The Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) continued their advance south of Wad Madani, and have almost eliminated the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) pocket. The SAF was able to capture the town of El-Hosh, as well as the villages of Al-Ataya, Ar-Ruff and Alhwywah, among others.

+ ~161km² in favour of the SAF.

4 Russian Tu-22M3 aircraft departed from Olenya air base in Murmansk Oblast. They are probably redeploying to Engels-2 air base in Saratov Oblast to be equipped with Kh-22 cruise missiles.

This further indicates preparations for a large-scale missile attack on Ukraine.

The Tu-22M3s are flying close to the launch lines. There is a threat of Kh-22 missile launches.

One of them landed at Shaikovka air base in Kaluga Oblast.

They all landed at Shaikovka air base. There are now 11 Tu-22M3 bombers stationed there.

The Israeli Nahal brigade which is operating in Northern Gaza is taking a beating. There have been multiple incidents per day involving dead and wounded. I might do a count of the reported dead and wounded from that brigade. It does appear that Beit Hanoun is a major Hamas stronghold, and Israel is having a hard time clearing it.

Consequences of yesterday's Russian KAB strikes on Bilytske, Donetsk Oblast.

Chasiv Yar defences are falling apart.

Another Ukrainian source

Remember, Chasiv Yar is situated right at the top of the tactical heights. Future advances significantly favour Russia, that's why they are fighting so hard for it, and that's why Ukraine is defending it for as long as possible - they know the consequences of its loss.

However, I have a sneaking suspicion that Russia wont advance downhill to Kostyantynivka, Druzhkivka and Kramatorsk until Pokrovsk falls and an offensive north from there is carried out. Simultaneous pushes will allow for the envelopment of Kostyantynivka, and rear battles in Kramatorsk and Druzhkivka, making defensive operations in these cities very difficult.

Over the past two weeks, the pincers have continued to form around Pokrovsk. The eastern pincer, or flank, has seen a lot of progress, with a spearhead forming, cutting the Pokrovsk - Kostyantynivka highway. We will likely see efforts to expand the width of this spearhead in the coming days/weeks.

The western flank has also seen progress, with this one having wider advances. This is partially because of less Ukrainian fortifications here, compared to the eastern flank. Yesterday Russia was able to establish fire control over the Mezhova - Pokrovsk highway and are now just over 7km from the Pavlohrad - Pokrovsk highway, which is the primary Ukrainian supply line for this sector.

Meanwhile, Russia continues to push closer and closer to Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, which will undoubtably further over-extend the already limited Ukrainian manpower and resources in this area.

Based on reports from Israeli media, I can estimate that 12 IDF soldiers have been killed, and 46 others have been wounded in fighting over the past 4 days in Gaza, almost all of which were in the city of Beit Hanoun in Northern Gaza.

Keep in mind, the true number is likely higher.

This is a significant uptick in Israeli casualties.

Ballistic missile threat for central Israel

1 Ballistic missile was launched from Yemen.

It was reportedly intercepted over Jerusalem.