❓What is the future of relationship between Lebanon and Syria

I mentioned this in brief in my long summary of the situation, and the thing is, if Jawlani is serious about building a state and abandon his "so-called past" to become like that prostitute who is ready to settle and marry a white-collar man, he can achieve stability for both Syria and Lebanon.

Because frankly, neither Turkey who Syria will become very dependant on, nor Iraq and Jordan want additional instability because of Syria. And the new Syrian state will be isolated with no old allies, no Iranian fuel, the Kurdish dilemma and so on. They need to rebuild, they need money, they need trade, etc..

It would be wise of them to also avoid any terrorist activities in Lebanon and against Hezbullah, and to build a new relationship based on the new reality. Jewlani is not new to politics nor foreign to abandoning his old ideologies.

Lebanon needs Syria to purchase some produce, and need Syria to export products to Jordan and Iraq.

I do believe he will mimic Taliban's good neighbor relationship, simply to avoid any problems that could affect his new rule. This will become clear if he allows the Russian and Iranian embassies to stay.

Let's be honest here, Syria fell and its allies didn't fight on its behalf because Syria abandoned the war and decided to surrender. They not trying to revive a dead body against its will and conceding the new rule will be seen positively.

Finally, in terms of relationship between the new Syrian state and Hezbullah, the war they fought a decade ago was for reasons that no longer are today and the situation is completely different.

While Hezbullah was stable in its beliefs and ideology, the rebels have changed faces and ideologies countless times, to where they are today.

Do they wish to cooperate on friendly bases, Hezbullah will cooperate. Do they wish to become a threat and aggress on Lebanon, Hezbullah will fight them if they cross into Lebanon.

The war with the Syrian rebels is a war between Muslims, where one become the aggressor and committed crimes. The war was just, and that war was not one to end the other. It is not on the same bases of the war against the Jews.

Syrians are the ones who will decide if they stay arrogant or extend a hand

Quran describes this well:
وَإِن طَائِفَتَانِ مِنَ الْمُؤْمِنِينَ اقْتَتَلُوا فَأَصْلِحُوا بَيْنَهُمَا ۖ فَإِن بَغَتْ إِحْدَاهُمَا عَلَى الْأُخْرَىٰ فَقَاتِلُوا الَّتِي تَبْغِي حَتَّىٰ تَفِيءَ إِلَىٰ أَمْرِ اللَّهِ ۚ فَإِن فَاءَتْ فَأَصْلِحُوا بَيْنَهُمَا بِالْعَدْلِ وَأَقْسِطُوا ۖ إِنَّ اللَّهَ يُحِبُّ الْمُقْسِطِينَ (9) إِنَّمَا الْمُؤْمِنُونَ إِخْوَةٌ فَأَصْلِحُوا بَيْنَ أَخَوَيْكُمْ ۚ وَاتَّقُوا اللَّهَ لَعَلَّكُمْ تُرْحَمُونَ (10)

❓Did Iran abandon Syria

No, no, and no. When people face such dramatic changes in events, they try to pin the failure on the others in order to justify and explain the situation to become at ease.

Iran didn't abandon Syria, nor did it abandon Gaza nor Lebanon. Who wants the Iranians to fight and die for his own causes, is not worth fighting for. You do not fight Iran's wars for Iran to fight alongside you.

Iran supports Gaza cause, Iran supports Lebanon's resistance, Iran supports Syria' then legitimate government.

I won't elaborate on this longer, it should be clear by now. As for True Promise 3, I mentioned it a few weeks ago and I'm glad they abstained.

Iran's survival and integrity in these times, are more important than retaliating and legitimizing a new widespread Israeli attack on Iran that can greatly affect it.

Iran is the spine of this nation, and it's safety and integrity is what will allow the people of Gaza and Lebanon and everywhere who want to stand on the right side of history to have someone to help him.

Trump's presidency and the Netanyahu's rolling record of achievements will only made them more bold in attacking Iran directly. Let Promise 3 happen when it needs to happen.

Finally, for Syrians who want to say their allies abandoned you, you are shortsighted. It was your leadership who decided to surrendered and give up, after failing to build a state after the war

I have no further questions on mind now to talk about, if I do I'll continue this format.

But for Lebanese, especially Shia, you have a great responsibility

- الله الله في نظم امركم
- الوحدة و التعاضض دعما للمحتاج بالبيئة
- التكاتف و دعم المقاومة الإسلامية وقراراتها. القيادة كانت شورى و الشورى قائمة
- حفظ دماء و مسيرة السيد بدعم قيادة الشيخ نعيم، الورع التقي المجاهد و المسدد بإذن الله
- حفظ الأمانة، حفظ المقاومة و كتم السر و محاربة الفساد
- الصبر و البصيرة و تطبيق تعليم سنن الله، من مفهوم نصر بدر لهزيمة احد ليوم السقيفة لكربلاء حتى الظهور
- اليقين بالله ووعده

السيد مرة قال، الله لا يعطي النصر لخليط. فلنكن مخلصين لله و رسوله و أولي الامر

السوريين وهم طالعين من بيت بشار

Literally saw a woman stealing plates from the Syrian presidential Palace and another stealing pants and shirts from Maher's office. They are looting everything.

حدا عرف مين هني شهداء بيت ليف مبارح؟

ليوم دبين رجال و مرأة

🇱🇧l🇮🇱 The IDF falsely claims to have attacked Hezbullah, and arrogantly claim they are operating in terms of the ceasefire.

