ADA

Testing the main support level for the 5th time.

29k-31k is resistance zone until proven otherwise. Whales are distributing here, unloading tons of supply. Retail keeps buying into resistance.

First bearish confirmation below 28k. Second bearish confirmation below 25k.

AAVE update

Same same. Range compressing forming lower highs.

Once again, TUSD and other stablecoins are being printed out of thin air in order to pump the market and make you think it's bullish, and to make buy into resistance. I hope you are not getting trapped here.

Rejection incoming soon imo.

First of all, congratulations to all those who have been respectful and are profiting during this move. Recognition to those who have earned it.

Secondly, for those who followed some of my altcoin analyses (even though they are not financial advice) that went wrong, apologies for any inconvenience I may have caused. I'm out of my shorts that were in a loss (AAVE, SOL, CRO and TRX). Keeping the ones in profit (BNB, MATIC and WAVES) open until more information is available.

Thirdly, I always try my best in order to offer the best possible analysis, not asking anything in return. Sometimes we get it right, sometimes we don't. Once we make the analysis the result is out of our control. Best we can do is to learn and try better next time.

This breakout is not good for the main bearish scenario. I didn't expect the 31k resistance level to break that easily. After checking the market with a cool mind, price never broke 25k which was the main confirmation. Now we are in a situation where price has to get back below 30k in order to confirm a deviation above that resistance, which would mean this has been a fakeout caused by ETF euphoria + USDT and TUSD mints. However, until this happens, it's no man's land. It could actually go higher, but also it could deviate back below, restest the broken resistance as support...

So for now, taking a loss in some short positions and keeping the profitable ones. Then wait and see. The bearish scenario is not fully invalidated but it's less probable until price gets back below 30k. That would put the bearish scenario back in play.

Thank you for the support and stay safe.

BTC

Keeping it simple.

Clean breakout of the 29k-31k resistance zone. After that breakout, it's being rejected from the next resistance level (35k). If it dumps from here, the next reaction is going to be key.

Two options:

-It retests the broken level as support and keeps going higher.

-It goes back below it, confirming a fakeout/deviation.

DXY keeps looking bullish and the SPX bearish. Most altcoins, despite having bounced, haven't broken any key resistances yet or changed the trend from bearish to bullish.

Not taking any new positions here. Just watching.

I will update the BNB, MATIC and WAVES charts later.

MATIC

Zooming out, we can see also a very clear range. It's below mid range and forming a lower high of a bearish trend, against a resistance zone. Clean invalidation reclaiming the $0.70-0.75 zone and using it as support.

First target remains the range low at $0.29-0.30

WAVES

Compared to the previous analysis (check the post I'm replying to), it's ranging between the same levels, so it's literally the same.

Bearish acceleration below $1.25 and minimum target below 2016's low.

Social networks are causing our focus of attention to shrink more and more each day. Also, some people like to take everything out of context to gain attention and easy engagement. That’s why it's important to always check the original source and not just stay with the headlines, but to understand the entire context.

I'm not capitulating, just reducing the risk by closing some short positions until the bearish scenario becomes likely again. If the PA above the key level gives bullish signs, I will reevaluate. The overall positioning is still bearish as explained yesterday.

BNB

In addition to those charts, we can see how the bounce from the low is clearly a dead cat bounce:

-Decreasing OI with increasing price
-Funding mostly positive
-Buying walls pulled when the move is over
-Corrective structure

This move is similar to all the previous bounces that formed lower highs and then made a new low. The bearish trend is strong and should continue soon.