Lebanese News and Updates – Telegram
Lebanese News and Updates
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Covering Lebanon and occasionally MENA's conflicts. And currently, the war in Palestine.
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Talking in very brief, the Axis of the resistance was a group of countries and non-state actors that agreed to set any possible differences aside and joint efforts to strengthen each other for the sake of preserving themselves under the flag of being those who are today willing to fight the Israeli occupation and build a force that can detter threats and make a difference.

There was no treaty, or a union. There were was no overall commander or one path for all. There was mutual understanding of a will to cooperate and produce results.

This is about Iran, Yemen, and Syria as states, Hezbullah, Hamas, PIJ, and the Iraqi resistance as non-state actors.

Anything other was a small player and has minimalist to no impact. People used to show of 2 dozen different symbols of groups, but those were nothing but names with less then 2 dozen people.

Each had their own domestic issues, their own plans, their own oversight. Neither Iran had a say in what Syria does, nor had Hezbullah a say in what Hamas does. Hamas was the most rogue, Hezbullah was the most senior, Ansrallah was the most shining example, and Syria was the most independent of all. Syria had its own identity, so did Iran, so did Hamas, etc.

Despite all that, there was sincere cooperation between all, based on the common path that what affects one affects all and there is a moral obligation to help another. Everyone of them wanted the best for the other.

Setting Syria as a state aside, those who form the Axis weren't born out of strength or might.

Hezbullah was born small and weak and gradually become what it was on 6-Oct, Hamas was born small and weak, etc etc.

They took decades facing superpowers to reach the glorious days of liberation, and force the enemy to submit to their demand. Yemen's Ansrallah were always persecuted and only after 2015 did they rise to power and the war was against a large coalition which only ended a few years ago. Iran, has been under immense and devasting sanctions. And so on..

So the Axis was born, as the saying says from under the ash to burn the occupation and those who led the coalition of oppression. And only bit by bit did they expand and grow, to the power that they were and what the enemy described it.

But as they grew, vulnerabilities grew and the type of enemies changed and the conflicts between 2011-2018 set a toll on all. Their growth was correlated with the threat, and wasn't independent of it. This should be clear, and the timeline indicates so.

And all of them, fought an enemy that was much greater in terms of manpower and military advantages. Iran was fighting in some terms the most powerful empire in the history of the world, US. Hezbullah was fighting Israel, with its mighty army and so on. Ansarllah fought the kingdom of Saudi Arabia and its local subjects and a coalition of 20+ countries.

They all won battles and war through patience, faith in good, and sacrifice and forced the enemy into defeated by making it lose the will to fight and making it concede to their demands. The will to fight and the futility to continue the war, is through what they always won.

It is a resistance, where the weaker rise against the bigger 'evil' foe.

When Hezbullah liberated south Lebanon in 2000 or won in 2006, they won by forcing the Israeli enemy to give in and making it lose its will to fight. Will is what makes a difference, no matter how weak or strong you are. Those wars ended and Israel still existed and its army were not severely damaged.

Yemen won the war through the same conditions, forcing Saudi Arabia to lose the will to fight and raising the risk of strategic losses (Aramco, etc). The war ended and Saudi Arabia is now intact, and its power is growing.

Understand what I mean here? I'm not making those victories cheap, on the contrary. They are grand glorious victories because the "weaker" triumphed over the "greater".

I'm not relying on this reasoning because we today are facing mishaps, but because this is how it was and is. The fight against the West or East is hard. (Continued) #admin
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For this to be clear, you have to understand things in pure military terms. But this doesn't mean I'm tackling this from a materialistic terms, because it was the faith, patience and pure hearted and honest work that brought the past and inshallah the future victories. It was what made the eye defeat the needle.

So don't listen to defeats, don't accept them and make them outcasts. Don't listen to those telling you that we are a minority and we should let the sunni majority either live up to their role or let them stay idle. We work based on what's right, and God has on various occasions talked about how a small group defeated another by being true to God and his rules.

What I'm tackling here is the naked truth, and through which strength shouldn't be created to nullifying the materialistic gap and advance the resistance to produce more victories aided by the faith and honesty.

