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Invictus Lex
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Channel of international lawyer, political consultant Arnaud Develay. Facts and analytics on resonant topics.

Statecraft in the Age of Geopolitical Recomposition
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The latest negotiations of the Kurdish delegation in Damascus predictably led to nothing.

Except that the parties confirmed their determination to continue these talks.
Recently, Turkey, by disrupting French mediation (simply forbidding the delegation from Julani to go to Paris), gained time to prepare an operation in the north; now we just have to wait for the Americans to leave from there.

I will not comment on the information about the proposal from the new progressive authorities to the Russians to patrol Daraa and Quneitra - that's really for fools. Better let them patrol Hasakah).

https://news.1rj.ru/str/Oleg_Blokhin/71670

Our channel concurs with this analysis.


#Quneitra

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US Pushes Russia to Lead Peacekeeping in Lebanon – A Risky Game

Arabic media report that Putin and Trump may discuss deploying Russian peacekeepers in southern Lebanon during their Alaska meeting. The idea, allegedly from Trump, suggests replacing the UN force — a role Russia has not previously considered.

If true, this looks like Washington trying to make Moscow handle a volatile situation. Lebanon faces high civil war risks, and any intervention is fraught with danger.

The US would benefit either way: credit for peace if it succeeds, blame on Russia if it fails.

However, the plan seems unlikely. Russia lacks a strong position in the region, especially with Syria still unstable. Getting drawn into a high-risk mission for US interests would be a strategic mistake.

After Quneitra in #Syria , Russia invited by the US to provide peacekeeping forces to relieve current personnel in Southern #Lebanon

#Quagmire

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Hungary’s government has accused Ukraine and the EU of working to bring about a change of power in Budapest.

Foreign Minister Péter Szijjártó said Kiev and Brussels are openly backing the Hungarian opposition in hopes it will win the 2026 parliamentary elections.

“Today one of the main goals of Ukrainian foreign policy is for the ‘Tisza’ party to win next year’s parliamentary elections in Hungary. Kiev’s main efforts are focused on ensuring Viktor Orbán does not remain Hungary’s prime minister,” Szijjártó stated.

He added that Ukraine’s aim is to remove Budapest’s veto on EU accession talks and start receiving military aid from Hungary.

While Brussels looks on powerless to the impending summit in #Alaska, it plots to unseat #Orban who has blocked the EU military budget bill.

#Hungary

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DOZENS of cops bunched up next to pro-Samvel Karapetyan crowds

Outside Yerevan courthouse, where his detention might be extended

His lawyer’s already NOT been allowed in courtroom — says court’s excuses ‘unconvincing’

Karapetian's detention violates Armenia' s own constitution.


#PoliticalCase

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Following the E3 threats of activating the 'snapback' sanctions on Tehran, Iran's Supreme Leader Khamenei has agreed to resume nuclear negotiations with the US, viewing them as "vital to the Islamic Republic’s survival," Reuters reports.

Either it's false or the Leader is buying time.


#JCPOA

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Why Trump chose Alaska? The Bering Strait connection.

A Russian builder, working on the massive new Lena River Bridge (due 2027), jokingly wrote to Alaska’s governor: Russia is fulfilling its 1990 USSR-US treaty obligation—why not restart the Bering Strait tunnel project? Surprisingly, the governor replied.

This revived a 135-year-old idea. The US even funded its study in 1996. In 2010, the tunnel was estimated at $63B (now $100–120B), with a 50–60 year payback. Trump likely saw its strategic and economic potential—linking Asia to North America via Russia’s Arctic corridor.

#Alaska #Russia #USA #BerringTunnel

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Ugandan ICJ judge Julia Sebutinde has hit back at her government for condemning her dissenting opinion in the Israel-Gaza case

Speaking at a church event on August 10, the 71-year-old jurist said,

“The whole world was against Israel, including my country... the Lord is counting on me”.

