Trading is hard.

But it's harder clocking in forever knowing you quit and wasted your potential.


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⚠️🚯↪️🔂🔂

🇺🇸 US job openings are now at recession levels.


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⚠️🚯↪️🔂⬅️

💵 The Economist warns about a “dangerous dollar”

The Economist says the world is flipping. The US dollar is no longer seen as a safe haven, and investors are actively looking for alternatives.

In this “inverted world,” confidence in the dollar weakens as risk perceptions around the US rise.


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⚠️🚯↪️🔂⬅️

🇷🇺 Russia secretly transferred approximately $2.5 billion in cash to Iran, bypassing U.S. sanctions, to support Iran’s economy.


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⚠️🚯↪️🔂⬅️

🇺🇸 US Job Openings Plunge As December Sees 604K Drop To 6.54 Million Lowest Since 2020.


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🦺👓🕶🥽🥼

🇨🇳🇺🇸 China orders banks to reduce US Treasury holdings.


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📅 Key Events of the Week

This week is driven by US labor and inflation data, with earnings as a secondary layer. Retail demand sets the early tone, but the core focus is how tight the labor market remains ahead of CPI.

Ongoing funding negotiations keep the risk of a partial government shutdown alive, which can amplify market reactions around key prints.

📅 Monday

• December Retail Sales data

Retail sales offer an early signal on consumer demand. Strength here supports growth assumptions and keeps pressure on rates.

📅 Tuesday

• U.S. Retail Sales

• Robinhood $HOOD earnings

Retail data helps confirm consumption trends. Robinhood earnings reflect retail trading activity and risk appetite.

📅 Wednesday

• U.S. NFP Jobs Report

• Cisco $CSCO earnings

NFP is the main growth and labor signal. Payrolls, wages, and participation shape rate expectations. Cisco earnings feed into enterprise spending and broader tech sentiment.

📅 Thursday

• Initial Jobless Claims

• January Existing Home Sales

• Coinbase $COIN earnings

Claims are used to confirm labor trends. Housing data reflects rate sensitivity. Coinbase earnings impact crypto-linked risk sentiment.

📅 Friday

• U.S. CPI Inflation

CPI is the key inflation checkpoint. Core and services inflation matter most for Fed pricing and front-end rates.

Main focus:
Wednesday’s NFP and Friday’s CPI, as labor strength and inflation persistence jointly drive rate expectations.


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🦺👓🕶🥽🥼

🇯🇵 Japan restarts world's biggest nuclear plant, operator says.


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🥷 Former Goldman Sachs executive starts prison sentence over 1MDB scandal

Tim Leissner, a former top executive at Goldman Sachs, has begun serving a 2-year prison sentence for his role in a massive financial fraud.

Leissner admitted helping siphon about $4.5B from Malaysia’s sovereign wealth fund 1MDB.

The case took 8 years to reach sentencing and ultimately led to the collapse of Malaysia’s government. Goldman Sachs paid over $5B to settle related charges.

Leissner cooperated with prosecutors and became the key witness in the 2022 trial of his former colleague Roger Ng. The scheme was orchestrated by Malaysian financier Jho Low, who continues to deny wrongdoing and has been a fugitive since 2018.

One of the largest financial scandals of the decade is still not fully closed.



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🦺👓🕶🥽🥼

Alphabet is looking to issue a 100-year bond.
Last time this happened was Motorola in 1997.


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🇨🇳 Shanghai Futures Exchange physical silver supply falls from 349.9 tons to 318.54 tons - CEIC data.


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⚠️🚯↪️🔂⬅️

Consumer credit surged +$24 billion in December — highest increase since 2023.


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⚠️🚯↪️🔂⬅️

🇺🇸 President Trump says the US economy can grow at 15% if Kevin Warsh does his job right as Fed Chair.


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