2023 vs 2024
MINIMUM SPEED AT TURN 18 (DOWNFORCE) AND TOP SPEED (DRAG)
🟢Mercedes got worse in T18 (-1km/h): less loaded wings➡️Tremendous top speed gain (+6km/h, worst to best)!
🔵RBR and 🟠McL gained downforce keeping drag the same, but McL's improvement was 5 times RBR's!
🔴Ferrari improved both downforce (+3km/h in T18) and drag (+1km) over SAI's '23 pole despite not setting a Q3 lap in '24.
Made via @JMP_software
MINIMUM SPEED AT TURN 18 (DOWNFORCE) AND TOP SPEED (DRAG)
🟢Mercedes got worse in T18 (-1km/h): less loaded wings➡️Tremendous top speed gain (+6km/h, worst to best)!
🔵RBR and 🟠McL gained downforce keeping drag the same, but McL's improvement was 5 times RBR's!
🔴Ferrari improved both downforce (+3km/h in T18) and drag (+1km) over SAI's '23 pole despite not setting a Q3 lap in '24.
Made via @JMP_software
👍1
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QUALI PERFORMANCE EVOLUTION 👀
🔵RBR's performance has changed drastically since Monaco: from 'almost guaranteed' poles to struggling for 2nd row
🟠McL was 5th fastest in the opening quali, and has steadily and quickly improved since.
🔴Has Ferrari's Canada-to-Zandvoort slump ended?
🟢Mercedes has been very inconsistent.
Aston has gotten progressively worse until Austria, but their single-lap pace has recently improved.
When will Red Bull's struggles end?
Will Aston fight for wins again next year?
And will Ferrari win again this season? 🤔
🔵RBR's performance has changed drastically since Monaco: from 'almost guaranteed' poles to struggling for 2nd row
🟠McL was 5th fastest in the opening quali, and has steadily and quickly improved since.
🔴Has Ferrari's Canada-to-Zandvoort slump ended?
🟢Mercedes has been very inconsistent.
Aston has gotten progressively worse until Austria, but their single-lap pace has recently improved.
When will Red Bull's struggles end?
Will Aston fight for wins again next year?
And will Ferrari win again this season? 🤔
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Will F1 ever match 2008's 'Aero-craziness'?
Most cars had a 'Bridge wing': an additional plane joining the endplates ABOVE the nose.
It produced additional downforce, albeit less efficiently than a wing closer to the road (no ground effect).
Tons of dirty air yet cool to watch!
As the rules raised the front wing from the ground starting from 2005, the downforce it produced was hampered.
Bridge wings are one of the ingenious ways engineers used to claw back the lost downforce.
Most cars had a 'Bridge wing': an additional plane joining the endplates ABOVE the nose.
It produced additional downforce, albeit less efficiently than a wing closer to the road (no ground effect).
Tons of dirty air yet cool to watch!
As the rules raised the front wing from the ground starting from 2005, the downforce it produced was hampered.
Bridge wings are one of the ingenious ways engineers used to claw back the lost downforce.
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Verstappen is still the favourite for the championship - but Norris has more than 1/3 chance to win his first F1 championship! 💡
Probability (Oddschecker)
🥇🔵VER 57.8%
🥈🟠NOR 37.8%
🥉🔴LEC 2.7%
WCC:
🥇🟠McL 88.6%
🥈🔵RBR 7.9%
🥉🔴Ferrari 3.3%
What's your prediction?🤔
Probability (Oddschecker)
🥇🔵VER 57.8%
🥈🟠NOR 37.8%
🥉🔴LEC 2.7%
WCC:
🥇🟠McL 88.6%
🥈🔵RBR 7.9%
🥉🔴Ferrari 3.3%
What's your prediction?🤔
🔥6👍4❤1
US GP PREVIEW
Very representative track (One long straight, many fast corners, 2 slow hairpins, 2 strong braking zones): any weakness will be exposed!
