— 🇮🇷/🇮🇱 Iran's attack in April was a message and a show of force. The attack was extensively telegraphed for over 2 weeks, and Iran gave advance warning to the US in order to avoid an all-out war.
This time, Iran did not inform anyone. US intelligence only detected the attack about 2 hours before it happened. There were also no NOTAMs issued in Iranian airspace, which usually signals an imminent attack. Iran also decided to carry out the attack with ballistic missiles only, which arrive in Israel within ~15 minutes, giving Israel virtually no time to respond. Most US aircraft carriers recently left, something Iran was waiting for. Everything shows that Iran really aimed to re-establish deterrence this time, while still not going 'all-out'.
All in all, it seems that today was for real. We'll have to wait to assess the damage, and Israel will try to cover up as much as possible, as usual. From the videos that are available, I would estimate at least 60-70 impacts in total, and that's a conservative estimate. We won't know for sure until the satellite images get released in a few days.
Until then, we wait for a potential Israeli response. Last time, there was virtually none, but this time seems different. In any case, this was only the first wave, and the IRGC has prepared for an unprecedented exchange that could last multiple months.
@Middle_East_Spectator
This time, Iran did not inform anyone. US intelligence only detected the attack about 2 hours before it happened. There were also no NOTAMs issued in Iranian airspace, which usually signals an imminent attack. Iran also decided to carry out the attack with ballistic missiles only, which arrive in Israel within ~15 minutes, giving Israel virtually no time to respond. Most US aircraft carriers recently left, something Iran was waiting for. Everything shows that Iran really aimed to re-establish deterrence this time, while still not going 'all-out'.
All in all, it seems that today was for real. We'll have to wait to assess the damage, and Israel will try to cover up as much as possible, as usual. From the videos that are available, I would estimate at least 60-70 impacts in total, and that's a conservative estimate. We won't know for sure until the satellite images get released in a few days.
Until then, we wait for a potential Israeli response. Last time, there was virtually none, but this time seems different. In any case, this was only the first wave, and the IRGC has prepared for an unprecedented exchange that could last multiple months.
@Middle_East_Spectator
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— ❗️🇮🇱/ 🇱🇧 NEW: Hezbollah kills 8 Israeli soldiers and injures 20 more in an ambush, during an attempted IDF infiltration of Odaisseh village opposite of Misgav Am
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— ❗️🇮🇱/ 🇱🇧 NEW: Hezbollah is now violently clashing with the IDF on the outskirts of Maroun al-Ra'as; heavy casualties reported among the IDF
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— 🇮🇷/🇵🇸 One of the missiles from yesterday, has written: 'Revenge for dear Haniyeh'
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— 🇮🇱/🇱🇧 NEW: The ground battle in southern Lebanon has officially started
The IDF managed to advance about 400 meters inside Lebanese territory before encountering heavy resistance.
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The IDF managed to advance about 400 meters inside Lebanese territory before encountering heavy resistance.
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— 🇮🇱/ 🇱🇧 NEW: The IDF announces the first officer killed by direct Hezbollah fire, Captain Eitan Olster, from the 'Egoz Unit' of the IDF's 89th Brigade
The 'Egoz Unit' is specialized in anti-guerilla warfare, special reconaissance and direct action.
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The 'Egoz Unit' is specialized in anti-guerilla warfare, special reconaissance and direct action.
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— 🇮🇱/ 🇱🇧 NEW: The IDF suffered huge losses after a Hezbollah ambush in Maroun Al-Ra'as, reports mention up to 35 casualties (including wounded)
Footage shows medevac helicopters evacuating dead and wounded from the Lebanese border non-stop.
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Footage shows medevac helicopters evacuating dead and wounded from the Lebanese border non-stop.
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Middle East Spectator — MES
— 🇮🇱/ 🇱🇧 NEW: Israel has retreated from Odaisseh village @Middle_East_Spectator
They finally got face to face with the fighters of Ridwan.
