Lebanese News and Updates
❗️ Several Israeli bombs were dropped on a building in south Lebanon
📸 Civil defense working on the site to extinguish the fire
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❗️New Israeli airstrikes in Al-Azziyeh valley
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❗️ Alleged reports that IDF helicopters dug deep in Lebanon and are attacking
This didn't even happen in the war!
This didn't even happen in the war!
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📹 From the attack on Wadi Hassan
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What I find interesting is:
- What the IDF knows about and attacks now in peacetime ensures that Hezbullah loses it
- But Hezbullah losing it now ensures that Hezbullah doesn't assume they have it to use in war then lose it on the first day of the war
- and that Hezbullah can know what's being exposed in real time, so they can know what's actually not attacked is secret and safe and can be relied on and what are the gaps to learn from
But then, what if the IDF is not attacking everything they know about and keeping some to track progress and attack when progress is more
It's really a no one knows dilemma
- What the IDF knows about and attacks now in peacetime ensures that Hezbullah loses it
- But Hezbullah losing it now ensures that Hezbullah doesn't assume they have it to use in war then lose it on the first day of the war
- and that Hezbullah can know what's being exposed in real time, so they can know what's actually not attacked is secret and safe and can be relied on and what are the gaps to learn from
But then, what if the IDF is not attacking everything they know about and keeping some to track progress and attack when progress is more
It's really a no one knows dilemma
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True but remember, drones are 24/7 over you
The areas of forests are known in Lebanon
Where can Hezbullah even hide anymore and camouflage. You cannot use the same place for 40+ years
This is why Hezbullah needs a new doctrine to its warfare, a new unorthodox and unprecedented one in battle and conflict.
What was before, what worked before had one last chance to work and it all went the wind in the last war because of the sabotage and security failure.
It was one golden chance to prove the worth of a certain warfare doctrine. Done.
What's next? This is why I hope why Hezbullah is being patient and allowing itself to learn, adapt, understand tackle etc
https://news.1rj.ru/str/LebUpdate/52594?comment=1332027
The areas of forests are known in Lebanon
Where can Hezbullah even hide anymore and camouflage. You cannot use the same place for 40+ years
This is why Hezbullah needs a new doctrine to its warfare, a new unorthodox and unprecedented one in battle and conflict.
What was before, what worked before had one last chance to work and it all went the wind in the last war because of the sabotage and security failure.
It was one golden chance to prove the worth of a certain warfare doctrine. Done.
What's next? This is why I hope why Hezbullah is being patient and allowing itself to learn, adapt, understand tackle etc
https://news.1rj.ru/str/LebUpdate/52594?comment=1332027
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Fadel in Lebanese News and Updates Chat
Admin...I hope you know that what they're losing today was considered safe and secret yesterday
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Hezbullah already extended its arm. Syrians said fuck off.
The Syrians are in a different camp and they don't want you. They aren't working based on an Islamist anti Israeli doctrine
The Syrian leadership is here to replicate the Sadam modus operandi. Remember this well in a few years then say Mr. Admin was right
They want:
- Good ties with the west like what Saddam had
- Then do Saddam shit after they become strong and able
Attack Israel? Invade Lebanon? Anything.
It's how sunnis work when in leadership. They worship the throne and then let ego control them to become "liberators" and conquerors.
https://news.1rj.ru/str/LebUpdate/52595?comment=1332067
The Syrians are in a different camp and they don't want you. They aren't working based on an Islamist anti Israeli doctrine
The Syrian leadership is here to replicate the Sadam modus operandi. Remember this well in a few years then say Mr. Admin was right
They want:
- Good ties with the west like what Saddam had
- Then do Saddam shit after they become strong and able
Attack Israel? Invade Lebanon? Anything.
It's how sunnis work when in leadership. They worship the throne and then let ego control them to become "liberators" and conquerors.
https://news.1rj.ru/str/LebUpdate/52595?comment=1332067
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cleanchip in Lebanese News and Updates Chat
This is why, 6 months ago, I was saying it's kind of essential to build links to new Syria, even if you disagree with them on everything.
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They do, it'll help with drones.
I genuinely don't understand how Hezbullah failed and didn't use the 358 anti drone missiles.
I didn't expect Hezbullah to shoot jets, but God I expected a lot more drones. They had the tech, the knowledge, and the weapon.
What went wrong? Denying the IDF the big drones is an important game changer.
Jets? You are never going to overcome them. Just how it is for small non state actors and militias.
Any war with them is going to be destructive as we have seen
https://news.1rj.ru/str/LebUpdate/52596?comment=1332084
I genuinely don't understand how Hezbullah failed and didn't use the 358 anti drone missiles.
I didn't expect Hezbullah to shoot jets, but God I expected a lot more drones. They had the tech, the knowledge, and the weapon.
What went wrong? Denying the IDF the big drones is an important game changer.
Jets? You are never going to overcome them. Just how it is for small non state actors and militias.
Any war with them is going to be destructive as we have seen
https://news.1rj.ru/str/LebUpdate/52596?comment=1332084
Telegram
cleanchip in Lebanese News and Updates Chat
Then, the best course of independent action is for Iran to develop new modular MANPADs to be developed, which can:
• mostly be manufactured locally (big tube sections)
• small critical tech parts easily smuggled by drone flight over Syria
• deny drone flights…
• mostly be manufactured locally (big tube sections)
• small critical tech parts easily smuggled by drone flight over Syria
• deny drone flights…
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Issue is, the circumstances of what this war took place in
Devastated any possible rational analysis that can be made
We cannot say why X happened, because we simply don't know Y condition
We know Hezbullah had Sayyed-2 anti Jet air defense that went boom in Sidon area
But did Hezbullah have only one system only? Can't be.
Maybe 358 was available but no one to use it? Maybe stored somewhere they couldn't access anymore?
It's all maybe. Hezbullah could know. Im confident they will do a review.
All I care about? Is seeing them on their feet again and capable..
F lethal and able. But I'll be honest and I told a friend once, it felt since day one..there was a lack of توفيق
Something was not right. It proved right
It is what it is man. It is what it is
Devastated any possible rational analysis that can be made
We cannot say why X happened, because we simply don't know Y condition
We know Hezbullah had Sayyed-2 anti Jet air defense that went boom in Sidon area
But did Hezbullah have only one system only? Can't be.
Maybe 358 was available but no one to use it? Maybe stored somewhere they couldn't access anymore?
It's all maybe. Hezbullah could know. Im confident they will do a review.
All I care about? Is seeing them on their feet again and capable..
F lethal and able. But I'll be honest and I told a friend once, it felt since day one..there was a lack of توفيق
Something was not right. It proved right
It is what it is man. It is what it is
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Can't see secondaries in these valleys so far tbh.
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The Iranian embassy in Lebanon was the only one to condemn the attacks
Quoted: The Embassy of the Islamic Republic of Iran strongly condemns the aggressive Israeli raids on southern Lebanon, which is a flagrant violation of the sovereignty of this brotherly country, and is part of a systematic revenge policy towards Lebanon and its people. The continuation of such attacks warrants immediate and effective international action to stop them and put an end to them
Quoted: The Embassy of the Islamic Republic of Iran strongly condemns the aggressive Israeli raids on southern Lebanon, which is a flagrant violation of the sovereignty of this brotherly country, and is part of a systematic revenge policy towards Lebanon and its people. The continuation of such attacks warrants immediate and effective international action to stop them and put an end to them
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