Recent reports from reliable sources indicate that Russian forces continue to advance in the Pokrovsk direction and on the western flank of Pokrovsk.
In the Pokrovsk direction, Russian forces levelled out the front-line south of Zelene, capturing a treeline that was previously in the grey zone.
On the western flank of Pokrovsk, Russian forces advanced in the forest plantations towards Zvirove, reaching the outskirts of the village. The main progress on the western flank, however, was made in the direction of Kotlyne and Udachne. Russia completed the capture of the chalk quarry and advanced up one treeline, and through a forest, reaching the T-0406 highway to Pokrovsk. Ukrainian forces withdrew to the windbreaks on either side of the railway tracks.
Russia was also able to approach the southern outskirts of the village of Kotlyne.
+ ~7.57km² in favour of Russia.
In the Pokrovsk direction, Russian forces levelled out the front-line south of Zelene, capturing a treeline that was previously in the grey zone.
On the western flank of Pokrovsk, Russian forces advanced in the forest plantations towards Zvirove, reaching the outskirts of the village. The main progress on the western flank, however, was made in the direction of Kotlyne and Udachne. Russia completed the capture of the chalk quarry and advanced up one treeline, and through a forest, reaching the T-0406 highway to Pokrovsk. Ukrainian forces withdrew to the windbreaks on either side of the railway tracks.
Russia was also able to approach the southern outskirts of the village of Kotlyne.
+ ~7.57km² in favour of Russia.
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Israeli media reports that an entire building collapsed on a group of Israeli soldiers in Northern Gaza, resulting in injuries and deaths. An evacuation helicopter landed at Ichilov Hospital in Tel Aviv.
The collapse was presumably due to an attack by Hamas or the PIJ.
The collapse was presumably due to an attack by Hamas or the PIJ.
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Recent reports from reliable sources indicate that Russian forces continue to advance in the Andriivka direction, and have made two main advances.
In the north, Russia was able to attack from positions near the village of Ukrainka and from positions near the village of Slovyanka, capturing 3 treelines and part of a 4th one.
Further south, Russian forces were able to build on their success following the fall of Shevchenko and captured a forested area. It's possible that they then used that forest to build up small groups of infantry to attack the stronghold on the eastern approaches to Andriivka. Either way, they were able to capture that stronghold. Battles will likely begin for Andriivka in the coming days.
+ ~6.51km² in favour of Russia.
In the north, Russia was able to attack from positions near the village of Ukrainka and from positions near the village of Slovyanka, capturing 3 treelines and part of a 4th one.
Further south, Russian forces were able to build on their success following the fall of Shevchenko and captured a forested area. It's possible that they then used that forest to build up small groups of infantry to attack the stronghold on the eastern approaches to Andriivka. Either way, they were able to capture that stronghold. Battles will likely begin for Andriivka in the coming days.
+ ~6.51km² in favour of Russia.
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Geolocated footage and a recent map update from the Ukrainian source "Deepstate" indicates that Russian forces continue to advance on the eastern flank of Velyka Novosilka.
The map update from Deepstate shows that Russian forces advanced in the treelines northeast of Velyka Novosilka, taking up positions near the outskirts of the town.
The geolocated footage shows that Russia was able to advance to the eastern bank of the Mokri Yaly river, taking up positions in the forest plantations southwest of Novyi Komar. This advance was easier as there are very few trenches between Novyi Komar and Velyka Novosilka, however this will also make it more difficult for Russia to consolidate their control over the area.
+ ~3.34km² in favour of Russia.
The map update from Deepstate shows that Russian forces advanced in the treelines northeast of Velyka Novosilka, taking up positions near the outskirts of the town.
The geolocated footage shows that Russia was able to advance to the eastern bank of the Mokri Yaly river, taking up positions in the forest plantations southwest of Novyi Komar. This advance was easier as there are very few trenches between Novyi Komar and Velyka Novosilka, however this will also make it more difficult for Russia to consolidate their control over the area.
+ ~3.34km² in favour of Russia.
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A recent map update by the Ukrainian source "Deepstate" indicates that Russian forces advanced in Chasiv yar, recapturing the refractory plant in the centre of the city.
This attack likely came from the northwestern suburbs, as Ukraine has stronger positions further east. Russian forces were able to swiftly enter the plant, taking it under control, forcing Ukraine to withdraw to the residential buildings in the city centre where they are now mounting a defence.
+ ~0.30km² in favour of Russia.
This attack likely came from the northwestern suburbs, as Ukraine has stronger positions further east. Russian forces were able to swiftly enter the plant, taking it under control, forcing Ukraine to withdraw to the residential buildings in the city centre where they are now mounting a defence.
+ ~0.30km² in favour of Russia.
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Following the fall of Wad Madani, the SAF continued their offensive operations north, building on their successes. They were able to advance east of the Blue Nile River, and captured the villages of Alsharfa Barakat, Dalut Al-Bahr, Wad Al Fadni, Arbaji and Radma, before advancing and capturing the town of Tamboul.
