Middle East Spectator — MES
— 🇷🇺/🇸🇾 Bloomberg, citing officials within the Kremlin: 'If the SAA continuously leaves their defensive positions, there is nothing we or any of Syria's allies can do'
I was just talking to a friend and told him if Syria falls to these terrorists, yes Lebanon's resistance would be cut from the world and Iran but this might not be the worst case scenario.
With the Israeli attacks on border crossing, the monitoring of the border area by the Lebanese army, US, and UK and the challenges in breaches faced by the Iranian and Syrian army in regards to weapon shipments...this would help speedrun local production of everything in Lebanon.
With Iran's know-how, and the Lebanon's access to the world in terms of machinery and raw material, and Hezbullah's engineers and the great education in Lebanon, this project is very feasible.
Hezbullah already produced its drones and parts of its missiles, even bullets and weapon's grade explosives. They produce rocket barrels and a lot of stuff.
There is a lot of things to discuss, and there is a lot of "light" at the end of any tunnel. Events aren't the end of everything really.
That's not false hope, it's reality. There is only one important factor, the unity and will of the Lebanese Shia population to save this sacred path, and next to it the whole Lebanese population's refusal to fight each other outside the parliament.
If I find the time, I'll try to write about this, there is a lot to discuss and showcase about this war and the events of Syria and the whole middle east. I just didn't yet try explain to explain things thoroughly, barely putting fragments here. I was overwhelmed too.
On the other side, it's quite ironic how the events of Syria unfolded just as I was reading a book called "the insurgents' dilemma" where the author spent the whole first few pages/chapters trying to say insurgents are no longer able to topple states because the conditions of the old world are no longer available in modern states. It's an interesting analysis but if we learned anything, there is no set of answers to explain everything and that every war or conflict is not like the other.
There is always one thing here that is absent there, had it been different, the whole situation would be too.
With the Israeli attacks on border crossing, the monitoring of the border area by the Lebanese army, US, and UK and the challenges in breaches faced by the Iranian and Syrian army in regards to weapon shipments...this would help speedrun local production of everything in Lebanon.
With Iran's know-how, and the Lebanon's access to the world in terms of machinery and raw material, and Hezbullah's engineers and the great education in Lebanon, this project is very feasible.
Hezbullah already produced its drones and parts of its missiles, even bullets and weapon's grade explosives. They produce rocket barrels and a lot of stuff.
There is a lot of things to discuss, and there is a lot of "light" at the end of any tunnel. Events aren't the end of everything really.
That's not false hope, it's reality. There is only one important factor, the unity and will of the Lebanese Shia population to save this sacred path, and next to it the whole Lebanese population's refusal to fight each other outside the parliament.
If I find the time, I'll try to write about this, there is a lot to discuss and showcase about this war and the events of Syria and the whole middle east. I just didn't yet try explain to explain things thoroughly, barely putting fragments here. I was overwhelmed too.
On the other side, it's quite ironic how the events of Syria unfolded just as I was reading a book called "the insurgents' dilemma" where the author spent the whole first few pages/chapters trying to say insurgents are no longer able to topple states because the conditions of the old world are no longer available in modern states. It's an interesting analysis but if we learned anything, there is no set of answers to explain everything and that every war or conflict is not like the other.
There is always one thing here that is absent there, had it been different, the whole situation would be too.
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📹 Israeli jets were also reported at high altitudes over Beirut.
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Laying it out here...
But someone has to train eagles on drone hunting because those little flying death machines are a critical centerpiece to all new ground warfare in modern armies vs adversaries that are states or non-state actors
The warfare is advancing very fast, and countering all the new breakthroughs and advances have been very slow and ineffective for weaker adversaries because of materialistic limitations. Warfare is becoming very lethal.
(Partially a joke, partially mean it)
But someone has to train eagles on drone hunting because those little flying death machines are a critical centerpiece to all new ground warfare in modern armies vs adversaries that are states or non-state actors
The warfare is advancing very fast, and countering all the new breakthroughs and advances have been very slow and ineffective for weaker adversaries because of materialistic limitations. Warfare is becoming very lethal.
(Partially a joke, partially mean it)
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🇮🇷 Iranian State TV: 'Armed groups (HTS) have not targeted any of the Shia civilians living in Aleppo'
It seems that Iranian media is preparing for something, or at the very least taking precautions, to make HTS seem more moderate.
By: @Middle_East_Spectator
It seems that Iranian media is preparing for something, or at the very least taking precautions, to make HTS seem more moderate.
