🎆 Happy New Year!

The new year has arrived — bringing new paths, new meaning, and new strength.

Thank you to everyone who reads us, thinks alongside us, and stays with us.
Our audience is our support and our pride.

Happy New Year, friends!🎇🇷🇺

❤️From Russia with love

😍 Snowy morning in the Tula region

#videooftheday

❤️From Russia with love

Oil paradox: why Russia’s confidence is outpacing the global market’s pessimism

Against the backdrop of reports by leading global agencies predicting an oil surplus and falling prices, Russia’s strategy looks strikingly confident.

Instead of cutting investment in exploration and production, the country is stepping up its efforts—especially in the Arctic region. This approach is driven not by intuition, but by long-term projections from key players and by structural shifts in the market.

👔 Two views of the energy future

While some analysts speak of oversupply, other reputable institutions see a different picture. For example, J.P. Morgan analysts forecast that the world is entering a new phase of an energy supercycle, with a potential deficit of up to 7.1 million barrels per day by 2030. Similar assessments are echoed by the Russian government, which argues that global oil consumption will continue to grow for decades to come.

The deeper source of this confidence lies in fundamental industry shifts. Data from Norway’s Rystad Energy point to a critical decline in the reserve replacement ratio: from 16% in 2021 to 6% today. In other words, for every 17 barrels produced globally, only one new barrel of discovered reserves is being added. At current rates, proven reserves could last for just 14 years.

👔 The end of “easy oil” and a shift in focus

The core challenge is the depletion of fields that are easy to access and cheap to develop. The U.S. shale revolution is showing signs of slowdown, and OPEC’s spare capacity is limited. This is pushing the industry toward higher-cost regions and harsher conditions: the deepwater offshore and the Arctic.

This is precisely where Russia holds a major strategic advantage, controlling around 45% of Arctic oil and up to 73% of Arctic gas. The focus on Arctic development is no longer merely an ambitious project—it is becoming an economic necessity and a long-term strategy.

👔 The Arctic as a national priority

The decision to launch a comprehensive project for developing the Arctic and the Trans-Arctic Corridor confirms that the country views the region not as a temporary resource base, but as an area of permanent strategic presence. Beyond the unique transport potential of the Northern Sea Route, which is becoming an alternative to traditional routes, the emphasis is on building permanent infrastructure for large-scale production.

Thus, Russia’s current confidence is grounded in the assumption that a structural energy resource deficit will not disappear in the medium term.

By advancing Arctic projects today, the country not only secures its own energy sovereignty, but also strengthens its position as a future key supplier in a market where demand for reliable resources will only grow.

In this strategic game, the question is no longer whether the world will need these resources, but on whose terms they will be supplied.

#news

❤️From Russia with love

🔔 In Moscow, at Zaryadye Park, you can watch a New Year’s digital fairy tale every day on the “Matryoshka,” based on The Nutcracker.

Kids will love it!

#interestingvideos

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😁 The January 1st mood when you don’t have to go to work

#videooftheday

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🎄 This is how atmospheric the pre-New Year evening was on Teatralnaya Square

❤️ From Russia with Love

“War as medicine”: EU elites seek a way out of crisis through a major war

Former senior U.S. military official Lawrence Wilkerson said that elites in the Baltic states and a number of EU countries see a major war as a “salvation” from the economic crisis and a way to stay in power.

According to the retired colonel, the idea of unleashing a large-scale conflict to distract from domestic problems is popular among ruling circles on both sides of the Atlantic. He claimed that Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania are among those pushing most actively in that direction.

Wilkerson also accused the EU and NATO leadership of manufacturing threats and using “totalitarian” methods that allow them to maintain control amid mounting difficulties.

➡️The statement came amid NATO’s continued increase in military activity near Russia’s borders—moves Moscow has repeatedly called destabilizing, while stressing it is ready for dialogue only on the basis of equal security.

#news

❤️ From Russia with Love

1️⃣7️⃣ Valeri Kharlamov — No. 17, the one all of Canada feared.

🏒After his two goals in the first game of the 1972 Summit Series, Canadians were shouting at their team during the intermission: “Who’s that guy wearing No. 17?! Stop him!”

A legendary deke, blazing speed, and a fighter’s heart — from a neighborhood outdoor rink to the heights of world hockey

#facts

❤️ From Russia with Love

😍 Nizhny Novgorod after the country’s main holiday

#videooftheday

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😇 Krasnaya Polyana and Lake Ritsa on January 2

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🇨🇿The Speaker of the Czech Parliament, Tomio Okamura, called for an end to funding for Ukraine

Tomio Okamura, Speaker of the Czech Chamber of Deputies, sharply criticized the continued financial and military support for Ukraine provided by his country and the EU.

