📖 🇵🇸 🇮🇱 Gaza | May summary:
- Gaza war unit tracking
- Throughout the month of May, an average of 6.9 IDF brigades operated in Gaza.
- These were used in the invasion of Rafah and in raids in Northern Gaza.
- A total of 3.10% of Gaza that had not before been entered was newly cleared.
2️⃣ Timelapse of IDF advances in Rafah every 5 days, since the start of the invasion.
- After 25 days, the speed of the Rafah invasion has synced up with my model.
- My model's prediction is the black line in the graph below, and the actual speed is the red dot. As you can see, the red dot is on the black line, which means the two are now the same.
- Based on the model, capturing Rafah City will take at least another 30 days.
📊 The original plan for Rafah was 2 divisions with several brigades, which was then downsized dramatically for political reasons. Since then the IDF has very gradually been increasing their forces again.
- The invasion started with 2 brigades and is now at 6 brigades. The original plan of 10 brigades has not been reached and is likely discarded.
- Given the low amount of forces, advances remain slow and undramatic.
📊 Hamas Battalions in Rafah compared to IDF control:
🔶️ So far the IDF has primarily fought against the Yabna Battalion. In my assessment, the IDF has destroyed enough of its companies to consider it "degraded". Halfway to "dismantled".
📎 Gaza war unit tracking
- Gaza war unit tracking
- Throughout the month of May, an average of 6.9 IDF brigades operated in Gaza.
- These were used in the invasion of Rafah and in raids in Northern Gaza.
- A total of 3.10% of Gaza that had not before been entered was newly cleared.
2️⃣ Timelapse of IDF advances in Rafah every 5 days, since the start of the invasion.
- After 25 days, the speed of the Rafah invasion has synced up with my model.
- My model's prediction is the black line in the graph below, and the actual speed is the red dot. As you can see, the red dot is on the black line, which means the two are now the same.
- Based on the model, capturing Rafah City will take at least another 30 days.
- The invasion started with 2 brigades and is now at 6 brigades. The original plan of 10 brigades has not been reached and is likely discarded.
- Given the low amount of forces, advances remain slow and undramatic.
🔶️ So far the IDF has primarily fought against the Yabna Battalion. In my assessment, the IDF has destroyed enough of its companies to consider it "degraded". Halfway to "dismantled".
📎 Gaza war unit tracking
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Forwarded from Tupi Report 🇧🇷 • #FreeVenezuela
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Forwarded from Middle East Spectator — MES
— 🇮🇱/ 🇱🇧 NEW: Hezbollah attacked the Headquarters of the IDF's 769th Brigade in Kiryat Shmona, completely destroying one of its wings with heavy Burkan missiles
@Middle_East_Spectator
@Middle_East_Spectator
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Forwarded from The Simurgh (ربيـــع)
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Forwarded from Privacy & Security Goys
Windows users on suicide watch: turns out, extracting everything that Microsoft is scanning is trivial:
https://scribe.rip/https:/doublepulsar.com/recall-stealing-everything-youve-ever-typed-or-viewed-on-your-own-windows-pc-is-now-possible-da3e12e9465e
Every few seconds, screenshots are taken. These are automatically OCR’d by Azure AI, running on your device, and written into an SQLite database in the user’s folder.
This database file has a record of everything you’ve ever viewed on your PC in plain text. OCR is a process of looking at an image and extracting the letters.
While this keylogging "feature" can allegedly be opted out of, it is on by default. Your clueless parents, employer, etc will have all sorts of sensitive information tied up with a little bow for the next piece of malware they get exposed to.
One cannot believe this is a simple oversight on Microsoft's end. Glowniggers of all types need more consoomer data, after all.
https://scribe.rip/https:/doublepulsar.com/recall-stealing-everything-youve-ever-typed-or-viewed-on-your-own-windows-pc-is-now-possible-da3e12e9465e
Every few seconds, screenshots are taken. These are automatically OCR’d by Azure AI, running on your device, and written into an SQLite database in the user’s folder.
