 cruise missiles were launched from Su-34 aircraft near the city of Henichesk, Kherson Oblast. They both flew in the direction of Dnipro. One of the missiles disappeared from the radar (possibly hitting an air defence installation), while the other may have hit Dnipro, as an explosion was reported. Local channels attributed the explosion to air defence, while other Ukrainian monitoring channels reported it as an impact.
2 Kh-59 cruise missiles were launched from Su-34 aircraft over Kursk/Belgorod Oblast. They both flew to Pryluky, Chernihiv Oblast, but no explosions were reported. They either struck something in an open area or were shot down.
A total of 6 missiles of varying types were launched between 8pm and 9:20pm local time.
1 S-300 missile was launched from Belgorod Oblast in the direction of Kharkiv. A strong explosion rang out in the eastern suburbs of the city, indicating an impact.
1 S-300 missile was launched from Kursk Oblast in the direction of Sumy. A strong explosion rang out in the suburbs of the city.
2 Kh-59/69 cruise missiles were launched from Su-34 aircraft near the city of Henichesk, Kherson Oblast. They both flew in the direction of Dnipro. One of the missiles disappeared from the radar (possibly hitting an air defence installation), while the other may have hit Dnipro, as an explosion was reported. Local channels attributed the explosion to air defence, while other Ukrainian monitoring channels reported it as an impact.
2 Kh-59 cruise missiles were launched from Su-34 aircraft over Kursk/Belgorod Oblast. They both flew to Pryluky, Chernihiv Oblast, but no explosions were reported. They either struck something in an open area or were shot down.
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The usage of ATACMS by Ukraine on Bryansk Oblast, Russia, was confirmed by the Russian Ministry of Defence.
They claimed 5 out of 6 missiles were downed. Reuters on the other hand, citing anonymous US officials, claimed that Russia intercepted 2 out of 8 missiles.
They claimed 5 out of 6 missiles were downed. Reuters on the other hand, citing anonymous US officials, claimed that Russia intercepted 2 out of 8 missiles.
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Probability of a Russian missile attack on Ukraine involving Tu-95/Tu-160 bombers:
For the next 24 hours, I estimate that there is a 7% chance of this occurring.
There is currently no activity noted by Ukrainian monitor channels of preparations for Russian attacks.
The number of Tu-95 bombers stationed at Olenya airbase (the primary airbase used for take-off during attacks), has not changed. (it stands at ~16-17 Tu-95s)
Over the past 24 hours, 3 main actions by Russia were noted:
- 6 Kalibr missile-carriers of the "Varshavyanka" and
"Admiral Makarov/Esen" projects were deployed to
the waters of the Black Sea, with a total possible
salvo of up to 24 Kalibr missiles.
- 2 Training of 2 MiG-31Ks from Savasleika Airbase
- Training of several Tu-22m3 aircraft from Olenya
Airbase.
For the next 24 hours, I estimate that there is a 7% chance of this occurring.
There is currently no activity noted by Ukrainian monitor channels of preparations for Russian attacks.
The number of Tu-95 bombers stationed at Olenya airbase (the primary airbase used for take-off during attacks), has not changed. (it stands at ~16-17 Tu-95s)
Over the past 24 hours, 3 main actions by Russia were noted:
- 6 Kalibr missile-carriers of the "Varshavyanka" and
"Admiral Makarov/Esen" projects were deployed to
the waters of the Black Sea, with a total possible
salvo of up to 24 Kalibr missiles.
- 2 Training of 2 MiG-31Ks from Savasleika Airbase
- Training of several Tu-22m3 aircraft from Olenya
Airbase.
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A few days ago a father and his son were reportedly arrested in an Hospital in Damascus while his son went there to undergo a treatment.
Today, local fighters in the Dara'a province (Southern Syria) began retaliatory attacks on SAA positions.
The State Security HQ in Inkhil was surrounded at one point, and several other SAA checkpoints were targeted.
Today, local fighters in the Dara'a province (Southern Syria) began retaliatory attacks on SAA positions.
The State Security HQ in Inkhil was surrounded at one point, and several other SAA checkpoints were targeted.
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For some reason, Ukraine is attacking in northern Kharkiv Oblast again?