In terms of military might, modern warfare has grew to become very lethal and although there were no breakthroughs in the past 2 decades, technology has filled many gaps that used to give the resistance a rare advantage under a set of conditions.

These technological advances weren't FPVs or drones alone, I'll be back to that. They were a collection of things in various sectors, and I'll tackle them for the case of Hezbullah's recent war.

I didn't have the chance to talk to anyone from them nor do I have an insight on their experiences in this war, let's say so...but some of the new obstacles were. This will not include intelligence collection or spies:

1- Better Israeli radars that gave fairly accurate location of launch sites, which allowed the Israeli airforce to engage Hezbullah faster and more accurately.

I watched a video from 2006, of a Hezbullah rocket launcher firing from the woods. First a jet attacked it, it missed. A second time. It missed. On the third time, a drone attacked it and it was finally successful.

I also heard about a launcher that survived the whole war, firing almost daily from the same place. And another, that was attacked and killed the crew. I remember the Martyr's hand.

But today, in this war, this accuracy has been costly, and the Israeli army was able to engage launcher relatively fast and much more accurately. This neutralized re-usability and has threatened the crews. Although I note that drones weren't as successful in foiling the launching beforehand and in the majority of cases attacked the launchers after they are done. This s due to the lack of drone coverage and great concealment by Hezbullah.

2- The Iron dome, it was an effective tool that could only be defeated in suppression barrages that Hezbullah was unable to produce in this war and was only able to fire as much daily as in 2006 when there was none. Won't explain why now, probably did at some point.

3- Better Israeli close air support that was very poor in 2006, that was able to effectively and within 7-15 minutes attack what the ground forces needed.

This played a very instrumental role and made a difference in this war. And this was not only enabled by better training, but by the adoption of small commerical drones that allowed the soldiers to track Hezbullah fighters in gunfire and clashes and direct airstrikes from safety.

So not only was the Israeli plans much better than in 2006, in terms of avoiding mistakes and threats (helicopters, behind enemy line landings, exposing tanks to threats, rushing and not clearing areas), they closed the gaps and ensured safety over anything.

Some would call it being cowards, but that's BS. It really doesn't matter, the goal is to win and ensure lives are not lost. So not only in this war would they attack an area with jets and drones, every house would targeted by a rocket and a team will send small drones to inspect the house beforehand. On many occasions, suicide drones.

And other drones would track fighters, trail them, and call air support to murder them and end the fight then and there safely. (Continued) #admin
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These are barely a few factors, won't mention the rest and won't mention the gaps in Hezbullah's performance.

These factors affected the intended results of Hezbullah's rockets and placed a heavy toll on Hezbullah's ground forces. Not only where this battle affected by these factors, but by the factors that we mentioned in one of the hyperlinked posts. From softening the border villages in a 1 year long support front that was never expected to last this long, to others.

These conditions in light of Israeli dominance, produced this shy victory where Hezbullah was unable to secure a position of strength and was forced into compromise in terms of ending the war to reduce the losses without establishing deterrence which will be risky in case the Israeli army doesn't abide by the conditions of the ceasefire and not only retreat but abstain from attacking Lebanon.

This weakened Hezbullah, who as further compromise by the fall of the state in Syria after Bachar al-Assad was sidelined.

I talked about Syria in a long thread, hyperlinked but I would note. Bachar was a good man, but failed to build a state was much weaker than portrayed and criminally negligent to uplift the country by fighting the rampant corrupt that decayed the foundation of the state and exposed it to all sins.

See, I don't think he just gave up and ran and I'm confident he was coup-ed. His generals stayed in Syria and are reconciling, his Prime Minister sat with al-Jolani the next day and some of the leaders already got Amnesty from both the 4th Division and NDF. Imagine and conclude. Else, nothing explains the collapse and his lack of media presence. It's not shame, it's beyond that.

