Geolocated footage shows that Russian forces have broken through Ukrainian positions in the Siversk direction and occupied two and a half new villages.

Firstly, Russian forces seized control over the remainder of Rozdolivka, however this likely occurred a couple of weeks ago when the reports of its capture were first coming in. The Sukha Plotva river is now in the way of future Russian advances, and they will need to cross it in order to reach the next villages in the way of the eventual goal of capturing Siversk.

The maximum advance of Russian forces was ~1.42km

However, the main advance occurred near the village of Ivano-Darivka. Before advancing on this settlement, the Russians first needed to clear the rest of Spirne. This was likely completed around 2 weeks ago. The Russians then consolidated control over their new positions in the ruins of Spirne, before launching simultaneous assaults from the south and the east, breaking through Ukrainian positions in the fields and reaching Ivano-Darivka. The Ukrainians were then knocked out of their positions in the eastern half of the village.

The maximum advance of Russian forces was ~3.42km.

This makes the reasoning behind the original offensive southeast of Vyimka obvious. The goal was to flank Ukrainian positions in Spirne.

Russian forces have advanced into Prohres on the Pokrovsk front.

Big if true. It would put Russia 12km from Novohrodivka and just 7km from Hrodivka. Prohres is likely a major Ukrainian stronghold on the tactical heights.
It's impossible to know the situation there with defensive positions due to the complete lack of footage from the area, however it may fall sooner than you'd expect.

Geolocated footage indicates that Russian forces have made significant progress in two large sections of the Pokrovsk direction. Let's go over it in detail.

Firstly, over the past couple of weeks, Russian infantry have made slow but steady progress in the direction Prohres. These assaults took place along the railway line where infantry likely used the windbreaks on either side of the tracks for cover from Ukrainian FPV drones and artillery. Due to this being a very new frontline area, the trees are largely intact and provide excellent cover for the advancing Russians. This tactic would be much harder to pull off in, for example, Krasnohorivka.

These assaults were also supported by mechanised attacks from the north by Russian AFVs. Russia has been implementing the usage of BMPs a lot recently due to their agility and speed. The BMP-3 which has been used most here, has a maximum speed of 70km/hr making it the perfect choice for small-scale but high-speed assaults. The firing rate isn't very good however, at only 10 rounds per minute, so when travelling at high speeds it is difficult for them to destroy adjacent Ukrainian positions in the tree lines. This indicates that the positions in the treelines to the north of the railway line were likely empty in the first place and in the contested grey zone.

This also meant that Ukraine was focusing a lot on using FPV drones and artillery here, which resulted in heavy Russian losses, but the trade-off (in my opinion) was well worth it for Russia as these supporting assaults along with the main vector of attack plus flanking assaults from Yevhenivka created perfect conditions for the Russians to push Ukrainian forces from the tactical heights and out of Prohres.

The town itself is now likely contested, but it is possible that Russian forces have established full control over it, considering that they were geolocated in the centre of the settlement.

A side goal for the Russians was also to capture the rest of Yevhenivka. Yevhenivka is split into two parts: an eastern section and a western section. After days of intense fighting, the Russians managed to seize the eastern section. They then had to cross over 300 metres of terrain before reaching the western sector. To combat this, the Russians deployed motorcycles to speed across the open area as fast as possible. However Ukrainian FPV drones attacked the motorcycles repelling at least one small-scale assault.

Eventually it became obvious that Russian forces managed to cross the open area. It is unknown what they used to do this. It's possible that they implemented night attacks as not all Ukrainian drones have the new cheaper night-vision technology. All we know is that eventually, the Russian established a foothold in the eastern part of Yevhenivka and began conducting attacks on the northern flank threatening to encircle the remaining Ukrainian formations still in the village. Eventually, the AFU was forced to withdraw and the Russians seized full control over the settlement.

There was also a second but much smaller Russian advance in and around Novoselivka Persha. Leveraging their control over the northern agricultural buildings, they managed to make a quick advance into the centre of the village and successfully occupied almost everything north of the river.

They were also able to advance southwest of Novoselivka Persha, capturing positions in a treeline, further flattening out the front line.

I am getting very sick of Zelensky's forced mobilisation for a lost cause.

Approximate paths of today's Russian Shahed drones. Based on preliminary reports, Russia launched 16 Shahed drones at Ukraine over the past 24 hours. The following information is based on reports by Ukrainian monitor and radar telegram channels, as well as Local telegram channels.

Russian drones entered Kyiv, Chernihiv, Sumy, Poltava and Kharkiv Oblasts. Of the 16 launched, as many as 6 may have hit their targets, however the Ukrainian general staff claims that only 3 were successful.

Konotop (Sumy Oblast) and especially Myrhorod (Poltava Oblast) were rocked by Russian Shaheds. These are likely the places that the drones struck the most.

I haven't seen Myrhorod get hit this hard by shaheds in a decent amount of time. I wonder if the airfield was targeted at all.

What village did they lose this time...

The fact that we are still yet to see a Russian flag raise over Krynky indicates that Ukraine likely maintains their drone superiority over the area.

The Ocheretyne breakthrough will go down in history as one of the worse Ukrainian military failures ever. It has allowed for a massive expansion of Russian control and the flower will continue to "bloom".

I think it will happen in 4 directions. One along the railway line which runs along the tactical heights, 1 in the direction of Pokrovsk, 1 to cut to the Pokrovsk-Kostyantynivka highway and 1 to get behind Toretsk.

The vector of attack from Toretsk will likely be supported by another flanking assault vector from Klishchiivka while the vector of attack along the railway line will likely be supported by an assault from Netailove.

This whole entire Donetsk front is about to shift and the last remaining Ukrainian strongholds in the Donbas are going to become frontline cities...

IDF: Air raid sirens are sounding in Eliat, Israel.

Southern Israel.

This comes as the Oil Refinery and Port within the City of Al-Hudaydah in Western Yemen were attacked by an Israeli F-35 in response to the drone attack on Tel Aviv.

This air raid alert could mean three things:
1. False alarm (most likely)
2. Rockets from Gaza
3. Another strike from Yemen

Shit, it was a Houthi attack. "IDF repels Houthi ballistic missile attack aimed at civilians in southern Israel using the Israeli “Arrow 3” air defense system"

IDF: The IDF intercepted a surface-to-surface missile that approached Israel from the Red Sea

A short while ago, the IDF Aerial Defense Array successfully intercepted a surface-to-surface missile that approached Israeli territory from Yemen using the "Arrow 3" Aerial Defense System.

The projectile did not cross into Israeli territory. Rocket and missile sirens were sounded following the possibility of falling shrapnel. The incident has concluded.

There are reports of Iskander launched from Crimea. Waiting on confirmation.