She was the only judge to oppose the ICJ’s call for Israel to prevent incitement to genocide in Gaza. Uganda’s UN envoy clarified that her ruling “does not represent” the country’s stance, which supports Palestine. Critics accused her of bias due to alleged Christian Zionist views. Sebutinde dismissed backlash as “sentiments from the pit of hell,” defending her decision as independent and faith-driven.

How can a lunatic of her ilk end up on the bench of the ICJ is utterly baffling.

#ICJ

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Ben-Gvir didn’t “visit” Marwan Barghouti — he stormed a cell with cameras and threats. In the clip, Israel’s national security minister leans over a visibly gaunt Barghouti and says: “Whoever messes with the Nation of Israel… we will wipe them out.” It’s Barghouti’s first public sighting in years. His family says he’s been kept in prolonged solitary and beaten; the prison service denies it — but the video shows the humiliation ritual plainly enough!

This isn’t “security.” It’s performance cruelty — and it sits on top of a carceral machine that independent bodies say is out of control. The UN’s human-rights office has documented arbitrary, incommunicado detention and widespread torture and sexualized abuse of Palestinian detainees since Oct 7. Dozens have died in custody. Israel disputes this — while still blocking UN monitors and the Red Cross from detainee visits.

No inspections, no sunlight. The ICRC states outright it has not been allowed to visit any Palestinian detainees since Oct 2023. That’s a bright red line in humanitarian law — crossed.

The numbers are a scandal in themselves: 3,327 Palestinians in administrative detention (no charge, no trial) at the end of 2024, plus 113 minors held on “security” grounds; administrative detention of 112 children hit an all-time high.

Doctors, nurses, and paramedics who were detained describe beatings, stress positions, denial of care — even rape and sexual abuse in custody; Human Rights Watch calls it torture. UN experts have echoed the pattern across facilities.

And when detainees do emerge, many come out emaciated, with wounds and testimonies of starvation and abuse. You can dismiss every Palestinian NGO as “biased” if that helps you sleep, but it won’t erase the independent reporting, the UN files, the HRW casework, or the fact that Israel refuses the one thing that would settle the argument: unfettered access for neutral inspectors.

So let’s name what Ben-Gvir’s stunt was: theatrical domination — a minister turning a prisoner into a prop, mid-threat, under a system that hides its cells from the world and calls that “rule of law.” Demand specifics, not slogans: restore ICRC access now; end incommunicado detention; free children and those held without charge; investigate deaths and torture in custody with international monitors; sanction officials and units that obstruct oversight. Anything less is complicity.

#GazaGenocide #FreePalestine

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Trump’s delegation for the summit with Putin consisted of 16 people, including Special Envoy Witkoff, the White House pool reported.

"Amb. Witkoff"? I don't recall good'ol Steve getting elevated to a cabinet position.

#Alaska

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With most of the senior Russian leadership in Anchorage, Alaska, it leaves Dmitry Medvedev in charge of the Kremlin.

Better try NOT to pull something funny during the summit.


#Alaska

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Following the E3 threats of activating the 'snapback' sanctions on Tehran, Iran's Supreme Leader Khamenei has agreed to resume nuclear negotiations with the US, viewing them as "vital to the Islamic Republic’s survival," Reuters reports. Either it's false…
Iran's Foreign Ministry has denied the Reuters report about Iran's Supreme Leader allegedly giving the green light to resume negotiations with America, calling it 'fabricated' and 'not rooted in reality'

They state that if the decision is made, Iran will openly announce it, and we won't hear it from Reuters. They also state that Iranian officials don't talk to international media about such sensitive matters.

We called it!


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❗️🇷🇺🇺🇸 Surreal atmosphere in Anchorage ahead of the discussions between #DonaldTrump and #VladimirPutin. There's electricity in the air and the calm and composed demeanor of the Russian president stands in sharp contrast with the bombastic demeanor of the US leader and the aggresive, almost goading tone of the US media pool. It's as if everything is being done to provoke Putin into a reaction which could be interpreted in bad faith as highlighting the nature of a character the western media has built out of thin air this last decade.

