These are barely a few factors, won't mention the rest and won't mention the gaps in Hezbullah's performance.
These factors affected the intended results of Hezbullah's rockets and placed a heavy toll on Hezbullah's ground forces. Not only where this battle affected by these factors, but by the factors that we mentioned in one of the hyperlinked posts. From softening the border villages in a 1 year long support front that was never expected to last this long, to others.
These conditions in light of Israeli dominance, produced this shy victory where Hezbullah was unable to secure a position of strength and was forced into compromise in terms of ending the war to reduce the losses without establishing deterrence which will be risky in case the Israeli army doesn't abide by the conditions of the ceasefire and not only retreat but abstain from attacking Lebanon.
This weakened Hezbullah, who as further compromise by the fall of the state in Syria after Bachar al-Assad was sidelined.
I talked about Syria in a long thread, hyperlinked but I would note. Bachar was a good man, but failed to build a state was much weaker than portrayed and criminally negligent to uplift the country by fighting the rampant corrupt that decayed the foundation of the state and exposed it to all sins.
See, I don't think he just gave up and ran and I'm confident he was coup-ed. His generals stayed in Syria and are reconciling, his Prime Minister sat with al-Jolani the next day and some of the leaders already got Amnesty from both the 4th Division and NDF. Imagine and conclude. Else, nothing explains the collapse and his lack of media presence. It's not shame, it's beyond that.
Assad was holding a bag of sand, and someone took this bag away from him. The sand is something he cannot hold anymore. Regardless, the collapse of Syria has brought a new state whose current leader is warlord criminal but one who has good management skills and will be able to do some progress, however he is unlikely to play the role that Egypt's Morsi did and will likely siege Hezbullah in Lebanon from Iran. We'll know eventually. So now, after this war, at the worst possible time, Hezbullah lost access through the ground, noting that the airport never served as a path for weapons.
Hezbullah can produce a lot, but understand that production is complicated and needs raw material and machinery. They can get access to that, but some components need major military factories that cannot be created in years in Lebanon. This will be a great challenge.
Myself, I see it a blessing because Syria was compromised and this will help build self sufficiency. I do believe smuggling will continue, more discrete thus much safer. Idc let this "siege"' comfort Israel now so it ends the war in Lebanon and gives us some years of much needed peace
So now, this Axis lost Syria, the spine that kept the Axis attached. The axis lost Gaza, because the war has literally wiped the strip and has weakened Hamas into what I'd describe as a "manageable threat" for months now. The axis lost Hezbullah's leading initiative because it needs time to recover and rebuild
Now only Yemen and Iran are relatively in shape. Thus, one by one, the enemy weakened the axis. I'll explain on a later day why the axis wasn't and couldn't fight with one sword, aka fight simultaneously
The Israeli threats for Yemen are clear, and we should expect more Israeli attacks and assassinations. May they be safe and may the Jews be dammed and their efforts foiled
As for Iran, I'm glad they didn't do True Promise 3 because they were wise not to. It was a trap and they didn't fall into
Israel wanted them to retaliate, so they can get the pretext and so-called legitimacy from the corrupt west to launch another on Iran, one that this time was going to be much more wide scale and devasting. The attack was meant to seriously cause damage to Iran and set costs that aren't easily compensated for. Patience, for a better time because Iran understands its important to stay well, because they are the frame of the tent. (Continued) #admin
These factors affected the intended results of Hezbullah's rockets and placed a heavy toll on Hezbullah's ground forces. Not only where this battle affected by these factors, but by the factors that we mentioned in one of the hyperlinked posts. From softening the border villages in a 1 year long support front that was never expected to last this long, to others.
These conditions in light of Israeli dominance, produced this shy victory where Hezbullah was unable to secure a position of strength and was forced into compromise in terms of ending the war to reduce the losses without establishing deterrence which will be risky in case the Israeli army doesn't abide by the conditions of the ceasefire and not only retreat but abstain from attacking Lebanon.
This weakened Hezbullah, who as further compromise by the fall of the state in Syria after Bachar al-Assad was sidelined.