Assad was holding a bag of sand, and someone took this bag away from him. The sand is something he cannot hold anymore. Regardless, the collapse of Syria has brought a new state whose current leader is warlord criminal but one who has good management skills and will be able to do some progress, however he is unlikely to play the role that Egypt's Morsi did and will likely siege Hezbullah in Lebanon from Iran. We'll know eventually. So now, after this war, at the worst possible time, Hezbullah lost access through the ground, noting that the airport never served as a path for weapons.

Hezbullah can produce a lot, but understand that production is complicated and needs raw material and machinery. They can get access to that, but some components need major military factories that cannot be created in years in Lebanon. This will be a great challenge.

Myself, I see it a blessing because Syria was compromised and this will help build self sufficiency. I do believe smuggling will continue, more discrete thus much safer. Idc let this "siege"' comfort Israel now so it ends the war in Lebanon and gives us some years of much needed peace

So now, this Axis lost Syria, the spine that kept the Axis attached. The axis lost Gaza, because the war has literally wiped the strip and has weakened Hamas into what I'd describe as a "manageable threat" for months now. The axis lost Hezbullah's leading initiative because it needs time to recover and rebuild

Now only Yemen and Iran are relatively in shape. Thus, one by one, the enemy weakened the axis. I'll explain on a later day why the axis wasn't and couldn't fight with one sword, aka fight simultaneously

The Israeli threats for Yemen are clear, and we should expect more Israeli attacks and assassinations. May they be safe and may the Jews be dammed and their efforts foiled

As for Iran, I'm glad they didn't do True Promise 3 because they were wise not to. It was a trap and they didn't fall into

Israel wanted them to retaliate, so they can get the pretext and so-called legitimacy from the corrupt west to launch another on Iran, one that this time was going to be much more wide scale and devasting. The attack was meant to seriously cause damage to Iran and set costs that aren't easily compensated for. Patience, for a better time because Iran understands its important to stay well, because they are the frame of the tent. (Continued) #admin
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This is why I said Iran is next, because if Iran is well, everyone can regenerate but if Iran falls in the western hands like pre-1979 everyone will fall and those remaining non-state actors will lose their ability to impact.

Let's be clear, all non-state across and insurgencies nowadays are at a disadvantage against states, and unless they have the backing of one, the (enemy) state will always triumph or at least continue to successfully suppress. It was the Lebanese faith and courage that led to the liberation, but it was Iran's training and weapons that gave these men the tools to turn this faith into action. Etc. you get it.

Israel is now high over the victory it sees in Gaza and Lebanon, ecstatic over the collapse in Syria and hopes to have a conflict with Iran that can end all wars. It's like how everyone thought WW2 is the war to end all wars. With Trump, Netanyahu has the enabling and backing, and they will both pressure Iran economically, socially, and military wise.

It's a big challenge. I find it remarkable too that despite these challenges, God chose to take the life of the supposed successor of both Imam Khamenie and Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah. As if he chose to make this challenge on the highest difficultly.

Finally, this is the New Middle East in the forming. Failed in 2006, attempted in 2011, and made a breakthrough in 2024.

Sheikh Naim Qassem acknowledged this new reality when he said: Hezbullah foiled the news middle east from emerging from the gates of Lebanon. As in, the New Middle east wasn't/ won't be shaped starting by the fall of Lebanon but it has emerged and we are now in the storm. A middle east were the Axis of those anti-Israel are at weakness and the West and their allies are at their height again.

It's a storm where you have to survive until better conditions emerge, and during that all comprise without affecting your ideals and goals and during which build yourself by closing the gaps both socially and military wise. There is a lot of innovation needed, a lot of lessons to dirive, and a lot of precautions.

I pray to God to lead our leadership and guide them to the correct decisions and shield them from threats and lighten their minds to what's needed. The leadership from top to bottom.

Being far, or outside or not part, let's you see things differently. I don't know if what you think should be done is something they know and do and you don't know about, or they don't see because the experience and overview is different. Regardless, full faith in Hezbullah, yesterday..in the present, and in the future. (end) #admin
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Sorry for the long post...

BUT DO READ IT ALL. I DIDN'T SIT THIS LONG FOR NOTHING
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🇱🇧l🇮🇱 Part of the report by 60 Minutes about the Mossad's terrorist sabotage attack through the pagers in Lebanon.