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— ❗️🇮🇱/🇮🇷 NEW: The IDF admits that several Israeli airbases were struck by Iranian missiles in yesterday's attack – Channel 13
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— ❗️🇮🇱/🇮🇷 NEW: The IDF admits that several regular military bases were also struck by Iranian missiles in yesterday's attack – Channel 13
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— 🇾🇪/🇮🇱 NEW: Yemen's Ansarullah announce that they attacked Israel with three 'Quds-5' cruise missiles this morning.
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— 🇮🇱/ 🇱🇧 NEW: At least 14 Israeli soldiers have been killed by Hezbollah in clashes on the Lebanese border since this morning – Israeli Sources to Sky News Arabia
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— ❗️🇮🇱/ 🇱🇧 NEW: 'An Israeli force tried to circumvent the town of Yaroun from the direction of the forest, when fighters of the Islamic Resistance caught them by surprise and detonated a special explosive device, killing and wounding all members of the enemy force' – Hezbollah
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— 🇮🇱/🇮🇷 NEW: 'Iran did not hit any of the airbases 'critical infrastructure', but they hit the administrative buildings and the maintenance hangars with pinpoint accuracy' – Channel 12
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— 🇮🇱/🇮🇷 NEW: 'Iran did not hit any of the airbases 'critical infrastructure', but they hit the administrative buildings and the maintenance hangars with pinpoint accuracy' – Channel 12 @Middle_East_Spectator
— 🇮🇱/🇮🇷 NEW: 'The Iranians showed a lot of restraint yesterday, but they also showed us they can hit wherever they want to hit' – Channel 12
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— 🇮🇱/🇺🇸/🇬🇧/🇫🇷/🇮🇷 NEW: France and the United Kingdom have told the United States that they refuse to take part in any attack on Iran, and they urge Israel not to respond
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– 🇮🇷 Ok, I'm seeing too many people confusing Iranian missiles, so here's some clarification:
Fateh, Fattah and Fath are all Iranian ballistic missiles, but they are all different from one another. You cannot use these interchangably. The spelling is similar, but they're DIFFERENT missiles.
Fateh (Fateh-110 and Fateh-313) written as فاتح in Persian, is a short range ballistic missile. It's extremely accurate, but its range is very limited. These are usually the missiles used by Iran when attacking targets in neighouring Iraq, or by Hezbollah inside Israel. Top image shows this missile.
Fattah (Fattah-1 and Fattah-2) written as فتّاح in Persian, is a medium range hypersonic ballistic missile. It's extremely fast and very accurate. It was officially revealed in 2023, and Iran used it against Israel last night, in limited numbers alongside various other missiles. Bottom left image shows this missile.
Fath (Fath-360) written as فتح in Persian, also known as BM-120 in export, is a short range satellite-guided tactical ballistic missile, which is launched from canisters. The system fills a similar role as the American HIMARS, and Russia allegedly acquired this system from Iran recently for use in Ukraine. Bottom right image shows it.
@Middle_East_Spectator
Fateh, Fattah and Fath are all Iranian ballistic missiles, but they are all different from one another. You cannot use these interchangably. The spelling is similar, but they're DIFFERENT missiles.
Fateh (Fateh-110 and Fateh-313) written as فاتح in Persian, is a short range ballistic missile. It's extremely accurate, but its range is very limited. These are usually the missiles used by Iran when attacking targets in neighouring Iraq, or by Hezbollah inside Israel. Top image shows this missile.
Fattah (Fattah-1 and Fattah-2) written as فتّاح in Persian, is a medium range hypersonic ballistic missile. It's extremely fast and very accurate. It was officially revealed in 2023, and Iran used it against Israel last night, in limited numbers alongside various other missiles. Bottom left image shows this missile.
Fath (Fath-360) written as فتح in Persian, also known as BM-120 in export, is a short range satellite-guided tactical ballistic missile, which is launched from canisters. The system fills a similar role as the American HIMARS, and Russia allegedly acquired this system from Iran recently for use in Ukraine. Bottom right image shows it.
@Middle_East_Spectator
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