⋯ In principle, Hezbullah and allies (FPM, Amal, Marada, etc) will get between 59 to 62. They are not unified.

While the rest will be divided into two main blocks:

- Pro-Saudi (Lebanese Forces, Asraf Rifi, Joumblat,...)

- Opposition (17-October parties, ind., Osama Saad, etc)

⋯ In Beqaa II (West Beqaa-Rashaya), the lawyer of the opposition candidate Yassin Yassin convinced the judge at the counting process to discard a full box of legitimate votes from Syria, claiming it was suspicious because it only contained votes for one candidate (his rival in 8-March).

Who did he expect Lebanese in Syria to vote for?

Additional footage from CCTV cameras showing the horrific assault by the Israeli police on the French hospital and the funeral of journalist Shereen Abu Akla.

Video by: @‌‌‎M_shebrawy

Lebanese elections at the (approximate) macro level:

- To win 10 seats in Jbeil-Keserwan, you need about 50,000 ⁠votes in total.

- To win 10 seats in Beirut, about 100,000 ⁠votes.

- To win 10 seats in South Lebanon, about 300,000 ⁠votes.

For example, Hezbullah's Mohammed Raad got himself ~50k votes in South Lebanon, more than whole other parties, but his list lost 1 of the 10 seats.

This is because of the sectarian non-proportional distribution of parliamentary seats between Muslims and Christians, and the lack of equal representation.

⋯ Israeli think-tank Alma celebrates the increase in the parliament seats of the Lebanese Forces party.

The Lebanese Force party was an ally to Israel during the Lebanese civil war (1975-1990)

⋯ ⬥ The expatriate votes played in the favor of several candidates, giving Marwan Kheireddin, Elie Ferzli and others a higher chance of keeping/winning their seats.

⬥ Counting is concluded for South I and II, Mount Lebanon ⁠I, and Beqaa ⁠I. Lebanon's interior minister will announce the final results of those areas shortly, on TV.

⋯ The Islamic group supporters (Muslim Brotherhood branch in Lebanon) contest their loss and the winning of MP Elie Ferzli.

Update: Ferzli lost his seat.

⋯ Hezbullah's candidate Raed Berro won the Shia seat in Jbeil-Keserwan.

This is likely the first time Hezbullah/Amal get this Shia seat.

⋯ Semi-final results for Beirut ⁠II (West Beirut):

1- Hezbullah & allies' list “Beirut united”: 3 ⁠seats (36,181 votes)
2- Western-backed NGOs' list “Beirut the change”: 2 ⁠seats (31,582)
3- Islamic Group's list “This is Beirut”: 2 ⁠seats (20,169)
4- Makhzoumi's list “Beirut needs a heart”: 2 ⁠seats (19,074)
5- Siniora and PSP's list “Beirut confronts”: 1 ⁠seat (17,677)
6- Al-Ahbash and Trablousi's list “For Beirut”: 1 ⁠seat (14,349)

Hezbullah's MP Amin Sherri, sanctioned by the USA, got the greatest number of votes per candidate, 26,140 votes.

The Druze candidate of “Beirut needs a heart”, Zeina Mounzer, won her seat with only 272 votes.

⋯ Semi-final results for North ⁠II (Tripoli):

1- Arab Liberation Party's “The people's will”: 3 ⁠seats (28,144 votes)
2- LF & Ashraf Rifi's list “Rescue of a nation”: 3 ⁠seats (27,818)
3- FM-affiliated list “Lebanon is ours”: 2 ⁠seats (26,173)
4- Islamic Group's list “The real change”: 2 ⁠seats (16,210)
5- Mikati-supported list “For the people”: 1 ⁠seat (15,476)
6- Thawra-affiliated list “Revolt for justice and sovereignty”: 1 ⁠seat (12,544)

In brief, Faysal Karami's and Ashraf Rifi's lists won 3 seats each. On Rifi's list, a candidate won his seat with only 82 ⁠votes.

MMFD lost and got two-thirds less votes than the list of a barely-known French-Lebanese Omar Harfoush.

⋯ The "opposition" needs 3,500 votes out of the 12,000 expatriate votes being counted now to win the second seat in South (III) district.

⋯ ⬥ According to Hezbullah's election campaign, there are 6,000 votes cancelled in Nabatiyeh district. Cancelled for voting two lists, or voting for two candidates, or removing candidates on a list. Many among the youths and elders don't know the new voting mechanism.

⬥ A ballot box from France, for South ⁠III, was discarded because the head of the polling station didn't send the official papers with it. Its votes were legitimate.

⋯ Supporter of a candidate that won in the elections in Akkar celebrated with thousands of bullets and RPG-7 shots.

A child was injured. Another was injured yesterday from similar celebrations.

⬆️ Seen in the video above is what a common Lebanese militia for a political party looks like, M-16s, AKMs and RPGs, enough to fight a civil war. Muslims, Christians, and Druzes.

When some demand removing Hezbullah's weapons, they are only concerned about the ones that threaten Israel.

⋯ Hezbullah's deputy SG Naem Qassem yesterday:

- The parliament will be divided into several blocs

- We do not care about getting a majority or who who takes it

- We are sure we will get a very sizeable representation (as Hezbullah & eventually allies) enough to continue working

⋯ Elie Ferzli officially lost his seat in West Beqaa-Rashaya district.

Yassin Yassin won the Sunni seat, while Ghassan Skaff won the Greek Orthodox seat.

Hezbullah and Amal won 10 out of 11 seats in Beqaa (III). Lebanese Forces won only the Christian Maronite seat.

Compared with 2018, Hezbullah/Amal won the Sunni seat in 2022, which they lost in 2018 to LF/Future Movement.

⋯ In Beqaa II (West Beqaa-Rashaya):

- Lebanese Forces: 2 seats
- Hezbullah: 1 seat
- FPM: 1 seat
- Tashnaq (Armenians–FPM): 1 seat
- Independent: 1 seat
- Loyal to Fouad Siniora: 1 seat

(Image by Annahar)

⋯ Hezbullah got 365,000 votes, an increase of 22,000 from the 2018 elections.

⋯ ⬥ Considering Hezbullah and Amal won all Shia seats, and because Hezbullah does not nominate anyone for the position of Parliament Speaker which is a Shia position, Nabih Berri will be the next parliament speaker, by virtue of being the only candidate, for the 8th time (32 years).

⬥ Charbel Nahas, leader of MMFD who nominated 65 candidates, lost in the election. He was also a candidate in 2018 and lost. Jad Ghosn is the only remaining MMFD candidate with a chance to win, and would be defeating LF's candidate.

⋯ The final voter turnout is 41.1%, less than 2018's turnout (49.7%).