I talked about Syria in a long thread, hyperlinked but I would note. Bachar was a good man, but failed to build a state was much weaker than portrayed and criminally negligent to uplift the country by fighting the rampant corrupt that decayed the foundation of the state and exposed it to all sins.
See, I don't think he just gave up and ran and I'm confident he was coup-ed. His generals stayed in Syria and are reconciling, his Prime Minister sat with al-Jolani the next day and some of the leaders already got Amnesty from both the 4th Division and NDF. Imagine and conclude. Else, nothing explains the collapse and his lack of media presence. It's not shame, it's beyond that.
Assad was holding a bag of sand, and someone took this bag away from him. The sand is something he cannot hold anymore. Regardless, the collapse of Syria has brought a new state whose current leader is warlord criminal but one who has good management skills and will be able to do some progress, however he is unlikely to play the role that Egypt's Morsi did and will likely siege Hezbullah in Lebanon from Iran. We'll know eventually. So now, after this war, at the worst possible time, Hezbullah lost access through the ground, noting that the airport never served as a path for weapons.
Hezbullah can produce a lot, but understand that production is complicated and needs raw material and machinery. They can get access to that, but some components need major military factories that cannot be created in years in Lebanon. This will be a great challenge.
Myself, I see it a blessing because Syria was compromised and this will help build self sufficiency. I do believe smuggling will continue, more discrete thus much safer. Idc let this "siege"' comfort Israel now so it ends the war in Lebanon and gives us some years of much needed peace
So now, this Axis lost Syria, the spine that kept the Axis attached. The axis lost Gaza, because the war has literally wiped the strip and has weakened Hamas into what I'd describe as a "manageable threat" for months now. The axis lost Hezbullah's leading initiative because it needs time to recover and rebuild
Now only Yemen and Iran are relatively in shape. Thus, one by one, the enemy weakened the axis. I'll explain on a later day why the axis wasn't and couldn't fight with one sword, aka fight simultaneously
The Israeli threats for Yemen are clear, and we should expect more Israeli attacks and assassinations. May they be safe and may the Jews be dammed and their efforts foiled
As for Iran, I'm glad they didn't do True Promise 3 because they were wise not to. It was a trap and they didn't fall into
Israel wanted them to retaliate, so they can get the pretext and so-called legitimacy from the corrupt west to launch another on Iran, one that this time was going to be much more wide scale and devasting. The attack was meant to seriously cause damage to Iran and set costs that aren't easily compensated for. Patience, for a better time because Iran understands its important to stay well, because they are the frame of the tent. (Continued) #admin
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This is why I said Iran is next, because if Iran is well, everyone can regenerate but if Iran falls in the western hands like pre-1979 everyone will fall and those remaining non-state actors will lose their ability to impact.
Let's be clear, all non-state across and insurgencies nowadays are at a disadvantage against states, and unless they have the backing of one, the (enemy) state will always triumph or at least continue to successfully suppress. It was the Lebanese faith and courage that led to the liberation, but it was Iran's training and weapons that gave these men the tools to turn this faith into action. Etc. you get it.
Israel is now high over the victory it sees in Gaza and Lebanon, ecstatic over the collapse in Syria and hopes to have a conflict with Iran that can end all wars. It's like how everyone thought WW2 is the war to end all wars. With Trump, Netanyahu has the enabling and backing, and they will both pressure Iran economically, socially, and military wise.
It's a big challenge. I find it remarkable too that despite these challenges, God chose to take the life of the supposed successor of both Imam Khamenie and Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah. As if he chose to make this challenge on the highest difficultly.
Finally, this is the New Middle East in the forming. Failed in 2006, attempted in 2011, and made a breakthrough in 2024.
Sheikh Naim Qassem acknowledged this new reality when he said: Hezbullah foiled the news middle east from emerging from the gates of Lebanon. As in, the New Middle east wasn't/ won't be shaped starting by the fall of Lebanon but it has emerged and we are now in the storm. A middle east were the Axis of those anti-Israel are at weakness and the West and their allies are at their height again.
It's a storm where you have to survive until better conditions emerge, and during that all comprise without affecting your ideals and goals and during which build yourself by closing the gaps both socially and military wise. There is a lot of innovation needed, a lot of lessons to dirive, and a lot of precautions.