Quick in Austin = Quick everywhere
C2-C3-C4 compounds
Balanced Front/Rear wear
Aero efficiency (Downforce⬆️, Drag⬇️) is key.
📸: @pirellisport
Very representative track (One long straight, many fast corners, 2 slow hairpins, 2 strong braking zones): any weakness will be exposed!
Quick in Austin = Quick everywhere
C2-C3-C4 compounds
Balanced Front/Rear wear
Aero efficiency (Downforce⬆️, Drag⬇️) is key.
📸: @pirellisport
🔥15❤3👍1🤔1
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🤯The craziest #F1 stat you'll see today:
Back in Miami, Lando Norris and McLaren had a TINY 1% probability of winning their respective championships!
(Less than Ferrari now: 2.7%!) 😲
RedBull's chances of a WCC progressively declined from 92.6% to just 9.2%.📉
VER is still the WDC favourite (58.9%), but it's almost a coin toss now! Austin will be decisive 🔮
Thanks, @oddschecker team, for contacting me and providing this data! 🤝
Made via @JMP_software
Back in Miami, Lando Norris and McLaren had a TINY 1% probability of winning their respective championships!
(Less than Ferrari now: 2.7%!) 😲
RedBull's chances of a WCC progressively declined from 92.6% to just 9.2%.📉
VER is still the WDC favourite (58.9%), but it's almost a coin toss now! Austin will be decisive 🔮
Thanks, @oddschecker team, for contacting me and providing this data! 🤝
Made via @JMP_software
❤7👍3
Formula Data Analysis
🤯The craziest #F1 stat you'll see today: Back in Miami, Lando Norris and McLaren had a TINY 1% probability of winning their respective championships! (Less than Ferrari now: 2.7%!) 😲 RedBull's chances of a WCC progressively declined from 92.6% to just 9.2%.📉…
The ‘Implied Probability’ is given by the payouts for each bet made before the start of the GP.
E.g. if by betting 1$ you get 2$ in case your prediction is correct then the probability is 1$/2$=0.5=50%.
The bookmaker’s advantage has been removed: their sum is therefore 100%.
E.g. if by betting 1$ you get 2$ in case your prediction is correct then the probability is 1$/2$=0.5=50%.
The bookmaker’s advantage has been removed: their sum is therefore 100%.
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FP1 DATA
Ferrari got a 1-2 finish by being the only team competitive in all sectors 👌
1) Ferrari cannot relax, though: VER was up to 15km/h quicker than SAI in the fast corners 3 to 7, exhibiting excellent downforce!
RedBull can still recover their 2km/h top speed deficit via a more powerful PU mode, while it will be hard for Ferrari to match RedBull in the fast corners.
2) BEST SECTORS
- S1: No surprise that VER was quickest there. LEC was just 0.01s behind though, as he gained on the straights and in Turn 1. McL struggled.
- S2 was McL's best sector (and VER's worst).
- S3: Ferrari's best sector.
What's your Sprint Shootout prediction? 🤩
Ferrari got a 1-2 finish by being the only team competitive in all sectors 👌
1) Ferrari cannot relax, though: VER was up to 15km/h quicker than SAI in the fast corners 3 to 7, exhibiting excellent downforce!
RedBull can still recover their 2km/h top speed deficit via a more powerful PU mode, while it will be hard for Ferrari to match RedBull in the fast corners.
2) BEST SECTORS
- S1: No surprise that VER was quickest there. LEC was just 0.01s behind though, as he gained on the straights and in Turn 1. McL struggled.
- S2 was McL's best sector (and VER's worst).
- S3: Ferrari's best sector.
What's your Sprint Shootout prediction? 🤩
🤔5❤3
Formula Data Analysis
FP1 DATA Ferrari got a 1-2 finish by being the only team competitive in all sectors 👌 1) Ferrari cannot relax, though: VER was up to 15km/h quicker than SAI in the fast corners 3 to 7, exhibiting excellent downforce! RedBull can still recover their 2km/h…
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Membership | Formula Data Analysis
Hi! Thank you for wanting to support my projectI've always been fascinated with data - and cars!For three years, I supervised the design, production and racing of a Formula Car 🏎️, and then I sta
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🔵VER will start the #F1 Sprint in P1, yet he wasn't the quickest in any sector! (But quick everywhere)
⚪️The upgraded Haas was mighty!