By: @Middle_East_Spectator
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Lebanese News and Updates
🇮🇱l🇱🇧 Initial reports of an Israeli airstrike on the Litani in town of Zawtar in south Lebanon.
🇱🇧l🇮🇱 Initial reports of an Israeli airstrike on the Litani in the town of Zawtar in south Lebanon.
Third night in a row. Same place between Yohmor and Zawtar.
Third night in a row. Same place between Yohmor and Zawtar.
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Is there a reason to write a post to explain why Hezbullah and Iran were involved in Syria in 2012-2013 and explain why the war now is different in terms of who is being fought and what the future of the resistance axis is?
Anonymous Poll
29%
No
71%
Yes (please no)
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I just know some Lebanese are feeling very cornered and giving up, considering they just exited a harsh war in Lebanon and they are at loss for losing such a great leader and that they lack some insight of what's going to happen and what's needed and what's up.
It's like a sense of despair? I can do my small part and write but I feel useless and whatever I will write won't be enough.
It's like a sense of despair? I can do my small part and write but I feel useless and whatever I will write won't be enough.
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There are any things that you can categorize the Syrian war as, but one is surely a civil and one is surely an international conflict. Its civil because it rose from the core of the Syrian population who once truthfully called for reform and change, taking the arab spring as a catalyst against the legitimate Syrian government. It is also an international conflict, because there were mothers from dozens of countries mourning their sons from this war. From Damascus to Bou Kamal, to Beirut, to Tehran, to Moscow, but also to Riyadh and Cairo and almost every single Arab, Asian, European, and African capital.
For me personally, i cannot forget the faces of those whose remains are forever lost in the vast fields of Syria, or my teacher who rose to heavens murdered at hands of ISIS in the far east, the or that night talk with that red head sheikh who jokingly told me he'll never step foot in the Syrian desert anymore after the horrors he witnessed from having to escape an ISIS advance near T2 at night there.
I say those words because they are and will always be the true representation of events, and the catalyst was always there from within the country. There is no doubt Pres Bachar al-Assad has greatly contributed to the wellbeing of the Syrian people and served his country, but there was a level of injustice perpetrated throughout the ranks of the government and the system as whole the create some type of hate that transcended the ability to reform, and the gap only got worse with time. This is my honest opinion of this conflict from day one, and as someone whose religion was shaped out of fighting Kufr and injustice, i cannot but note this.
Back in 2011, Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah was fast to voice support to the popular uprising in the arab world and called the peaceful protests that took place in Egypt, Bahrain, Tounis and others are just. There was injustice and he supported the rise against injustice. However not long after, and this wave of just protests spread to dear Syria, the ally of Hezbullah who has long stood next to the resistance in Lebanon and was a key partner in helping it fight the Israeli occupation and both liberate Lebanon and emerge victorious from the 2006 war.
However as fast as these events started, the faster the situation escalated from what was a peaceful civil movement mimicking its arab neighbors to a violent suppression of protests and terrorist attacks on both the civilians and the state. It was remarkable how cynical the events unfolded, and how truly how many false flags happened that increased the bloodshed of innocent from both sides of the political spectrum setting the stage for a 13 year international conflict fought in Syria. There were also many crimes committed by loyalist soldiers, who were never punished by the Syrian government, including execution, torture, and burying some alive. Unforgiveable.
The actions of the terrorists were clear, from shooting to bombing, to assassinating core figures from the system including Khaleyat Al-Azmah in 2012 which was created to manage the internal strife. There did not seek peaceful action.
Early on, Pres Bacahr made a lot of noticeable reforms and released hundreds from prisons in an effort to present to the emerging protests that there is path for reform and the states is willing to negotiate solutions, however there was no one interested in a solution in Syria. The opposition was promised the presidential palace, but here is where it gets murky. What opposition exactly, out of the hundreds of factions that started to be spwan everywhere.
In those very critical months, before Hezbullah got involved in active conflict, they sent various delegations to meet opposition figures and try to soften the situation and find a compromise for both sides to agree on. They tried to speak sense into the opposition, avoid a war, and truly defeat the obstacles. However no one of them was interested in such a solution or compromise. Qatar, KSA, Jordan, and the US promised them much more than what a compromise could ever achieve for them. #admin
For me personally, i cannot forget the faces of those whose remains are forever lost in the vast fields of Syria, or my teacher who rose to heavens murdered at hands of ISIS in the far east, the or that night talk with that red head sheikh who jokingly told me he'll never step foot in the Syrian desert anymore after the horrors he witnessed from having to escape an ISIS advance near T2 at night there.
