As much as 95% of Toretsk is now under Russian control. The main remaining Ukrainian positions in the city are in the northernmost residential area and the Krymske mines.

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Medium-quality satellite imagery of the Engels-2 air base in Saratov Oblast:

As of January 6 (Date of the photo) the following were located at the air base:

- 1x Tu-160
- 3 Tu-95MS
- 1x Il-76MD
- 1x Su-24MR

The Tu-95MS and Tu-160 strategic bombers often conduct training from here, however now the air base is primarily used for the equipment of Kh-101 and Kh-22 cruise missiles.

The Il-76MD aircraft presumably delivered the Kh-101 cruise missiles, although it is unknown when this aircraft landed here.

Yesterday, 3 Tu-95MS aircraft redeployed from Olenya air base in Murmansk Oblast to Engels-2 air base to be equipped with Kh-101 cruise missiles. They then flew back to Olenya air base in preparation for the next large-scale missile attack on Ukraine.

There are currently at least 6 Tu-95MS aircraft equipped with Kh-101 cruise missiles at Olenya air base.

The satellite imagery was purchased by https://news.1rj.ru/str/StrategicaviationT.

Novosotnitsky is now confirmed to be under Russian control once again. Battles are probably ongoing for Berdin, which Ukraine still controls.

A Russian source reports that Ukraine is bringing in reserves to the villages of Sverdlikovo and Lebedevka and are probing Russian defences in the area.

Yesterday, a U.S. Navy P8 Poseidon aircraft was conducting reconnaissance operations off the Lebanese-Syrian coast.

Scenes from Toretsk

Yesterday, an Israeli company commander and deputy company commander in the "Nahal" Brigade's 932nd Battalion were killed in Beit Hanoun, Northern Gaza.

🇰🇷Talks of special forces and military being pulled into assault Yoon's residence, as it has been transformed into a makeshift fortress

Russian forces have reportedly reached the westernmost part of Toretsk, apparently capturing Zaporizka and Koralenka streets, as well as the nearby warhouses.

Russia has begun attacking Pokrovsk with FAB-250 glide bombs once again, after a few days of mostly artillery and MLRS strikes.

Several strikes were recorded in Pokrovsk city, while other impacts were reported in the city of Rodynske, further north. There are reports of injuries here.

There were also additional FAB-250 impacts reported in various nearby villages.

🇧🇫🤝🇬🇭 — Burkina Faso de factor leader Ibrahim Traore lands in Accra, Ghana to attend the inauguration of the country's new elected president Mahama.

This is the first time Traore travelled outside AES (Mali, Niger and Burkina Faso) countries since his 2022 coup.

One of the most interesting things I find about the war in Ukraine is how easy it is to predict Russias future moves in the short term.

The main things you have to do is pinpoint the most likely goals, and figure out how they will reach these goals by looking at previous patterns and the topography of the area, while also taking into account defensive positions, defensive nodes and natural features.

This process may sound complex, but once you visualize it, it becomes much more obvious.

For example, natural features such as trees are often useful for cover from FPV drones and artillery, while Russia will also want to move along the high ground where possible in order to exert fire control and maintain surveillance over the surrounding areas.

Obviously, there is more to it if you want to plot more precise routes and attack vectors, but for the most part and in most places, if you give it enough thought, it is possible to accurately predict future moves.

1 Russian Tu-95MS departed from Olenya air base in Murmansk Oblast and is flying south to Engels-2 air base in Saratov Oblast, likely to be equipped with Kh-101 cruise missiles. Once this is done, it will fly back to Olenya, meaning that there will be at least 7 equipped Tu-95MS aircraft stationed there, ready for a missile strike on Ukraine.

A MiG-31K is airborne. It can carry the Kinzhal hypersonic missile.

The purpose of the flight is currently unknown.

It's returning to Savasleyka air base in Nizhny Novgorod Oblast. Just training.