Their attack today on Dibeen town murdered one man and one woman, and injured another woman.

Yesterday attack on Bet leaf murdered a family, including a woman and children

📰 The attack in Dibbine killed one woman and injured another. A man was also killed from the same house/family.

Women were not Hezullah fighters and obviously weren't what the IDF claimed about them attacking the jews in the last months.

Ffs this is clear violation of any ceasefire and never constitutes self-defense or foiling any attack. This is targeted assassination and aggression.

Today two deaths and yesterday six.

🇮🇷| Iranian FM Aragchi: Iran will continue support the resistance & Hezbollah

We’ve received guarantees in Syria that the embassy & consulate of Iran will be protected, and more importantly the shrines of Lady Sayyede Zainab & Hazrat Ruqyah will be protected & respected.

The attack on the embassy this morning was not done by the actual groups but by bystanders for looting purposes.

Iran’s position is to support the wishes of the Syrian people, but it is not easy to reach an agreement between all the different groups.

The resistance may have setbacks or undergo changes, like losing dear figures in Lebanon for example, but resistance continues.

@FotrosResistance

🇺🇸l🇮🇱 Today, the U.S announced attacking 75 locations in Syria allegedly targeting ISIS, who they surprisingly only found about today.

Israel attacked 100-150 times today only around Syria, degrading the states decaying AD systems and manufacturing.

🇮🇱 By occupying Mount Hermon and destroying strategic capabilities in Syria, Israel is signaling: we will never return to the containment and absorption of 6-October

❗️Since the ceasefire started in Lebanon, 7 Lebanese have been kidnapped by the Israeli army according to their media.

Today 2 civilians are confirmed. The other 5 are unknown, could be fighters that stayed behind and captured trying to leave. No details at all.

The IDF isn't transparent about these events, nor is it about the names of the fighters it captured during the war nor about the fate of the bodies. We know there is 1 (houla)+3 (faces blurred) +3 (aita)+amhaz.

Hezbullah is unable to conclude fates before a full Israeli withdrawal form the border villages and search for bodies.

The hope is, they are freed in a deal between Hamas and Israel. That's currently the only hope.

I'll elaborate thoroughly later on, but in brief:

Hezbullah will endure these 60 days to not give Israel any pretext to stay longer, claiming the threat was still there so deal failed. If Jews stay, Israel will be considered an occupation force and will be burdened both locally and internationally, legitimizing Hezbullah.

Hezbullah will give the Lebanese state and army the full task of maintaining peace and security in south Lebanon, obeying the ceasefire and building up its argument and rhetoric

Hezbullah needs to ensure that the war ends, because neither it nor Lebanon can afford a second wave now under these conditions. Hezbullah inshallah is recovering well, but we all know a war won't be the best outcome

So far Israel didn't hint about staying longer in Lebanon but neither did it try to start returning the settlers north. Jews are expected to leave by the end of January.

🇱🇧l🇮🇱 Israeli drone activity is reported in Nabatieh and Tyre governorates, violating the ceasefire and in grave aggression to Lebanon's sovereignty

No comments on the matter by the Lebanese army, unlike the IDF who keeps the settlers updated on hourly basis.

Here please understand that the situation is different from Gaza and Syria

Gaza is not a state that is recognized in the world, and Syria is a failed state that is now under a revolutionary transitional period and the long war made foreign powers treat it with no respect.

In other words, there is a reason why Netanyahu visited Gaza but didn't cross into Lebanon and won't into Syria. He is bound by some laws that he doesn't want to be seen stepping over.

In Lebanon, the state is friendly to the West and the U.S has allies (or pawns) in Lebanon. So this could all factor with a different approach and they could indeed withdraw.

But again, with Israel there is no constant, and their evil transcends norms. So well have to wait and see. It should be clear by mid-Jan-25

🗣 Gaegae in a new attack on Hezbullah and the discussion of a defense strategy:

"Some smart people are bringing up the "defensive strategy" again, but it's high overdue and not its time"

🗣 Kataeb party's Nadem Gemayel:

"Just as his big brother to Hezbullah in Damascus fell, they will reach a day when they also surrender weapons because they has no other choice."

🗣 Trying to project the events in Syria is a total collapse to Hezbullah and is now weak and vulnerable, MP Camille Chamoun:

"We will not prosecute anyone who was aligned with the Syrian regime. The important thing is that we rebuild the country and see how to return Lebanon to the Switzerland of the East, and this is a golden goal."

🗣 MP Salim Al-Sayegh, talking about a Western-Israeli axis:

"We are beginning to see a great victory for the freedom axis. We do not want to be neutral, we want to be with the freedom axis.

🗣 Lebanese Forces MP Richard Kouyoumjian:

"What do you care what Netanyahu says! He wants to create a new Middle East! Let him do it. I only care about my country."

🗣 Journalist: The first time Israel violated the agreement, was Hezbullah to blame?

🗣Lebanese Forces MP Razi al-Hajj: I don't want to be in the position of defending Israel, but what is the movement that Hezbullah is carrying out? There are movements on the ground under the pretext of returning home.

🗣 Former Minister May Chidiac:

"Israel can complain to the Americans regarding the Lebanese army. One of the officers may have pro-Hezbullah leanings"

They openly want to purge the Shia, and the biggiest Shia party in Lebanon from everything.