(I didn't watch it, it will contain both facts and propaganda) @LebUpdate
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🥀 The pager attack was designed in a way to severely injure both the eyes and hand, but not necessarily kill.

The attacks injured and killed countless civilians, including children and women. The attack was indiscriminate in nature and a terrorist act, as killing combatants during peace time and not during conflict is a war crime.

Photo of 3 young kids who lost their eyes and hands as a result of the pager attack, while at home. @LebUpdate
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🥀 One of the injured children in the sabotage attack
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🥀 A lot of wives and sisters too. May God provide them with patience in this life, and the most generous heavens in the eternal existence.
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استشهد سيد محسن، الله في الساحة
استشهد عبدالقادر، الله في الساحة
استشهد أبو الفضل، الله في الساحة
استشهد السيد صفي الدين، الله في الساحة
استشهد السيد نصرالله، الله في الساحة

وطالما أنّ الله في الساحة سيظلّ يمدّنا بالرجال الرجال. وسنبقى منتصرين، بمبايعة الرجال!
لكَ البيعة يا نعيمنا القاسم🤍
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🎄To all those who celebrate, Wishing you and your family health, happiness, peace and prosperity this Christmas.

May we celebrate in Jerusalem!
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🇸🇾 In his first official statement, the Syrian Minister of Foreign affairs attacked Iran:

"iran must respect the will of the Syrian people, the country's sovereignty and its safety, and we warn them against spreading chaos in Syria and hold them responsible for the consequences of their recent statements."
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🇸🇾 The Syrian Minister didn't issue a statement yet about:

1- The U.S. occupation of eastern Syria and Tanf

2- The new Israeli occupation of parts of southern Syria and the ongoing Israeli operation inside Syria. Literally invading towns and confiscating weapons, etc

3- The previous Israeli airstrikes, including inside Damascus

Etc etc...
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❗️West Bank: During an IDF operation in the area of Tulkarem, a "David" APC was hit by an explosive device.

The Commanding Officer of the Judea and Samaria Division, Brigadier General Yaki Dolf, and the Commander of the Menashe Regional Brigade, Col. Ayub Kayouf, were in the vehicle.

The Commander of the Menashe Regional Brigade was moderately injured and was evacuated to receive medical treatment. @LebUpdate
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Regarding this photo and this person, here is what actually happened according to the journalist Ahmad Yassine

تعليقاً على نشر احد المواطنين تشيك بقيمة ٢١٥$ كبدل ترميم لمنزله المتضرر جراء العدوان، مدعياً ان الترميم بحاجة الى آلاف الدولارات. اعاد مهندسو جهاد البناء الكشف على المنزل واتضح انه لم يتضرر مطلقاً سوى بعض الطلاء على جدار في المنزل والمبلغ المصروف يعادل قيمة الترميم واكثر.
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❗️ Overnight it seems that Hezbullah attempted to shoot down an Israeli drone over Beqaa valley, and then an Israeli jet bombed the location.

No further details. This location is north of the Litani, so the Israeli army was in violation of being there and Hezbullah didn't violate by engaging the drone.

Unfortunately, people never learned and shared a video of the launch towards the drone.

This is the first Israeli attack in Beqaa/Baalbek since the ceasefire started. @LebUpdate
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❗️ Armed Israeli drone activity is reported over Beirut and other Lebanese cities.

The presence of these drones is a violation of of Lebanon's sovereignty, the ceasefire, and the 1701 UN resolution. @LebUpdate
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Lebanese News and Updates
🥀 The Lebanese army is currently searching for 9 Hezbullah martyrs, who are still missing from Khiyam town.
📰 Yesterday, 3 of the 9 martyrs have been found in Khiyam town. Search continues for the rest
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🇱🇧 Lebanese officials started to voice concerns that the Jews won't leave the border villages nor the towns they advanced towards during the ceasefire. @LebUpdate
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📰 Emirates extends cancellation of flights to and from Beirut until January 15, 2025
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