Russian forces have reportedly advanced down the treeline for over 4km in the direction of Romanivka, south of Kurakhove.

Russian forces are reportedly continuing to advance in the direction of Velyka Novosilka, taking up new positions in Ukrainian trench fortifications and in the treelines. Rozdolne is apparently being taken into a semi-encirclement.

Recent reports state that Russian forces have recaptured Nikolaevo Darino, in the western part of the Kursk salient.

Probability of a Russian missile attack on Ukraine involving Tu-95/Tu-160 bombers:

For the next 24 hours, I estimate that there is a 10% chance of this occurring.

There has been no activity noted by Ukrainian monitor channels of preparations for Russian attacks.

Over the past 24 hours, there were no main actions by Russia that were noted

There are also still 6 Kalibr missile-carriers in the Black Sea with a total possible salvo of up to 24 Kalibr missiles

Disclaimer: the percentage estimate is very approximate, and based off previous patterns that I and others have observed. Do not use this as an early warning system.

A security incident was reported at the Israeli embassy in Amman, Jordan. Clashes are reportedly taking place in the area, with police seen surrounding the building.

Jordanian security forces are currently using drones to identify possible attackers.

Amman, Jordan right now

The Kurakhove cauldron has begun to collapse.

Israeli special forces are currently launching a raid on the Balata refugee camp in the eastern part of the Palestinian city of Nablus, in the West Bank.

Israeli military vehicles advanced from the Huwara checkpoint (which is under joint IDF and Palestinian authority administration) and reached the Balata camp from the south.

Israeli snipers were deployed to several residential buildings. Palestinian locals responded by blasting National and Jihadist anthems over loudspeakers. Clashes are ongoing between Palestinian fighters from the Nablus battalion, and the invading Israeli forces in the narrow alleyways of Balata.

I just watched an "expert" invited onto Al Jazeera claim that 1,500 Russian soldiers are being killed per day on the frontline, and that Russia is in "meatgrinder" mode lmao.

Not even the Ukrainian government claims that many Russian KIA

Geolocated footage indicates that Russian forces have again advanced in the direction of Velyka Novosilka, taking up new forward positions.

A Russian mechanised assault advanced from Shakhtarske towards the key supply road leading into Velyka Novosilka. Five tanks and other armoured vehicles laid suppressive fire on Ukrainian positions. A couple of Ukrainian artillery shells were fired at the vehicles but missed.

An APC advanced towards a treeline, where Russian infantry dismounted and ran into the trees to gain cover from Ukrainian FPV drones and artillery. They then presumably went on to attempt to clear the Ukrainian trench fortifications next to the treeline.

+ ~4.62km² in favour of Russia.

Recent reports by Pro-Ukrainian source "Deepstate" suggest that Russian forces have significantly advanced in the cauldron south of Kurakhove.

Starting off in the north of the cauldron, Russian forces likely broke through Ukrainian lines for over 4km in the direction of Romanivka, entering the village from the north. They also likely captured several other treelines to the northwest and southeast to protect the flanks of the spearhead.

In the east of the cauldron, Russian troops likely entered Illinka, capturing most of the settlement. It is likely in my opinion that following the sudden Russian breakthrough to Romanivka, the Ukrainian garrison stationed in Illinka, realising the gravity of their situation, decided to begin a withdrawal. However, according to Deepstate's map, a portion of these Ukrainian groupings are now trapped in the western part of Illinka and will have to cross the Sukhi Yaly river to get to saftey in Yelyzavetivka.

And in the south of the cauldron, Russian forces reportedly advanced in the direction of Yelyzavetivka, entering and capturing the agricultural buildings in the southeast of the village, as well as capturing another treeline and advancing in the Yelyzavetivksyi forest.

— 🇮🇱/🇯🇴 NEW: Jordanian police officers have killed the attacker, and 3 members of the security forces have been injured

@Middle_East_Spectator

Recent reports from reliable sources suggest that Russian forces have likely advanced in the central suburbs of Kurakhove (not to be confused with the city centre), taking up new positions near School no. 5. It is unclear if School no. 5 was captured.

Fierce clashes are ongoing here, with the Russians slowly moving towards the high-rise buildings in the city centre.

Recent reports by Pro-Ukrainian source "Deepstate" suggest that Russian forces have likely advanced in three directions west of Selydove.

In the south, Russia was likely able to advance from their positions in the forest plantations south of Yurivka, towards the village of Pushkine, taking up positions in the treelines just over a kilometre away from its eastern outskirts.

Further north, the Russians were likely able to advance for 3.5km westward, gaining a foothold in the next treeline over.

And in the north, Russian forces likely managed to take up new positions on the northeastern bank of the reservoir.

Newly released footage indicates that Russian soldiers have landed on Kozatskyi Island on the Dnipro river Delta. No Ukrainian soldiers were in sight, and the Russian soldier there seemed to be walking around calmly.

A Ukrainian drone then dropped two grenades on him, likely killing him.

+ ~5.24km² in favour of Russia

Russian and Ukrainian sources have both reported that Russian forces have entrenched themselves in the eastern houses of Rozdolne, northeast of Velyka Novosilka.

Recent reports by Russian and Ukrainian sources suggest that Russian forces have entered Velyka Novosilka from the southeast, capturing the agricultural buildings. There is an 840m gap between these buildings and the residential area of Velyka Novosilka.

Recent reports state that Russian forces have advanced in Zaporizhzhia Oblast and entered the eastern houses of Bilohirya.