This database file has a record of everything you’ve ever viewed on your PC in plain text. OCR is a process of looking at an image and extracting the letters.
While this keylogging "feature" can allegedly be opted out of, it is on by default. Your clueless parents, employer, etc will have all sorts of sensitive information tied up with a little bow for the next piece of malware they get exposed to.
One cannot believe this is a simple oversight on Microsoft's end. Glowniggers of all types need more consoomer data, after all.
🇺🇸 ❌️ 🏳️🌈 The LGBT movement is losing—badly. | America 2100
🗳 Let's look at some of the polls.
🔶️ Just a few years ago, it seemed like the LGBT revolution had won, once and for all. By 2020, even a majority of Republicans supported gay marriage.
🔶️ But the Left overplayed their hand. What began as a backlash to gender ideology and the indoctrination of kids is now turning Americans against the entire LGBT project, including gay marriage—something that would have been unthinkable just five years ago.
🔶️ Rather than continuing to climb, American support for gay marriage has dropped 7 points in just one year (from 2022 to 2023).
🔶️ Republican support for gay marriage dropped 15 points over the same period. In 2022, 56% of Republicans supported gay marriage. By 2023, that number had fallen to 41%—the lowest it's been in a decade.
🔶️ Even amongst Democrats, support for gay marriage dropped 6 points from 2022 to 2023. (Source: Gallup)
🔶️ Among young people, too—the most liberal and LGBT-friendly demographic—support for gay marriage is going down, not up. From 2018 to 2024, support for gay marriage among 18-29 year olds dropped by 8 points.
🔶️ That decline appears to be overwhelmingly driven by Generation Z. From 2021 to 2023, Gen Z's support for gay marriage dropped by a full 11 points. (Source: PRRI)
🔶️ This wasn't supposed to happen. "History" was only supposed to move in one direction—and gay marriage was supposed to be a "settled issue."
🗳 Let's look at some of the polls.
🔶️ Just a few years ago, it seemed like the LGBT revolution had won, once and for all. By 2020, even a majority of Republicans supported gay marriage.
🔶️ But the Left overplayed their hand. What began as a backlash to gender ideology and the indoctrination of kids is now turning Americans against the entire LGBT project, including gay marriage—something that would have been unthinkable just five years ago.
🔶️ Rather than continuing to climb, American support for gay marriage has dropped 7 points in just one year (from 2022 to 2023).
🔶️ Republican support for gay marriage dropped 15 points over the same period. In 2022, 56% of Republicans supported gay marriage. By 2023, that number had fallen to 41%—the lowest it's been in a decade.
🔶️ Even amongst Democrats, support for gay marriage dropped 6 points from 2022 to 2023. (Source: Gallup)
🔶️ Among young people, too—the most liberal and LGBT-friendly demographic—support for gay marriage is going down, not up. From 2018 to 2024, support for gay marriage among 18-29 year olds dropped by 8 points.
🔶️ That decline appears to be overwhelmingly driven by Generation Z. From 2021 to 2023, Gen Z's support for gay marriage dropped by a full 11 points. (Source: PRRI)
🔶️ This wasn't supposed to happen. "History" was only supposed to move in one direction—and gay marriage was supposed to be a "settled issue."
FxTwitter / FixupX
America 2100 (@America_2100)
🏳️🌈"Pride Month" begins tomorrow. But here's what they won't tell you: The LGBT movement is losing—badly.
Let's look at some of the polls.
Just a few years ago, it seemed like the LGBT revolution had won, once and for all. By 2020, even a majority of Republicans…
Let's look at some of the polls.
Just a few years ago, it seemed like the LGBT revolution had won, once and for all. By 2020, even a majority of Republicans…
📢 🇺🇸 🏳️🌈 U.S. Department of Defense on X:
Pride Month is a time to come together to honor the contributions of LGBTQ+ service members. We are committed to ensuring and promoting an atmosphere of dignity and respect for all civilian and military personnel.📎 Department of Defense
Forwarded from Austrian Art Academy
The Sacred Heart of Jesus
Pyrography on saved wood
13"x13”
Across the western world, the month of June is subjected to the disgrace of public indecency, celebrations of illness and the glorification of impurity.