I say those words because they are and will always be the true representation of events, and the catalyst was always there from within the country. There is no doubt Pres Bachar al-Assad has greatly contributed to the wellbeing of the Syrian people and served his country, but there was a level of injustice perpetrated throughout the ranks of the government and the system as whole the create some type of hate that transcended the ability to reform, and the gap only got worse with time. This is my honest opinion of this conflict from day one, and as someone whose religion was shaped out of fighting Kufr and injustice, i cannot but note this.
Back in 2011, Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah was fast to voice support to the popular uprising in the arab world and called the peaceful protests that took place in Egypt, Bahrain, Tounis and others are just. There was injustice and he supported the rise against injustice. However not long after, and this wave of just protests spread to dear Syria, the ally of Hezbullah who has long stood next to the resistance in Lebanon and was a key partner in helping it fight the Israeli occupation and both liberate Lebanon and emerge victorious from the 2006 war.
However as fast as these events started, the faster the situation escalated from what was a peaceful civil movement mimicking its arab neighbors to a violent suppression of protests and terrorist attacks on both the civilians and the state. It was remarkable how cynical the events unfolded, and how truly how many false flags happened that increased the bloodshed of innocent from both sides of the political spectrum setting the stage for a 13 year international conflict fought in Syria. There were also many crimes committed by loyalist soldiers, who were never punished by the Syrian government, including execution, torture, and burying some alive. Unforgiveable.
The actions of the terrorists were clear, from shooting to bombing, to assassinating core figures from the system including Khaleyat Al-Azmah in 2012 which was created to manage the internal strife. There did not seek peaceful action.
Early on, Pres Bacahr made a lot of noticeable reforms and released hundreds from prisons in an effort to present to the emerging protests that there is path for reform and the states is willing to negotiate solutions, however there was no one interested in a solution in Syria. The opposition was promised the presidential palace, but here is where it gets murky. What opposition exactly, out of the hundreds of factions that started to be spwan everywhere.
In those very critical months, before Hezbullah got involved in active conflict, they sent various delegations to meet opposition figures and try to soften the situation and find a compromise for both sides to agree on. They tried to speak sense into the opposition, avoid a war, and truly defeat the obstacles. However no one of them was interested in such a solution or compromise. Qatar, KSA, Jordan, and the US promised them much more than what a compromise could ever achieve for them. #admin
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They were getting money, weapons, and lots of promises.
By then, by early 2012, defections were in full swing in the Syrian army and state, thousands of terrorists are crossing from Lebanon's borders and Turkey's the join the Jihad against the Syrian state. It was a remarkable phenomenon, absent from all other arab revolutions, despite knowing well that no arab state was less cruel than the other. Some of the earliest graves for the uighurs in Syria date back to the first quarter of 2012, imagine.
With these fast events, the Syrian state started to collapse to what is now not a peaceful protest but rather a general and international conflict supported by arab and western states to topple Syria, at any cost with any means available. Jordan created with the US the moc room to manage the war in the south of Syria, Turkey supported the transport of tens of thousands of foreign fighters through its borders, and so on. Now, there are hundreds of different factions that fought the Syrian state, each with a different loyalty and goals, each with a different set of sectarian violence and crimes. Through all that, emerged Al-Qaeda and then ISIS and the stakes of a Syria under the control of those beasts was real.
The war now stopped being about reforms or between a regime and an opposition who seeks reforms, but between a state which represents order and chaos represented those armed terrorist. Truly it was this, and the crimes are well documented - of their sectarian and racial nature. Sayyed Nasrallah once said he uses the word regime about Syria because regime in Arabic means Nizam. Nizam means order, and order is what should prevail.
Through all this chaos, and the new collapse of order in Syria, the situation in Lebanon started to degrade as some started to recruited Lebanese sunnis to fight in Syria, and create war lords like Ahmad Al-Asir. They recruited hundreds of Lebanese who fought against the Syrian state. This all took place even before Hezbullah started to support the Syrian government. The only Hezbullah present in 2012 where near Sayyed Zeinab Shrine, in the few dozens at most.