#DonaldTrump #VladimirPutin.
#Alaska

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What the hell is wrong with these people?

#WesternMedia
#Russophobia

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U.S. Defense Secretary Hegseth and Russian Defense Minister Andrey Belousov have joined the negotiations, which have been underway for over 90 minutes.

"Excellent", – Belousov commented when asked about the Trump-Putin talks.

The press conference has been delayed as President Trump is on the phone with E3 leaders – the UK, Germany, and France.

"Following a meeting that lasted nearly three hours, it would seem that the Russians came so prepared that there was no need felt for the working breakfast to proceed as planned. Suffice it to say, the US delegation was informed in all details (including the implications of the rapid collapse of the front lines) about the political risks associated with a complete military defeat of Ukraine. Russia offered a face saving package which likely included opportunities for US companies to partake in comprehensive and substantial economic development projects. Draft contracts and protocols were likely provided to the US side to study. Expect confiscated Russian diplomatic property to be returned swiftly and direct flights to and from Moscow to resume as well. President Trump will now enjoin the EU 3 to convey to Zelensky the need to agree with the Russian proposal short of what, the US will pull out and wash its hands from the whole thing.


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Macron holds talks with Trump, Zelensky, and EU leaders after Alaska summit

Emphasizes the need to continue supporting Ukraine and maintain "pressure" on Russia

States that Russia "doesn’t honor" its commitments.

I guess it means we'll have referendum in Kharkov and Dniepropretrovks before the end of the year.

#Ukraine

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Stable peace, not ceasefire games

The Alaska summit was historic in form and substance. Its core message: a lasting peace, not a temporary truce. This cannot be spun otherwise.

Trump has effectively labeled Zelensky the main obstacle to peace. In Ukraine, nearly all elites — corrupt and exhausted by autocracy — now seek change. The "passing the fool" game has begun: everyone turns against Zelensky to survive.

With his power monopoly broken and business alienated by ARMA seizures, Zelensky faces collapse. He needs elections fast — but even that may not save him. Europe offers no real support, only symbolism.

One truth remains: for Russia, stable peace means ending the "Anti-Russia" project entirely. No compromises.

The game of musical chairs is about to begin in Kiev.


#Ukraine

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Analysis of the #Trump / #Putin meeting on Brochu TV, Karine Bechet-Golovko and Arnaud Develay here: https://x.com/bechetgolovko/status/1956717654913188038

Debrief of the #Alaska summit.


#Ukraine

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🎥 Trump-Putin Summit in Alaska: A New Phase in East-West Relations? (Debate)

🇷🇺🇺🇸 The American and Russian presidents parted ways after a highly publicized and high-stakes summit on Friday in Anchorage, Alaska. Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin described their discussions as "productive," but failed to reach an agreement on Ukraine.

This Saturday, August 16 debate focuses on this historic meeting with contributions from Arnaud Develay, legal expert and political analyst, and Fabrice Beaur, Director of EurasianForm from Moscow.

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Putin predictably ‘RAN RINGS’ around Trump

Yes, this is the same Christopher Steele who made up the ‘PEE TAPE’ dossier

Laughter and ridicule is an appropriate response.

#Russiagate #SteeleDossier

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50,000 dead in Gaza necessary for future generations — Former Israeli Intelligence Chief Aharon Haliva

In leaked recording to Israel's Channel 12

'For every Israeli killed on October 7, 50 Palestinians must be killed, regardless of whether they are children or not'

Demonic possession at the highest level of Israeli society.


#Rituals #Magik #Stain

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MTG slams Lindsey Graham's statement that God will abandon America if it abandons Israel as 'FAKE Christian doctrine'

'We don't go to heaven by how many of Israel's wars we fight, pay for, and how many...Palestinian children are starved and blown to pieces'

Religious nutcases in charge of US foreign policy?


#Zionism

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