1) BEST SECTORS:
- S1: HAM fastest, by far (+0.13s vs VER)
- S2: RUS fastest, then NOR
- S3: LEC and HUL fastest
VER struggled in S2, NOR in S3
2) GRIP:
RUS reached the highest top speed (330km/h) yet he was also stronger than VER and LEC under braking! (Reached 6g of deceleration)
VER had excellent cornering grip, but braking was lacking.
🔴LEC produced the lowest maximum lateral acceleration (in fact he struggled in S1).
⚪️The upgraded Haas was mighty!
1) BEST SECTORS:
- S1: HAM fastest, by far (+0.13s vs VER)
- S2: RUS fastest, then NOR
- S3: LEC and HUL fastest
VER struggled in S2, NOR in S3
2) GRIP:
RUS reached the highest top speed (330km/h) yet he was also stronger than VER and LEC under braking! (Reached 6g of deceleration)
VER had excellent cornering grip, but braking was lacking.
🔴LEC produced the lowest maximum lateral acceleration (in fact he struggled in S1).
👍10❤3
RACE PACE - F1 SPRINT
Verstappen was quickest on average, but Sainz was almost as quick despite the numerous fights!
He can win the race. 🍀
🥇🔵VER
🥈🔴SAI +0.05s/lap (traffic)
🥉🔴LEC+0.24s/lap (traffic)
📈Impressed: Ferrari.
📉Disappointed: Mercedes (Big drop in pace), McL.
The race will probably be down to how the relative performance will differ on a full tank and different tyre compounds.
Verstappen was quickest on average, but Sainz was almost as quick despite the numerous fights!
He can win the race. 🍀
🥇🔵VER
🥈🔴SAI +0.05s/lap (traffic)
🥉🔴LEC+0.24s/lap (traffic)
📈Impressed: Ferrari.
📉Disappointed: Mercedes (Big drop in pace), McL.
The race will probably be down to how the relative performance will differ on a full tank and different tyre compounds.
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RACE PACE Austin GP
Ferrari's 1-2 was their most 'dominant' race of the year: 0.26s/lap advantage on McL! (LEC vs NOR) 🏆
Next best: Australia (+0.11s/lap)
Best pace since early '22! 💡
NOR: 0.1s/lap quicker than VER 👌
RUS and PER: underwhelming pace even considering traffic. 🚨
Ferrari's aero updates (introduced in Singapore) seem to have worked, as Austin is a very representative track (diverse sectors; downforce and drag are both important).
Ferrari's 1-2 was their most 'dominant' race of the year: 0.26s/lap advantage on McL! (LEC vs NOR) 🏆
Next best: Australia (+0.11s/lap)
Best pace since early '22! 💡
NOR: 0.1s/lap quicker than VER 👌
RUS and PER: underwhelming pace even considering traffic. 🚨
Ferrari's aero updates (introduced in Singapore) seem to have worked, as Austin is a very representative track (diverse sectors; downforce and drag are both important).
❤16🔥4👍2
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Mexico City GP offers a unique challenge:
The ~20% lower air density (due to altitude) reduces downforce and drag massively.
⬇️
- High drag not as critical (will help McL)
- High downforce even more crucial!
Often highest top speeds of the season despite the high-downforce wings. 💡
Cars will be sliding significantly due to the decreased downforce and the slippery tarmac.
📸 @pirellisport
The ~20% lower air density (due to altitude) reduces downforce and drag massively.
⬇️
- High drag not as critical (will help McL)
- High downforce even more crucial!
Often highest top speeds of the season despite the high-downforce wings. 💡
Cars will be sliding significantly due to the decreased downforce and the slippery tarmac.
📸 @pirellisport
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