📹 From the attack on Wadi Hassan

What I find interesting is:

- What the IDF knows about and attacks now in peacetime ensures that Hezbullah loses it

- But Hezbullah losing it now ensures that Hezbullah doesn't assume they have it to use in war then lose it on the first day of the war

- and that Hezbullah can know what's being exposed in real time, so they can know what's actually not attacked is secret and safe and can be relied on and what are the gaps to learn from

But then, what if the IDF is not attacking everything they know about and keeping some to track progress and attack when progress is more

It's really a no one knows dilemma

True but remember, drones are 24/7 over you

The areas of forests are known in Lebanon

Where can Hezbullah even hide anymore and camouflage. You cannot use the same place for 40+ years

This is why Hezbullah needs a new doctrine to its warfare, a new unorthodox and unprecedented one in battle and conflict.

What was before, what worked before had one last chance to work and it all went the wind in the last war because of the sabotage and security failure.

It was one golden chance to prove the worth of a certain warfare doctrine. Done.

What's next? This is why I hope why Hezbullah is being patient and allowing itself to learn, adapt, understand tackle etc

https://news.1rj.ru/str/LebUpdate/52594?comment=1332027

Hezbullah already extended its arm. Syrians said fuck off.

The Syrians are in a different camp and they don't want you. They aren't working based on an Islamist anti Israeli doctrine

The Syrian leadership is here to replicate the Sadam modus operandi. Remember this well in a few years then say Mr. Admin was right

They want:
- Good ties with the west like what Saddam had
- Then do Saddam shit after they become strong and able

Attack Israel? Invade Lebanon? Anything.

It's how sunnis work when in leadership. They worship the throne and then let ego control them to become "liberators" and conquerors.

https://news.1rj.ru/str/LebUpdate/52595?comment=1332067

From the previous attack near Shamaa.

A few months ago they attacked houses and they burned.

A new attack took place near Yatar

They do, it'll help with drones.

I genuinely don't understand how Hezbullah failed and didn't use the 358 anti drone missiles.

I didn't expect Hezbullah to shoot jets, but God I expected a lot more drones. They had the tech, the knowledge, and the weapon.

What went wrong? Denying the IDF the big drones is an important game changer.

Jets? You are never going to overcome them. Just how it is for small non state actors and militias.

Any war with them is going to be destructive as we have seen

https://news.1rj.ru/str/LebUpdate/52596?comment=1332084

Issue is, the circumstances of what this war took place in

Devastated any possible rational analysis that can be made

We cannot say why X happened, because we simply don't know Y condition

We know Hezbullah had Sayyed-2 anti Jet air defense that went boom in Sidon area

But did Hezbullah have only one system only? Can't be.

Maybe 358 was available but no one to use it? Maybe stored somewhere they couldn't access anymore?

It's all maybe. Hezbullah could know. Im confident they will do a review.

All I care about? Is seeing them on their feet again and capable..

F lethal and able. But I'll be honest and I told a friend once, it felt since day one..there was a lack of توفيق

Something was not right. It proved right

It is what it is man. It is what it is

❗️Two new attacks targeted Wadi Al-Azzieh.

Many attacks tonight there

❗️New attacks in Azzieh valley

Jets are now over Bint Jbeil. Can someone explain what's happening?

Can't see secondaries in these valleys so far tbh.

❗️A new attack in Dier Antar, Tyre

The Iranian embassy in Lebanon was the only one to condemn the attacks

Quoted: The Embassy of the Islamic Republic of Iran strongly condemns the aggressive Israeli raids on southern Lebanon, which is a flagrant violation of the sovereignty of this brotherly country, and is part of a systematic revenge policy towards Lebanon and its people. The continuation of such attacks warrants immediate and effective international action to stop them and put an end to them

The attack in Dier Entar destroyed something important most likely

Big secondary

It crossed 7 fulls hours of a one-sided war in Lebanon

Complete silence from the Lebanese state and security forces

Ambulances are dispatched to Shamaa and Dier Antar.

Hopefully no casualties Ya Rab

Armchair admin says goodnight, and eternal curse on the tribe of Satan

Let's hope the FPM (Gebran Basil) wins the christian town of Jezzine this weekend and the efforts of the LF forces fail.

FPM should correct their grave mistake from 2016 and regain this town and its parliamentary representation

In south Lebanon's sector, 56% of the towns gave a full confidence to Hezbullah and Amal and have accepted them without the need to hold elections in the towns

That's unprecedented

❗️In area similar to the quoted, a few weeks ago UN forces were spotted there.

It is what the IDF attacked yesterday.

The UN is actively spying on Lebanon and giving coordinates and details to the IDF. This is no longer a conspiracy theory, it is real.

And FYI, all...

The UN is paying people about $150 to give them tips and information about Hezbullah in south Lebanon

Two minutes remain before people can withdraw

So far 60% of south Lebanon has accepted Hezbullah and Amal without elections (no opponets to run vs)

Its important to know that some are sunni and Christians towns that aren't part of the 60%

The other Shia towns are Hezbullah Amal vs people who are pro Hezbullah and Amal

In Kafra, Amal refused to agree with Hezbullah and Hezbullah got the town alone. It's a local dispute, not Amal vs Hezbullah leadership