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A large scale Ukrainian UAV attack on Russia is underway. From 21:00 to 23:55 local time, it is reported that the following were shot down
32 UAVs over Bryansk Oblast;
5 UAVs over Smolensk Oblast;
2 UAVs over Moscow Oblast;
1 UAV over Kursk Oblast;
1 UAV over Oryol Oblast;
1 UAV over the Rostov Oblast.
There were also UAVs shot down over Mariupol, Donetsk Oblast.
Meanwhile, a direct impact was made on a factory producing Mayonnaise (yes you read that right).
32 UAVs over Bryansk Oblast;
5 UAVs over Smolensk Oblast;
2 UAVs over Moscow Oblast;
1 UAV over Kursk Oblast;
1 UAV over Oryol Oblast;
1 UAV over the Rostov Oblast.
There were also UAVs shot down over Mariupol, Donetsk Oblast.
Meanwhile, a direct impact was made on a factory producing Mayonnaise (yes you read that right).
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Explosions were reported in Poltava. Geran-2 drone attacks were carried out.
Additionally, ~8 Gerans are flying in the direction of Kremenchuk, 3 Gerans are in the Konotop area of Sumy Oblast, heading west. 2 are circling north and south of Starokostyantyniv (Khmelnytskyi Oblast). A couple of them are also flying in the direction of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, while one is in the Korosten area of Zhytmoyr Oblast.
Btw, these drone attacks happen practically every day, I just don't report on them very often.
Additionally, ~8 Gerans are flying in the direction of Kremenchuk, 3 Gerans are in the Konotop area of Sumy Oblast, heading west. 2 are circling north and south of Starokostyantyniv (Khmelnytskyi Oblast). A couple of them are also flying in the direction of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, while one is in the Korosten area of Zhytmoyr Oblast.
Btw, these drone attacks happen practically every day, I just don't report on them very often.
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Ah yes, Ukraine is in such a winning position when:
> Russia's losses are replaceable. According to a NATO official, they are recruiting 30,000 men per month.
> Russia isn't hauling people off the street, beating them up and sending them to Pokrovsk (unlike Ukraine), why? because they don't need to.
> Ukrainian production is going to suffer during the winter when they have hardly any electricity
> Russia can strike all of Ukraine with missiles and drones, Ukraine can't strike all of Russia with missiles and drones (even if they could Russian air defence is much stronger)
> Ukraine is targeting things that can be replaced, eg. ammo depots, Russia is targeting things that take much longer to repair, eg. critical energy infrastructure
> The west doesn't care about Ukraine. They are using them to keep Russia occupied and as a testing ground for their weapons.
> Russia's military industrial complex is much, much larger than Ukraine's, meaning Russia has the upper hand in a war of attrition.
> Trump won the election (self-explanatory)
> Russia only has 1 more line of defence to break through until it reaches Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, which if you don't know is a massive expanse of flat fucking fields.
> Ukraine is running critically short on manpower, allowing the Russian advances to exponentially grow (look at south Donetsk for example)
I'm sorry, but this is just a fact.
> Russia's losses are replaceable. According to a NATO official, they are recruiting 30,000 men per month.
> Russia isn't hauling people off the street, beating them up and sending them to Pokrovsk (unlike Ukraine), why? because they don't need to.
> Ukrainian production is going to suffer during the winter when they have hardly any electricity
> Russia can strike all of Ukraine with missiles and drones, Ukraine can't strike all of Russia with missiles and drones (even if they could Russian air defence is much stronger)
> Ukraine is targeting things that can be replaced, eg. ammo depots, Russia is targeting things that take much longer to repair, eg. critical energy infrastructure
> The west doesn't care about Ukraine. They are using them to keep Russia occupied and as a testing ground for their weapons.
> Russia's military industrial complex is much, much larger than Ukraine's, meaning Russia has the upper hand in a war of attrition.
> Trump won the election (self-explanatory)
> Russia only has 1 more line of defence to break through until it reaches Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, which if you don't know is a massive expanse of flat fucking fields.
> Ukraine is running critically short on manpower, allowing the Russian advances to exponentially grow (look at south Donetsk for example)
I'm sorry, but this is just a fact.
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