Forwarded from Kalibrated (Scott)
Russian forces have assaulted and captured the large AFU fortification along the 0532 highway. Russian forces are now 3km from Vodyane which is critical in the supply of Ugledar.
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Forwarded from PoliticsGR - Geopolitics, Intel, News, Statistics
In recent days, Khalifa Haftar’s Libyan National Army (LNA) has been deployed to the southwestern border, triggering a response from Algeria, which called for reconcilliation between all Libyan actors. Today’s analysis is focusing on the leader’s background and his grip on eastern Libya, his allies, and whether a new civil war is inevitable.
PoliticsGR
Khalifa Haftar's mobilisation; could a new civil war in Libya break out?
Notes on the general, his allies, and whether a war could break out.
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Forwarded from Thermopylae
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At around 1:30 a.m. today, Israeli aircraft airstriked an iron factory where a Syrian family, including a mother, children, and a number of workers, lived .
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Talk about the imminent reaching of a ceasefire agreement is an illusion. What we heard from the mediators indicates major retreats from the July 2 agreement. We have not yet been invited to any additional meetings, and what is being talked about is deceptive impressions.
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Forwarded from /CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global (ȚepeȘ)
With two rival governments at either end of the country, ongoing political ruptures and now, fresh military mobilization, there are fears Libya could be heading toward more violence and fighting.
In a statement, the United Nations Support Mission in Libya said it was monitoring "with concern the recent mobilization of forces in various parts of Libya."
The organization, known as UNSMIL, urged "all parties to exercise maximum restraint and avoid any provocative military actions that could be perceived as offensive."
On Thursday, the Delegation of the European Union to Libya expressed similar concerns.
"The use of force would harm stability in Libya and lead to human suffering. It should be avoided at all cost," it said in a statement.
Longtime Libya watchers were more direct, suggesting that, after around four years of relative calm in the country, civil war might be about to break out once again.
The warnings came in response to last week's large mobilization of militias affiliated with one of Libya's two rival administrations.
Since 2014, Libya has been split in two, with opposing governments located in the east and west of the country. A UN-backed administration known as the Government of National Unity, or GNU, is based in Tripoli in the west, and its rival, known as the House of Representatives, is based in the east, in Tobruk.
At various times over the last decade, each government has tried — and failed — to wrest control from the other.
The government in eastern Libya is supported by former warlord-turned-politician Khalifa Haftar, who controls various armed groups in his area. It was Haftar's forces that appeared to be moving toward Tripoli late last week. In 2019, Haftar attacked the city but was eventually forced to sign a cease-fire in 2020.
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DW
Is Libya on the brink of a new civil war?
With two rival governments at either end of the country, ongoing political ruptures and, now, fresh military mobilization, there are fears Libya could be heading toward more violence and fighting.
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Forwarded from /CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global (ȚepeȘ)
• ~30% of U.S. Navy fleet en route or in theater
• Guided-missile sub USS Georgia left Crete
• ABE CSG days away
Iranian attack against Israel delayed to allow time for a ceasefire deal & will take place at a later date (NYT)
U.S. force posture today in the Middle East is similar to the surge following the October 2023 attack:
Tehran appears to be allowing mediators time to pursue cease-fire talks: NYT
• By Friday, Israeli intelligence had assessed that Hezbollah and Iran had lowered the level of alertness in their rocket and missile units, according to five Israeli officials.
• Israel now believes the Iranian-led response — already apparently delayed several times — will take place at a later date.
• The officials have cautioned that their assessments are rapidly changing given the fluidity of events. Intelligence has been sparse and changes frequently, and Iran and Hezbollah are known to be constantly assessing the situation.
Supercarrier USS Abraham Lincoln steaming toward the Middle East from the Indo-Pacific, transited the Strait of Malacca & entered the Indian Ocean today, 16 August.
The Wasp ARG is still ripping donuts in the eastern Med, most recently operating northwest of Cyprus.
USS Georgia (SSGN 729) departed Crete, Greece, on/around 15 August.
Ceasefire updates from a senior U.S. official in Doha today on background:
- Put down a final bridging proposal on every issue
- Most constructive 48 hours in many months
- Package is basically there & now in the end game
- Aim to close out this process next week once & for all
U.S. warns of “cataclysmic consequences” should Iran attack Israel.
🧵 Ian Ellis
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Forwarded from Thermopylae
🇺🇸 - Trump calls Google a "Crooked, Election Interference Machine," says "they will pay a big price for what they are doing."
Follow: @ThermopylaeNews
Follow: @ThermopylaeNews
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Forwarded from Thermopylae
🇮🇱 🇺🇸 - ADL ratioed on Twitter after defending Jewish pedophile murderer Leo Frank and claiming he was killed by "anti-Semitism."
Follow: @ThermopylaeNews
Follow: @ThermopylaeNews
X (formerly Twitter)
ADL (@ADL) on X
Tomorrow marks 109 years since Leo Frank was lynched by a hate-filled mob in Georgia after being falsely accused & unjustly convicted of murder in a trial marred by antisemitism. ADL fought to clear Frank’s name & he was finally pardoned in 1986.
May his…
May his…
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Thermopylae
🇮🇱 🇺🇸 - ADL ratioed on Twitter after defending Jewish pedophile murderer Leo Frank and claiming he was killed by "anti-Semitism." Follow: @ThermopylaeNews
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https://fxtwitter.com/AlArabiya_Brk/status/1824815739917783130
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FxTwitter / FixupX
العربية عاجل (@AlArabiya_Brk)
كهرباء لبنان: انقطاع التيار الكهربائي عن مرافق أساسية منها المطار والمرفأ #العربية_عاجل
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Forwarded from Rerum Novarum // Intel, Breaking News, and Alerts 🇺🇸
🇷🇺🇺🇦⚡- Russian forces withdrew from the west of Seym river, Kursk region, Russia – Russian sources confirm.
With Russia withdrawing, it allowed Ukraine to take control over the town of Otruba.
Rumors of Tetkino being under Ukrainian control are untrue. There were fierce battles overnight, but Russia remains in control over it.
With Russia withdrawing, it allowed Ukraine to take control over the town of Otruba.
Rumors of Tetkino being under Ukrainian control are untrue. There were fierce battles overnight, but Russia remains in control over it.
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Geopolitics Watch
Photo
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Geopolitics Watch
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