photo1673459133.jpeg
62.5 KB
As everyone is anxiously waiting for the Fed easing the monetary policy, this chart wonderfully establishes that rate cuts have not been historically a good sign for markets. Economy does not follow the Fed; rather Fed follows the economy.
Media is too big
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
Lebanese protesters, furious at not having access to their own savings, set fire to banks in Beirut. The country's financial crisis has slashed the value of the Lebanese pound by more than 98% since 2019
👍2
While the Fed is focused on the lagged and smoothed labor reports that indicate a tight labor market, actual companies are announcing mass layoffs and as early as Q4 2022 have indicated no labor shortage
Goldman Sachs analysts of Q4 earnings calls: “References to labor shortages in Russell 3000 earnings calls fell to the lowest level of the pandemic recovery, at 4.9% of Q4 earnings calls compared to 16.5% for 3Q21.
Our more detailed review of Dow Jones and large-cap consumer company trannoscripts was even more encouraging: Two thirds of references pointed to increased labor availability, and no companies cited labor shortages worsening.”
Goldman Sachs analysts of Q4 earnings calls: “References to labor shortages in Russell 3000 earnings calls fell to the lowest level of the pandemic recovery, at 4.9% of Q4 earnings calls compared to 16.5% for 3Q21.
Our more detailed review of Dow Jones and large-cap consumer company trannoscripts was even more encouraging: Two thirds of references pointed to increased labor availability, and no companies cited labor shortages worsening.”
🔥2