I pray to God to lead our leadership and guide them to the correct decisions and shield them from threats and lighten their minds to what's needed. The leadership from top to bottom.
Being far, or outside or not part, let's you see things differently. I don't know if what you think should be done is something they know and do and you don't know about, or they don't see because the experience and overview is different. Regardless, full faith in Hezbullah, yesterday..in the present, and in the future. (end) #admin
Let's be clear, all non-state across and insurgencies nowadays are at a disadvantage against states, and unless they have the backing of one, the (enemy) state will always triumph or at least continue to successfully suppress. It was the Lebanese faith and courage that led to the liberation, but it was Iran's training and weapons that gave these men the tools to turn this faith into action. Etc. you get it.
Israel is now high over the victory it sees in Gaza and Lebanon, ecstatic over the collapse in Syria and hopes to have a conflict with Iran that can end all wars. It's like how everyone thought WW2 is the war to end all wars. With Trump, Netanyahu has the enabling and backing, and they will both pressure Iran economically, socially, and military wise.
It's a big challenge. I find it remarkable too that despite these challenges, God chose to take the life of the supposed successor of both Imam Khamenie and Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah. As if he chose to make this challenge on the highest difficultly.
Finally, this is the New Middle East in the forming. Failed in 2006, attempted in 2011, and made a breakthrough in 2024.
Sheikh Naim Qassem acknowledged this new reality when he said: Hezbullah foiled the news middle east from emerging from the gates of Lebanon. As in, the New Middle east wasn't/ won't be shaped starting by the fall of Lebanon but it has emerged and we are now in the storm. A middle east were the Axis of those anti-Israel are at weakness and the West and their allies are at their height again.
It's a storm where you have to survive until better conditions emerge, and during that all comprise without affecting your ideals and goals and during which build yourself by closing the gaps both socially and military wise. There is a lot of innovation needed, a lot of lessons to dirive, and a lot of precautions.
I pray to God to lead our leadership and guide them to the correct decisions and shield them from threats and lighten their minds to what's needed. The leadership from top to bottom.
Being far, or outside or not part, let's you see things differently. I don't know if what you think should be done is something they know and do and you don't know about, or they don't see because the experience and overview is different. Regardless, full faith in Hezbullah, yesterday..in the present, and in the future. (end) #admin
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Media is too big
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🇱🇧l🇮🇱 Part of the report by 60 Minutes about the Mossad's terrorist sabotage attack through the pagers in Lebanon.
(I didn't watch it, it will contain both facts and propaganda) @LebUpdate
(I didn't watch it, it will contain both facts and propaganda) @LebUpdate
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🥀 The pager attack was designed in a way to severely injure both the eyes and hand, but not necessarily kill.
The attacks injured and killed countless civilians, including children and women. The attack was indiscriminate in nature and a terrorist act, as killing combatants during peace time and not during conflict is a war crime.
Photo of 3 young kids who lost their eyes and hands as a result of the pager attack, while at home. @LebUpdate
The attacks injured and killed countless civilians, including children and women. The attack was indiscriminate in nature and a terrorist act, as killing combatants during peace time and not during conflict is a war crime.
Photo of 3 young kids who lost their eyes and hands as a result of the pager attack, while at home. @LebUpdate
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🎄To all those who celebrate, Wishing you and your family health, happiness, peace and prosperity this Christmas.
May we celebrate in Jerusalem!
May we celebrate in Jerusalem!
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🇸🇾 In his first official statement, the Syrian Minister of Foreign affairs attacked Iran:
"iran must respect the will of the Syrian people, the country's sovereignty and its safety, and we warn them against spreading chaos in Syria and hold them responsible for the consequences of their recent statements."
"iran must respect the will of the Syrian people, the country's sovereignty and its safety, and we warn them against spreading chaos in Syria and hold them responsible for the consequences of their recent statements."
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🇸🇾 The Syrian Minister didn't issue a statement yet about:
1- The U.S. occupation of eastern Syria and Tanf
2- The new Israeli occupation of parts of southern Syria and the ongoing Israeli operation inside Syria. Literally invading towns and confiscating weapons, etc
3- The previous Israeli airstrikes, including inside Damascus
Etc etc...
