Significant movements of Russian transport aircraft of various types were noted today, with them landing at almost all the Geran-2 drone launch sites. The cargo most likely consists of Geran-2 drones.

There are also reports that the equipment of Tu-95s, Tu-160s, Tu-22s and Mig-31Ks is in progress.

A rocket was launched by Hezbollah towards Northeastern Israel and struck an open area near the town of Kiryat Shmona.

A recent report states that Russian forces seized the entirety of the Toretsk central mine and the three adjacent terykons. The Toretsk mine is one of two main Ukrainian strongholds in the city, with the other one being the rest of the city centre.

I believe that Russia is preparing for another large-scale missile attack on Ukraine in the coming days. Several actions were noted that indicate preparations for a large coordinated and combined attack.

Firstly, several redeployments were carried out over the past week. Multiple Tu-95s and Tu-160s were redeployed from Ukrainka airbase in Amur Oblast to Engels-2 airbase in Saratov Oblast. At the same time, several Tu-95s were redeployed from Engels-2 airbase to Olenya airbase in Murmansk Oblast. The equipment of Tu-95ms/Tu-160/Tu-22m3/Mig-31K aircraft with missiles was also noted.

Lately Russia has been concentrating most of their strategic aviation at Olenya airbase, suggesting that they will use this airbase for the next missile attack.

There were also deployments of 5 Kalibr missile carriers to the waters of the Black Sea, including:

— 1 submarine of the "Varshavyanka" project
— 2x frigates of an unspecified project
— 2x MRK Typhoons of project 22800 “Karakurt”

This gives us a total possible salvo of up to 36 Kalibr cruise missiles.

Additionally, significant movements of Russian military transport aircraft was noted at Geran-2 drone launch sites. The following was recorded:

— The landing of an An-72 aircraft at Khalino airbase in Kursk Oblast.

— The landing of an Il-76 aircraft at Seshchna airbase in Bryansk Oblast. (There were also at least 10 other Il-76 aircraft recorded at the airbase according to new satellite imagery).

— The landing of an Il-76 aircraft at Yeysk airbase in Krasnodar Krai.

— The landing of an Il-76 aircraft at the Chauda training ground in Crimea.

All of these aircraft likely carried Geran-2 drones, which they were delivering to these points for intensified launches.

HTS media claimed that they have reached the northern gates of Hama.

Well that 10-hour South Korea fiasco was unexpected lol

13 hours later, the last Geran drone flew past Ivankiv in Kyiv Oblast and is now flying to Zhytomyr Oblast.

However, there were reports of repeated launches of Gerans from Primorsko-Akhtarsk airbase in Krasnodar Krai and from Oryol airbase in Oryol Oblast.

This highlights how Russia is intending to extend the total flight time of these drones by launching new ones when the first wave is about to run out. This tires out air defence operators and demoralizes civilians.

Situation in Syria, north of Hama:

Both sides continue their offensive operations, with HTS making the most progress. Many of these towns north of Hama are very difficult to map due to them continuously changing hands as each side launches counterattacks. At one-point HTS was reportedly at the northern outskirts of Hama but were repelled by the SAA and then forced back to their original positions after a series of counterattacks.

Nevertheless, HTS was able to recapture the key towns of Maardes and Tayyibat al mam. Clashes are now ongoing south of these towns and north of the last line of defence before Hama, which coalesces around the key town of Qomhane.

Approximate situation south of Manbij.

In short, SNA fighters continued their advance, reaching the Euphrates River. SDF fighters are now with their backs against the river, encircled on three sides. SNA forces have begun advancing towards Manbij.

Beit Lahiya in Northern Gaza last night.

The city is under constant bombardment from artillery, airstrikes and quadcopters.

Gaza's civil defence described Beit Lahiya as "uninhabitable".

Reports from reliable sources suggest that Russian forces have likely made significant progress on the South Donetsk front. There was also geolocated footage which confirmed a small Russian advance in the same area.

Geolocated footage indicates that Russian infantry advanced in the direction of Upsenivka and have reached the primary Ukrainian stronghold defending the road leading into the remnants of the salient south of Kurakhove. Ukraine responded by shelling the advancing Russian soldiers with artillery. At the same time, reports emerged stating that Russian forces advanced to Kostiantynopolske, taking a foothold in the southeastern-most houses.

However, the main advance apparently occurred to the west, with Russian forces likely advancing for nearly 5km in the direction of Sukhi Yaly, establishing a foothold in the southern houses of the village. If true, this would also mean that the Russians were able to capture a number of treelines to the south, solidifying their presence north of Maksymivka.

Map of Israeli airstrikes and artillery shelling in the Gaza Strip over the past 24 hours.

Dark blue icons represent airstrikes
Light blue icons represent artillery shelling incidents

Airstrikes were reported in Rafah, Deir al Balah, Gaza city, and the Bureij refugee camp.

Notably there was significantly more shelling in the eastern areas of Gaza city. Dense shelling of Beit Lahiya (northern Gaza) is kept up, while shelling of Jabalia (northern Gaza) has decreased. The coastal areas of the Al-Mawasi humanitarian zone in southern Gaza was also shelled at one point.

Russian forces have reportedly levelled out the frontline south of Myrnohrad, and are approaching the villages of Dachenske, Zelene and Vidrodzhennia, seizing new treeline positions and positions in the vicinity of the E50 highway.

In the Pokrovsk direction, Russian forces reportedly bypassed the village of Novopustynka from the north and established a bridgehead in a forest on the western bank of the Solonyi river (not to be confused with the nearby Solona river).

Russian forces have reportedly advanced in the Chasiv Yar refractory plant and reached the main building. Extremely fierce fighting is ongoing, with battles quite literally raging for every room. Russia is very slowly moving forwards and has apparently cleared the eastern buildings.