A short while ago, a Russian Iskander-M ballistic missile was launched at Konotop district of Sumy Oblast. It most likely struck an open area as the mayor of Konotop reported that there was no damage to infrastructure.

New footage indicates that SAA forces have withdrawn from the towns of Al Thaala, Ad Darah and Mlaiharel Sharqiah, as well as the Thaala airport.

It's possible that they have fully withdrawn from this whole salient to new positions further north.

The FSA is reportedly within 22km of Damascus.

Russian forces have reportedly reached the outskirts of Dachenske and are attacking Ukrainian positions in the agricultural buildings. Battles are ongoing.

1 Tu-95ms aircraft took off from Olenya airbase in Murmansk Oblast. It is flying south in the direction of Engels-2 airbase in Saratov Oblast. This flight is probably for redeployment purposes.

Audible clashes are heard between HTS and the SAA in Homs.

The SAA seems to have left the strategic city of Palmyra in the eastern Homs governorate without a fight.

I think Assad's days in power are numbered

The question is, will there be a coup before Damascus falls. I think this is a possibility as the military increasingly sees their leader as incompetent. I mean, the advances in the past week have been crazy. The SAA went from very clearly having the upper-hand in pretty much every direction to being on the verge of collapse in all directions. This will have obviously dealt some major blows to morale. Parts of the SAA may take it out on Assad.

I guess time will tell.

The situation in the SAA-affiliated telegram channels is a bit reminiscent of many of the ultra Pro-Ukrainian channels. Clinging onto small pieces of hope and posting about every good thing that happens for their side, eg. every airstrike. Some are still denying the reality of the situation and how dire it is for the SAA.

Now I won't say that it's 100% certain that Assad will fall. Syria has been in similar situations in 2013 and 2016, but I will say that this does seem different.

Unconfirmed reports of SAA withdrawals from a number of locations in the Damascus Governorate following FSA advances.

Dozens of Syrian troops enter Iraq at Al-Qaim border crossing in coordination with Iraqi forces —— Reuters

Rusaia is continuing to prepare for another large-scale missile attack on Ukraine.

A short while ago, two more Tu-95ms aircraft flew from Olenya airbase in Murmansk Oblast to Engels-2 airbase in Saratov Oblast, presumably to be equipped with Kh-101 cruise missiles. They will probably return to Olenya airbase within the next 48 hours.

Additionally, two Il-76 military transport aircraft landed at Engels-2 airbase, with the cargo most likely including Kh-101 cruise missiles.

There are quite a lot of reports of uprisings occurring across the Damascus Governorate ahead of the FSA and HTS advance. There isn’t much evidence of this yet, so I’ll wait for some more confirmation before adding it to the map.

The suburbs of Damascus right now… this is insane.

FSA has entered Damascus, linking up with the uprisings in the suburbs. The battle for the city has officially begun.

I’m gonna catch a few hours of sleep and hope that Syria doesn’t collapse in that period of time. I’ll be back online and reporting later.

Homs has fallen, the coast has been isolated. A last stand will be made at Damascus.

Another Tu-95 took off from Engels-2 airbase and is flying north to Olenya airbase, presumably for redeployment purposes.

Around 8 hours ago, another Tu-95 redeployed from Engels-2 airbase to Olenya airbase.