1- The U.S. occupation of eastern Syria and Tanf
2- The new Israeli occupation of parts of southern Syria and the ongoing Israeli operation inside Syria. Literally invading towns and confiscating weapons, etc
3- The previous Israeli airstrikes, including inside Damascus
Etc etc...
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❗️West Bank: During an IDF operation in the area of Tulkarem, a "David" APC was hit by an explosive device.
The Commanding Officer of the Judea and Samaria Division, Brigadier General Yaki Dolf, and the Commander of the Menashe Regional Brigade, Col. Ayub Kayouf, were in the vehicle.
The Commander of the Menashe Regional Brigade was moderately injured and was evacuated to receive medical treatment. @LebUpdate
The Commanding Officer of the Judea and Samaria Division, Brigadier General Yaki Dolf, and the Commander of the Menashe Regional Brigade, Col. Ayub Kayouf, were in the vehicle.
The Commander of the Menashe Regional Brigade was moderately injured and was evacuated to receive medical treatment. @LebUpdate
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Regarding this photo and this person, here is what actually happened according to the journalist Ahmad Yassine
تعليقاً على نشر احد المواطنين تشيك بقيمة ٢١٥$ كبدل ترميم لمنزله المتضرر جراء العدوان، مدعياً ان الترميم بحاجة الى آلاف الدولارات. اعاد مهندسو جهاد البناء الكشف على المنزل واتضح انه لم يتضرر مطلقاً سوى بعض الطلاء على جدار في المنزل والمبلغ المصروف يعادل قيمة الترميم واكثر.
تعليقاً على نشر احد المواطنين تشيك بقيمة ٢١٥$ كبدل ترميم لمنزله المتضرر جراء العدوان، مدعياً ان الترميم بحاجة الى آلاف الدولارات. اعاد مهندسو جهاد البناء الكشف على المنزل واتضح انه لم يتضرر مطلقاً سوى بعض الطلاء على جدار في المنزل والمبلغ المصروف يعادل قيمة الترميم واكثر.
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❗️ Overnight it seems that Hezbullah attempted to shoot down an Israeli drone over Beqaa valley, and then an Israeli jet bombed the location.
No further details. This location is north of the Litani, so the Israeli army was in violation of being there and Hezbullah didn't violate by engaging the drone.
Unfortunately, people never learned and shared a video of the launch towards the drone.
This is the first Israeli attack in Beqaa/Baalbek since the ceasefire started. @LebUpdate
No further details. This location is north of the Litani, so the Israeli army was in violation of being there and Hezbullah didn't violate by engaging the drone.
Unfortunately, people never learned and shared a video of the launch towards the drone.
This is the first Israeli attack in Beqaa/Baalbek since the ceasefire started. @LebUpdate
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❗️ Armed Israeli drone activity is reported over Beirut and other Lebanese cities.
The presence of these drones is a violation of of Lebanon's sovereignty, the ceasefire, and the 1701 UN resolution. @LebUpdate
The presence of these drones is a violation of of Lebanon's sovereignty, the ceasefire, and the 1701 UN resolution. @LebUpdate
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Lebanese News and Updates
🥀 The Lebanese army is currently searching for 9 Hezbullah martyrs, who are still missing from Khiyam town.
📰 Yesterday, 3 of the 9 martyrs have been found in Khiyam town. Search continues for the rest
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🇱🇧 Lebanese officials started to voice concerns that the Jews won't leave the border villages nor the towns they advanced towards during the ceasefire. @LebUpdate
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📰 So far, the Jewish enemy has not issued a statement yet about:
- Overnight's attack on a valley in Baalbek
- The drone strike in Taybeh village that killed and injured 3 two days ago
And many other drone strikes that killed or didn't.
You'd assume if he wants to stay in Lebanon, they would cover these in detail and continue to incite to justify their actions.
- Overnight's attack on a valley in Baalbek
- The drone strike in Taybeh village that killed and injured 3 two days ago
And many other drone strikes that killed or didn't.
You'd assume if he wants to stay in Lebanon, they would cover these in detail and continue to incite to justify their actions.
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