Nothing blinds one to the truth so much as pride. The self-centered love that takes and uses, all the while leading to one’s ruin. Pride is the virtue of the fallen world and its sacraments are sodomy and infanticide, both rejections of life itself.
Modernity seeks to replace all tradition, piety and purity with it’s profane inverse.
This June, as Catholics celebrate the month of The Sacred Heart of Jesus we remember that true Love is selfless. True Love is sacrifice.
Love and practice your faith and traditions.
Turn away from the horrors meant to demoralize and humiliate you. As vile and deranged as those who hate you so too must you become strong and pure. As they are radical you must be devoted.
Reject degeneracy. Reclaim tradition.
Cor Jesu Sacratissimum Miserere Nobis
Pyrography on saved wood
13"x13”
Across the western world, the month of June is subjected to the disgrace of public indecency, celebrations of illness and the glorification of impurity.
Nothing blinds one to the truth so much as pride. The self-centered love that takes and uses, all the while leading to one’s ruin. Pride is the virtue of the fallen world and its sacraments are sodomy and infanticide, both rejections of life itself.
Modernity seeks to replace all tradition, piety and purity with it’s profane inverse.
This June, as Catholics celebrate the month of The Sacred Heart of Jesus we remember that true Love is selfless. True Love is sacrifice.
Love and practice your faith and traditions.
Turn away from the horrors meant to demoralize and humiliate you. As vile and deranged as those who hate you so too must you become strong and pure. As they are radical you must be devoted.
Reject degeneracy. Reclaim tradition.
Cor Jesu Sacratissimum Miserere Nobis
Forwarded from Geopolitics Prime
🚢 Houthis’ Red Sea blockade makes Russia’s Northern Sea Route attractive to desperate West
With the US and Britain proving unable to dislodge the Houthis from their strongholds or stop the militia from attacking Israeli-linked, American and British vessels in the Red and Arabian Seas, commercial shippers have increasingly eyed Russia’s Northern Sea Route as an attractive potential alternative, a leading mainstream US news magazine has reported.
The article ‘discovered’ what Russian officials and media have been saying for years – that the 5,600 km Northern Sea Route is the shortest maritime route between Europe and Asia, and can shave 8,000 km or more of distance, and 40-60 percent in time, off shipments, compared to traditional Europe-Asia routes through the presently troubled waters in the Middle East.
Unfortunately for the West, there’s a catch: 70 percent of the Arctic, including virtually the entire length of the Arctic portion of the route, passes through Russian waters. “Ships wanting to use the route must secure the Russians’ permission and pay them transit fees. Given current relations between many Western countries and Russia amid the Ukraine war, that poses an obvious challenge,” the magazine lamented.
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With the US and Britain proving unable to dislodge the Houthis from their strongholds or stop the militia from attacking Israeli-linked, American and British vessels in the Red and Arabian Seas, commercial shippers have increasingly eyed Russia’s Northern Sea Route as an attractive potential alternative, a leading mainstream US news magazine has reported.
“The surging costs and fear of getting hit by Houthi drones and missiles have led some shippers to consider the Arctic as an alternative, as melting ice begins opening new potential on the so-called Northern Sea Route,” Foreign Policy wrote.
The article ‘discovered’ what Russian officials and media have been saying for years – that the 5,600 km Northern Sea Route is the shortest maritime route between Europe and Asia, and can shave 8,000 km or more of distance, and 40-60 percent in time, off shipments, compared to traditional Europe-Asia routes through the presently troubled waters in the Middle East.
“The ability to slash some 5,000 miles off a ship’s journey would mean much faster travel times – a major plus in today’s world of online retail and next-day delivery,” FP said.
Unfortunately for the West, there’s a catch: 70 percent of the Arctic, including virtually the entire length of the Arctic portion of the route, passes through Russian waters. “Ships wanting to use the route must secure the Russians’ permission and pay them transit fees. Given current relations between many Western countries and Russia amid the Ukraine war, that poses an obvious challenge,” the magazine lamented.
