In fact it's even possible that the first "Kinzhal missiles" were actually Kh-101 cruise missiles. This has happened in the past, where launch maneuvers were not detected, or mixed up with other activity. The MiG-31Ks could've taken off and conducted launch maneuvers at the same time as to confuse Ukrainian air defence crews as they may expect Kinzhals, but instead receive Kh-101s. Then if you mix in potential tests with long-range ballistics from Astrakhan Oblast, you get a lot of confusion. I'd say this scenario is unlikely, but we will see later on once more reliable information is released.

The 2 MiG-31K's landed, presumably at Savasleika airbase. Ukrainian monitoring channels noted that a risk of more take-offs remains.

If the missile launches weren't simulated, then we can expect them to enter the airspace of Ukraine in the next 20 minutes.

The 2 Tu-95s which were flying in the direction of the Caspian Sea landed at Astrakhan Airbase. No launch maneuvers were carried out. You don't often see Tu-95s land here though.

The Ukrainian navy reported that there are 24 Russian ships in the waters of the Black Sea, of which 5 are carriers of Kalibr missiles. This means that there is a total possible salvo of 28 Kalibr missiles.

The 4 Tu-95s that were heading for Olenya airbase after conducting launch maneuvers have returned in the opposite direction and landed at Engels-2 airbase.

These movements are really weird. I personally haven't seen anything similar before.

Also It doesn't look like any missiles were launched, but let's wait a little longer.

There is an added threat of Kalibr launches from the Black Sea

Kh-101s entered Ukraine

Flying south through Chernihiv Oblast

Reports of Kalibr launches

at least 3 Kh-101s in the first group

First group of Kh-101s are flying to Poltava Oblast from the northwest.

The 1st group of Kh-101s changed course to Kyiv, flying in from the east

No kalibr launches have been confirmed yet.

2nd group of Kh-101s entered Sumy Oblast and flew near Romny.

1st group entered Kyiv Oblast.

All cruise missiles are flying in the direction of Kyiv

2nd group flew over Pryluky and is headed for Vyshhorod, Kyiv Oblast.

Reports of 1 Kh-101 missile being shot down

Both groups sharply changed course and are now flying to Lubny, Poltava Oblast.

4-5 missiles remain in the airspace of Ukraine