Hamas released a statement on the progress of the Gaza ceasefire and hostage deal negotiations that are currently taking place in Doha, Qatar.

"The leadership of the Islamic Resistance Movement Hamas held a series of contacts and consultations with the leaders of the Palestinian factions, informing them of the progress made in the negotiations taking place in Doha.

During these contacts, the leaders of the forces and factions expressed their satisfaction with the course of the negotiations, stressing the need for general national preparation for the next stage and its requirements.

The movement's leadership and various forces stressed the continuation of communication and consultation until the completion of the ceasefire agreement and prisoner exchange, which has reached its final stages, expressing their hope that this round of negotiations will end with a clear and comprehensive agreement."

As the ceasefire talks continue to progress in Doha, Qatar, Israel is continuing its aerial bombardment of Gaza.

Here is probably some of the clearest footage of an airstrike on Gaza to date. The target was a glass factory in the Al-Maghazi refugee camp in the central part of the strip.

Evacuation orders were issued in advance, but the IDF is yet to comment on the incident.

Ukrainian nationalist Serhii Sternenko stated the following on his Telegram channel:

"The [Ukrainian] Air Force is indeed facing a critical situation with transfers to the infantry, as a result of which we may lose the aviation component as such.

The same applies to narrow-profile air defense specialists, for example, radar operators, whose training takes a very long time.

According to my sources, the Air Force will have to withdraw dozens of combat aircraft as uncombatable, because there will simply be no one to maintain them.

Due to the forced transfer of air defense specialists, the detection of missiles and drones will deteriorate significantly.

These decisions of the high military command are due to a significant shortage of infantrymen in the LBZ (frontline). But almost half of our losses are a consequence of the crisis of army management, when none of the commanders is responsible for excessive losses, when brigades are broken up, when poorly trained soldiers from new brigades are thrown into battle. And the old brigades are unable to receive reinforcements and pour new recruits into an environment where the military already has combat experience."

Further confirmation of Ukraine converting whoever they can into infantry, which - by the way - many have denied in the past.

According to a Ukrainian source, Russian forces are attacking in three main directions in Western Donetsk Oblast.

Fierce battles are ongoing in the area of Upsenivka. Russian forces are attacking into the village and are reportedly gaining a foothold. However, for now, the fighting is occurring on the eastern outskirts.

Further south, Russian forces are pressing towards Nadiivka from the north through the fields.

And in Novoandriivka, Russia is trying to reach the settlement from the area of Yasenove.

In their own words: "There's so much shit going on here!"

A Turkish airstrike was carried out on Mount Jara in the Dohuk Governorate of northern Iraq. They were presumably targeting Kurdish PKK positions.

Unidentified missile in the direction of Odesa

It's a Kh-31P cruise missile launched from a Su-30SM

2 Kh-31Ps heading for Odesa/Chornomorsk

Explosions in Odesa Oblast

Air defence was active. It's possible that one was shot down

Israel has stepped up their airstrikes on Gaza over the past 24 hours, as a ceasefire and hostage deal gets closer. At least 6 airstrikes have been carried out over the past 6 hours, which is nearly as many as what is generally carried out in one day.

An unknown number of Tu-95MS bombers departed from Olenya air base in Murmansk Oblast.

5 of them.

Strategic comms were turned on earlier. This is probably a combat flight.

All 5 Tu-95MS aircraft are flying south towards the launch lines in the Engels area of Saratov Oblast.

— ❗️🇮🇱/🇵🇸 BREAKING: Full details (allegedly) of the upcoming ceasefire agreement in Gaza:

⚠️ PHASE 1 (42 DAYS):

1. Temporary Suspension of Hostilities:

– A temporary cessation of military operations by both sides.

– Israeli forces will withdraw from populated areas in Gaza to a zone along the border, including Wadi Gaza (Netzarim Axis and Kuwait Square).

2. Air Activity Restrictions:

– A temporary suspension of military and reconnaissance air operations in Gaza for 10 hours daily.

– Extended to 12 hours on days when hostages and prisoners are released.

3. Return of Displaced Persons and Military Withdrawals:

Day 7: Following the release of seven Palestinian prisoners, Israeli forces will withdraw entirely from Al-Rashid Street eastward to Salah Al-Din Street, dismantling all military positions. Displaced persons will return to their homes without weapons, and humanitarian aid will flow freely through Al-Rashid Street from the first day.

Day 22: Israeli forces will withdraw from central Gaza (Netzarim Axis and Kuwait Square) to areas closer to the border, dismantling military positions. Displaced persons will continue returning to their homes across Gaza, and freedom of movement for residents will persist.

4. Humanitarian Aid:

– From the first day, significant amounts of humanitarian aid, relief supplies, and fuel will enter Gaza (600 trucks daily, including 50 fuel trucks). This includes fuel for electricity generation, trade, rubble removal, and operating hospitals, clinics, and bakeries.

5. Hostage and Prisoner Exchange:

– Hamas will release 33 Israeli hostages (alive or deceased), including women, children under 19, elderly individuals over 50, and injured or sick civilians.

– For each Israeli released, Israel will release 30 Palestinian minors or women.

– For each Israeli female soldier released, Israel will release 50 Palestinian prisoners.

6. Release Schedule:

Day 1: Hamas releases three Israeli civilian hostages.

Day 7: Hamas releases four additional Israeli civilians.

– Every seven days, three more Israeli hostages will be released, prioritizing women.

– By the sixth week, Hamas will release all hostages included in this phase, and Israel will release a corresponding number of Palestinian prisoners.

– Hamas will provide information on the number of hostages to be released by Day 7.

7. Re-Arrested Prisoners and Exiled Individuals:

– By Week 6, Israel will release 47 Palestinians re-arrested after the 2011 exchange deal. If the number of live hostages does not reach 33, deceased hostages will be included in the count.

– Israel will release all Palestinian women and children under 19 detained since October 7, 2023.

8. Conditions:

– Compliance with the agreement, including halting military operations, Israeli troop withdrawals, and humanitarian aid, will determine the continuation of exchanges.

– Released Palestinian prisoners cannot be re-arrested for the same charges or forced to sign release conditions.

⚠️ PHASE 2 (42 DAYS):

9. Negotiations for Phase 2:

- Indirect negotiations will begin by Day 16 to define the terms of Phase 2, including the release of soldiers and other prisoners.

– Agreement must be finalized by Week 5.

10. Transition to Sustainable Calm:

– A permanent ceasefire will take effect before further prisoner exchanges, including the release of all Israeli soldiers and civilians in return for an agreed number of Palestinian prisoners.

– Israeli forces will fully withdraw from Gaza.

⚠️ PHASE 3 (42 DAYS):

11. Final Exchanges and Infrastructure Rebuilding:

– Both sides will exchange bodies of deceased individuals once identified.

– A comprehensive Gaza reconstruction plan will be implemented over 3-5 years, including rebuilding homes, infrastructure, and compensating affected individuals. Egypt, Qatar, and the UN will oversee this process.

12. Freedom of Movement and Trade:

– Border crossings will open to allow free movement of goods and people.

@Middle_East_Spectator

The Tu-95s are approaching the potential launch lines in Saratov oblast.

6 Tu-95s (not 5) flew past the launch lines in the Engels area of Saratov Oblast and are now flying towards their launch lines in the Caspian Sea.

It should be 30-40 mins until they reach the Caspian Sea.

Launch maneuvers were carried out by the Tu-95s.

If the launches weren’t simulated, the missiles will be in the airspace of Ukraine in the next 60-90 minutes