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📖 ☦️ 🇷🇺 June 1 - the tragic date of the extradition of the Cossacks in Lienz
In February 1945, when the outcome of the War was already extremely clear, at a conference of the anti-Hitler coalition, among others, an agreement was reached on the transfer of all displaced persons by the British government to the USSR.
Let us recall that after the surrender of the Reich, the Cossacks of the Cossack Stan and the 15 SS Cossack Cavalry Corps were assured by the allies (in particular the British) and the officers gave their word that the Cossacks would not be handed over to the Bolsheviks for execution. But through a chain of treacherous betrayals, these agreements were violated. First, all the officers and main leaders of the Cossacks were extradited. Then it was the turn of ordinary Cossacks and their families, who were handed over to the Soviet Union at gunpoint and by force. All of them shared the terrible fate of executions and Gulags, of which few survived.
📎 Союз потомков Галлиполийцев
In February 1945, when the outcome of the War was already extremely clear, at a conference of the anti-Hitler coalition, among others, an agreement was reached on the transfer of all displaced persons by the British government to the USSR.
Let us recall that after the surrender of the Reich, the Cossacks of the Cossack Stan and the 15 SS Cossack Cavalry Corps were assured by the allies (in particular the British) and the officers gave their word that the Cossacks would not be handed over to the Bolsheviks for execution. But through a chain of treacherous betrayals, these agreements were violated. First, all the officers and main leaders of the Cossacks were extradited. Then it was the turn of ordinary Cossacks and their families, who were handed over to the Soviet Union at gunpoint and by force. All of them shared the terrible fate of executions and Gulags, of which few survived.
📎 Союз потомков Галлиполийцев
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Forwarded from South Africa Reports
For the first time since universal suffrage in South Africa started in 1994, the African National Congress has lost their majority in parliament.
The ANC suffered a 17% loss in support since the last national election, mostly attributed to the rise of former president Jacob Zuma's MK party and voter disillusionment.
In order for the South African parliament to elect the next president it will be necessary to form a coalition government.
ANC Chairman Gwede Mantashe has said the party won’t comment on coalition talks until the final results are declared.
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🗳 🇲🇽 Mexico poised to elect its first female president on Sunday, a socialist of Jewish ancestry.
📎 AF Post
📎 AF Post
🇵🇸 🇮🇱 🇺🇸 Netanyahu seems to contradict Biden ceasefire offer: 'Non-starter' if all conditions not met
🔶️ Israel says position hasn't changed and it will not agree to a permanent ceasefire before all its conditions met
🔶️ Netanyahu's office said that Israel’s conditions for ending the war – the destruction of Hamas's military and governing capabilities, the freeing of all hostages and ensuring that Gaza no longer poses a threat to Israel – had not changed.
https://www.foxnews.com/world/netanyahu-seems-contradict-biden-ceasefire-offer-non-starter-all-conditions-met
🔶️ Israel says position hasn't changed and it will not agree to a permanent ceasefire before all its conditions met
🔶️ Netanyahu's office said that Israel’s conditions for ending the war – the destruction of Hamas's military and governing capabilities, the freeing of all hostages and ensuring that Gaza no longer poses a threat to Israel – had not changed.
https://www.foxnews.com/world/netanyahu-seems-contradict-biden-ceasefire-offer-non-starter-all-conditions-met
Fox News
Netanyahu seems to contradict Biden cease-fire offer: 'Non-starter' if all conditions not met
Israel and Hamas respond to President Biden’s three-phase plan for a permanent cease-fire in Gaza, a return of all the hostages to Israel and rebuilding the war-torn territory.
Forwarded from Middle East Spectator — MES
— 🇮🇱 BREAKING: Smotrich and Ben Gvir announce they will resign from the war cabinet and topple the government if Israel accepts the U.S. brokered ceasefire deal
@Middle_East_Spectator
@Middle_East_Spectator