Despite no true Hezbullah involvement, the terrorists from all their factions openly called to attack the Lebanese Shia, saying they are next after bachar and that Hezbullah is a target. And as soon as they reached the Lebanese border, they started to fire rockets at the Lebanese Shia towns in Baalbek. By then, it was clear for Hezbullah and Iran that if they are not involved, the war will not only end the order (regime) in Syria in favor of chaos and end the friendly allied state in Damascus, the war will expand to each's homefront and burn it. From that, Iran asked its generals to meet Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah to himself help them create a plan to manage the war in Syria. This is written in the dairies of martyr Hamadani, may he be in the highest levels of heaven.
There, he writes how Iran had a plan but when presented to Sayyed Hassan, it was rejected, stating there was no time for all of that. We dont have time to "teach Syrian leadership to pray or fix their mistakes" (figuratively), this can be done after we win the war, and so, Hezbullah started it first ever expansion and offensive war against Al_Qaeda and ISIS who then, where the forefront of the events alongside Jaish al-Islam and other small factions. There were no moderates.
During a meeting between Hezbullah's martyr Sayyed Hassan and the leaders of the liberation of Qusayr city in 2013, he talks how the involvement and the success in the involvement snowballed. He says it started from the border, then to tal Mando (btw Hezbullah has a fantastic documentary about this battle that was never made public, i hope they do. Amazing gopro footage), then it spread to Qusayr countryside because to protect this you have to advance, and to protect the CS you have to take the city. This was the battle to secure the Lebanese border, and to support the state in Syria against the rise of those terrorists.
By then, by early 2012, defections were in full swing in the Syrian army and state, thousands of terrorists are crossing from Lebanon's borders and Turkey's the join the Jihad against the Syrian state. It was a remarkable phenomenon, absent from all other arab revolutions, despite knowing well that no arab state was less cruel than the other. Some of the earliest graves for the uighurs in Syria date back to the first quarter of 2012, imagine.
With these fast events, the Syrian state started to collapse to what is now not a peaceful protest but rather a general and international conflict supported by arab and western states to topple Syria, at any cost with any means available. Jordan created with the US the moc room to manage the war in the south of Syria, Turkey supported the transport of tens of thousands of foreign fighters through its borders, and so on. Now, there are hundreds of different factions that fought the Syrian state, each with a different loyalty and goals, each with a different set of sectarian violence and crimes. Through all that, emerged Al-Qaeda and then ISIS and the stakes of a Syria under the control of those beasts was real.
The war now stopped being about reforms or between a regime and an opposition who seeks reforms, but between a state which represents order and chaos represented those armed terrorist. Truly it was this, and the crimes are well documented - of their sectarian and racial nature. Sayyed Nasrallah once said he uses the word regime about Syria because regime in Arabic means Nizam. Nizam means order, and order is what should prevail.
Through all this chaos, and the new collapse of order in Syria, the situation in Lebanon started to degrade as some started to recruited Lebanese sunnis to fight in Syria, and create war lords like Ahmad Al-Asir. They recruited hundreds of Lebanese who fought against the Syrian state. This all took place even before Hezbullah started to support the Syrian government. The only Hezbullah present in 2012 where near Sayyed Zeinab Shrine, in the few dozens at most.
Despite no true Hezbullah involvement, the terrorists from all their factions openly called to attack the Lebanese Shia, saying they are next after bachar and that Hezbullah is a target. And as soon as they reached the Lebanese border, they started to fire rockets at the Lebanese Shia towns in Baalbek. By then, it was clear for Hezbullah and Iran that if they are not involved, the war will not only end the order (regime) in Syria in favor of chaos and end the friendly allied state in Damascus, the war will expand to each's homefront and burn it. From that, Iran asked its generals to meet Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah to himself help them create a plan to manage the war in Syria. This is written in the dairies of martyr Hamadani, may he be in the highest levels of heaven.
There, he writes how Iran had a plan but when presented to Sayyed Hassan, it was rejected, stating there was no time for all of that. We dont have time to "teach Syrian leadership to pray or fix their mistakes" (figuratively), this can be done after we win the war, and so, Hezbullah started it first ever expansion and offensive war against Al_Qaeda and ISIS who then, where the forefront of the events alongside Jaish al-Islam and other small factions. There were no moderates.
During a meeting between Hezbullah's martyr Sayyed Hassan and the leaders of the liberation of Qusayr city in 2013, he talks how the involvement and the success in the involvement snowballed. He says it started from the border, then to tal Mando (btw Hezbullah has a fantastic documentary about this battle that was never made public, i hope they do. Amazing gopro footage), then it spread to Qusayr countryside because to protect this you have to advance, and to protect the CS you have to take the city. This was the battle to secure the Lebanese border, and to support the state in Syria against the rise of those terrorists.
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