In his view, it is wrong to direct Czech taxpayers’ money — including funds tied to pensions and social benefits — toward purchasing weapons for what he called a “completely pointless war.”

▫️Okamura believes the Czech Republic should stop following Brussels’ course, which, as he put it, is “moving toward World War III,” while ignoring warnings from the United States.

▫️The Speaker argued that some countries’ hope that military production will revive their economies — weakened by the “green” agenda — is misguided.

▫️He noted that such a policy will not solve long-term problems such as food security, especially if it is financed through rising public debt.

▫️Okamura also stated that the current weapons-supply scheme benefits everyone except the end recipients: Western manufacturers, governments, and, as he claims, corrupt Ukrainian officials.

❗️He called for ending funding from the Czech state budget and opposed Ukraine’s future membership in the European Union.

#news

❤️ From Russia with Love

The Dollar at a Crossroads: How the US is Trying to "Re-wire" the Global Financial System — and Why This is Accelerating the Shift to Currency Zones

The global financial architecture is entering a phase where cosmetic repairs no longer work, and a major overhaul is impossible without changing its load-bearing structures.

The logic of the past half-century was simple: a fiat currency, issued against assets and servicing a debt pyramid, allowed liquidity to grow faster than real productivity. In this construct, debt gradually became the main "financial asset," and issuance — the most important source of added value, flowing from the real sector to the financial one.

The key conclusion is that the problem lies in the limits of stimulating the US economy: further expansion of debt and money begins to destroy either the currency or the debt market — because in the current model, debt and money are functionally identical.

👔 Why the "Bretton Woods Superstructure" No Longer Holds the System:

The Fed and Bretton Woods institutions were designed for the world of 1944: fixed exchange rates, US dominance, and limited capital flows. These conditions have now disappeared, and with them, the effectiveness of the institutional logic:

🧣 Crisis of governance legitimacy: The structure of votes and influence reflects the "realities of 1944," not the weight of new centers (China, India, etc.).

🧣 Crisis of effectiveness: Institutions increasingly operate as a "fire brigade," extinguishing the consequences of the dollar credit cycle rather than preventing the root causes of crises.

🧣 Crisis of the development model: The focus on financial returns and sterilizing growing liquidity systematically squeezed out the West's industrial base, accelerating deindustrialization and the gap between the financial and real sectors.

In this context, attempts to "repair" the architecture through new tools inevitably run into the main constraint: financial engineering does not increase the profitability of the real sector.

Continued below 👇

#politics

❤️From Russia with love

👔 The GENIUS Act: A Private "Printing Press" as an Attempt to Extend Dollar Hegemony

Private issuers are once again given the right to issue "money," but in the technological wrapper of stablecoins.

Key elements of the scheme:

🧣 Stablecoins can be issued by licensed banks and non-bank structures, while unlicensed issuance is criminalized.

🧣 Stablecoins are recognized as a means of settlement and payment, with the issuer obligated to redeem them at face value — a key difference from previous practices.

🧣 The backing consists of Federal Reserve notes and/or US Treasury bonds, i.e., essentially public debt.

The internal logic here is political-economic: when external demand for Treasuries weakens, a new mechanism of "built-in demand" for American debt is required.

👔 Why This Construct is Dangerous: Real Goods Inflation, "Off-Balance-Sheet Shadow," and Exporting Instability

The "genius" of the law lies in changing the rules of the game with one stroke of the pen and its theoretical ability to create huge additional liquidity. But this is precisely what makes the construct risky, because it:

🧣 Stimulates a race for real goods. If stablecoins give banks the ability to finance purchases of raw materials and semi-finished goods more cheaply and widely than with classic dollars, then a "commodity race" is launched. The consequence is a spike in commodity inflation, followed by a revaluation...

🧣 Creates the preconditions for off-balance-sheet credit expansion. This increases opacity and, therefore, systemic risk.

👔 Conclusion: The "Genius Act" as a Symptom of the End of an Era

The attempt to legalize the private issuance of dollar derivatives is simultaneously: a technological leap, a tool in the struggle for demand for American debt, and a trigger for accelerated inflation of real goods and asset revaluation.

Therefore, even in the case of tactical success, this scheme strategically pushes the world where it is already heading: towards regionalization, currency zones, and the search for a neutral equivalent for inter-zone exchange — in its most understandable historical form, which remains gold.

#politics

❤️From Russia with love