However, the SAF failed to consolidate their positions and the RSF counterattacked shortly afterwards, recapturing around half of what they lost here, including the town of Tamboul. The goal of the SAF was likely to try to outflank the RSF on the eastern bank of the Blue Nile River.
Further west, the RSF counterattacked and recaptured the towns of Wad Al Fadni and Arbaji as well as the outskirts of Rufaa. Heavy SAF air and artillery strikes are ongoing on the lost positions.
+ ~137km² in favour of the SAF
+ ~261.2km² in favour of the RSF
However, the SAF failed to consolidate their positions and the RSF counterattacked shortly afterwards, recapturing around half of what they lost here, including the town of Tamboul. The goal of the SAF was likely to try to outflank the RSF on the eastern bank of the Blue Nile River.
Further west, the RSF counterattacked and recaptured the towns of Wad Al Fadni and Arbaji as well as the outskirts of Rufaa. Heavy SAF air and artillery strikes are ongoing on the lost positions.
+ ~137km² in favour of the SAF
+ ~261.2km² in favour of the RSF
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The Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) continued their advance south of Wad Madani, and have almost eliminated the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) pocket. The SAF was able to capture the town of El-Hosh, as well as the villages of Al-Ataya, Ar-Ruff and Alhwywah, among others.
+ ~161km² in favour of the SAF.
+ ~161km² in favour of the SAF.
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4 Russian Tu-22M3 aircraft departed from Olenya air base in Murmansk Oblast. They are probably redeploying to Engels-2 air base in Saratov Oblast to be equipped with Kh-22 cruise missiles.
This further indicates preparations for a large-scale missile attack on Ukraine.
This further indicates preparations for a large-scale missile attack on Ukraine.
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The Tu-22M3s are flying close to the launch lines. There is a threat of Kh-22 missile launches.
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They all landed at Shaikovka air base. There are now 11 Tu-22M3 bombers stationed there.
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The Israeli Nahal brigade which is operating in Northern Gaza is taking a beating. There have been multiple incidents per day involving dead and wounded. I might do a count of the reported dead and wounded from that brigade. It does appear that Beit Hanoun is a major Hamas stronghold, and Israel is having a hard time clearing it.
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Consequences of yesterday's Russian KAB strikes on Bilytske, Donetsk Oblast.
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Remember, Chasiv Yar is situated right at the top of the tactical heights. Future advances significantly favour Russia, that's why they are fighting so hard for it, and that's why Ukraine is defending it for as long as possible - they know the consequences of its loss.
However, I have a sneaking suspicion that Russia wont advance downhill to Kostyantynivka, Druzhkivka and Kramatorsk until Pokrovsk falls and an offensive north from there is carried out. Simultaneous pushes will allow for the envelopment of Kostyantynivka, and rear battles in Kramatorsk and Druzhkivka, making defensive operations in these cities very difficult.
However, I have a sneaking suspicion that Russia wont advance downhill to Kostyantynivka, Druzhkivka and Kramatorsk until Pokrovsk falls and an offensive north from there is carried out. Simultaneous pushes will allow for the envelopment of Kostyantynivka, and rear battles in Kramatorsk and Druzhkivka, making defensive operations in these cities very difficult.
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Over the past two weeks, the pincers have continued to form around Pokrovsk. The eastern pincer, or flank, has seen a lot of progress, with a spearhead forming, cutting the Pokrovsk - Kostyantynivka highway. We will likely see efforts to expand the width of this spearhead in the coming days/weeks.
The western flank has also seen progress, with this one having wider advances. This is partially because of less Ukrainian fortifications here, compared to the eastern flank. Yesterday Russia was able to establish fire control over the Mezhova - Pokrovsk highway and are now just over 7km from the Pavlohrad - Pokrovsk highway, which is the primary Ukrainian supply line for this sector.
Meanwhile, Russia continues to push closer and closer to Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, which will undoubtably further over-extend the already limited Ukrainian manpower and resources in this area.
The western flank has also seen progress, with this one having wider advances. This is partially because of less Ukrainian fortifications here, compared to the eastern flank. Yesterday Russia was able to establish fire control over the Mezhova - Pokrovsk highway and are now just over 7km from the Pavlohrad - Pokrovsk highway, which is the primary Ukrainian supply line for this sector.
Meanwhile, Russia continues to push closer and closer to Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, which will undoubtably further over-extend the already limited Ukrainian manpower and resources in this area.
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Based on reports from Israeli media, I can estimate that 12 IDF soldiers have been killed, and 46 others have been wounded in fighting over the past 4 days in Gaza, almost all of which were in the city of Beit Hanoun in Northern Gaza.
Keep in mind, the true number is likely higher.
This is a significant uptick in Israeli casualties.
Keep in mind, the true number is likely higher.
This is a significant uptick in Israeli casualties.
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